Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 57.8% as of Sep 12th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -2.5ppt week-on-week, led by information technology, consumer staples, financials and offset by consumer discretionary.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Longyuan Power, Fudan Microelectronics, Zijin Mining, CSSC O&amp;M Engineering, Baiyunshan Pharma, SMIC.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 57.8% as of Sep 12th.
The average A-H premium changed by -2.5ppt week-on-week, led by information technology, consumer staples, financials and offset by consumer discretionary.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Longyuan Power, Fudan Microelectronics, Zijin Mining, CSSC O&amp;M Engineering, Baiyunshan Pharma, SMIC.


A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 12th): China Longyuan Power, Fudan Microelectronics, Zijin Mining

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>HUGE, rampaging, "Beautiful Skew"... is flat. Big swings in H/A ratios continue, this time on average with 2.1% H underperformance vs As which is -4.4% on average over two weeks.</li>
<li>Last week's short reco on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fuyao-glass-industry-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:330:1" rel="noopener">Fuyao Glass Industry Group (3606 HK)</a> was up 2.3% on the week in Hs but Hs underperformed the As by 1.86%.</li>
<li>AH premia are in a widening phase. This may continue. New reco this week.</li>
</ul>


HUGE, rampaging, "Beautiful Skew"... is flat. Big swings in H/A ratios continue, this time on average with 2.1% H underperformance vs As which is -4.4% on average over two weeks.
Last week's short reco on Fuyao Glass Industry Group (3606 HK) was up 2.3% on the week in Hs but Hs underperformed the As by 1.86%.
AH premia are in a widening phase. This may continue. New reco this week.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 29 Aug 2025):  AH Premia Expand Again, Beautiful Skew Takes a Breather

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 61.0% as of Aug 29th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 2.7ppt week-on-week, led by health care, financials, information technology and offset by real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Qingdao Port, Beigene, Cgn Power, China Galaxy Securities, Jl Mag Rare-Earth.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 61.0% as of Aug 29th.
The average A-H premium changed by 2.7ppt week-on-week, led by health care, financials, information technology and offset by real estate.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Qingdao Port, Beigene, Cgn Power, China Galaxy Securities, Jl Mag Rare-Earth.


A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 29th): Qingdao Port, Beigene, Cgn Power, China Galaxy Securities

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 24 adds and 22 deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) at the September rebalance to take the number of index constituents up to 504.</li>
<li>We expect 20 of the 24 HSCI inclusions to be Stock Connect adds from the open on 8 September. 19 of the 22 deletions could be removed from Stock Connect.</li>
<li>On average, stocks that are expected to be added to Southbound Stock Connect have outperformed stocks that are expected to be removed from Southbound Stock Connect.</li>
</ul>


There are 24 adds and 22 deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) at the September rebalance to take the number of index constituents up to 504.
We expect 20 of the 24 HSCI inclusions to be Stock Connect adds from the open on 8 September. 19 of the 22 deletions could be removed from Stock Connect.
On average, stocks that are expected to be added to Southbound Stock Connect have outperformed stocks that are expected to be removed from Southbound Stock Connect.


HSCI Index Rebalance: 24 Adds, 22 Deletes, Changes to Southbound Stock Connect & BIG Outperformance

Fuyao Glass Industry Group / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>HUGE, rampaging, "Beautiful Skew"... unwinds. Big swings in H/A ratios continue, this time on average with 2.3% H underperformance vs As, 4% wider on the highest AH premia.</li>
<li>Last week's long reco on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guangzhou-automobile-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11082:1" rel="noopener">Guangzhou Automobile Group (2238 HK)</a> was up 1 tick on the week in Hs and Hs underperformed the A by 1.5%. </li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Pairs Monitor</a> are both there free for SK readers.</li>
</ul>


HUGE, rampaging, "Beautiful Skew"... unwinds. Big swings in H/A ratios continue, this time on average with 2.3% H underperformance vs As, 4% wider on the highest AH premia.
Last week's long reco on Guangzhou Automobile Group (2238 HK) was up 1 tick on the week in Hs and Hs underperformed the A by 1.5%. 
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there free for SK readers.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 22 Aug 2025):  BIG Beautiful Skew Corrects

China

Tianqi Lithium is a Chinese new energy materials company specializing in lithium resource investment, extraction, and the production of advanced lithium specialty compounds. Its product portfolio includes battery-grade and industrial-grade lithium carbonate, lithium hydroxide monohydrate, lithium chloride anhydrous, and lithium metal. The company is headquartered in Chengdu, Sichuan Province, China, and was founded in 1992.

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Tianqi Lithium (9696 HK)

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 12th): China Longyuan Power, Fudan Microelectronics, Zijin Mining

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Longyuan Power, Fudan Microelectronics, Zijin Mining,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A/H Premium Tracker (To 29 Aug 2025): AH Premia Expand Again, Beautiful Skew Takes a Breather

Short version this week. Excellent Pair Alpha last week as Hs underperformed As by 2% but we were up on the week. AH premia up 4.4% in 2 weeks. I...

Travis Lundy

A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 29th): Qingdao Port, Beigene, Cgn Power, China Galaxy Securities

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Qingdao Port, Beigene, Cgn Power, China Galaxy Securities,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCI Index Rebalance: 24 Adds, 22 Deletes, Changes to Southbound Stock Connect & BIG Outperformance

There are 24 adds and 22 deletes for the HSCI in Sep. 20 stocks could be added to Stock Connect and 19 removed. The Connect adds have outperformed...

Brian Freitas

A/H Premium Tracker (To 22 Aug 2025): BIG Beautiful Skew Corrects

BIG BEAUTIFUL SKEW Corrects 2.3%. Feels like more of a correction to come. A shares seeing a real push on the speculative side.

Travis Lundy

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