Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 23rd.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$854.1 million, led by industrials, consumer staples, and offset by communication services, consumer discretionary, real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Tianqi Lithium, Midea Group, Moutai, Sungrow.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 23rd.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$854.1 million, led by industrials, consumer staples, and offset by communication services, consumer discretionary, real estate.
We highlight flows for Tianqi Lithium, Midea Group, Moutai, Sungrow.


Northbound Flows (Sep 23rd): Tianqi Lithium, Midea Group, Moutai, Sungrow

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange -Shanghai and Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.</li>
<li>Overall, net outflow over the past week was ~US$1.4bn, split between Shanghai (-US$0.8bn) and Shenzhen (-US$0.6bn).</li>
<li>The largest inflows were into <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-tianqi-lithium-industries-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5698:1" rel="noopener">Tianqi Lithium (002466 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16185:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group (000333 CH)</a>. The largest outflows were in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/east-money-information-co-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8075:1" rel="noopener">East Money Information (300059 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kweichow-moutai-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1553:1" rel="noopener">Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange -Shanghai and Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.
Overall, net outflow over the past week was ~US$1.4bn, split between Shanghai (-US$0.8bn) and Shenzhen (-US$0.6bn).
The largest inflows were into Tianqi Lithium (002466 CH) and Midea Group (000333 CH). The largest outflows were in East Money Information (300059 CH) and Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH).


Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (22 September 2022)

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/calb-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35985:1" rel="noopener">CALB (CALBLZ CH)</a> has launched its HKEx listing at HK$38.00-51.00 per share to raise up to US$1.7 billion. Books are open from 23 to 28 September.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/calb-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:80243" rel="noopener">CALB IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/calb-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:80286" rel="noopener">CALB IPO: The Bear Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/calb-ipo-updates-support-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:80643" rel="noopener">CALB IPO: Updates Support the Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/calb-ipo-what-s-it-worth" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:80842" rel="noopener">CALB IPO: What's It Worth?</a>.</li>
<li>CALB should be, at least, valued in line with the median peer multiples. CALB is attractively valued at the IPO price range. We would participate. </li>
</ul>



CALB (CALBLZ CH) has launched its HKEx listing at HK$38.00-51.00 per share to raise up to US$1.7 billion. Books are open from 23 to 28 September.
We previously discussed the IPO in CALB IPO: The Bull Case, CALB IPO: The Bear Case, CALB IPO: Updates Support the Bull Case, CALB IPO: What's It Worth?.
CALB should be, at least, valued in line with the median peer multiples. CALB is attractively valued at the IPO price range. We would participate. 


HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Through its 43.58% ownership in lithium carbonate producer Lanke Lithium Industry, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keda-industrial-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20691:1" rel="noopener">Keda Industrial Group (600499 CH)</a> is well placed to benefit from the increase in lithium demand.</li>
<li>Lanke's capacity has recently been upgraded to 30,000 tonnes. Also, Keda is adding capacity to its own integrated anode materials factory in Fujian to capture the ever-rising demand. </li>
<li>Overseas ceramic business will see solid growth from key markets in Africa as Keda raises capacity by 65% by FY23. The stock's valuations are inexpensive relative to peers. </li>
</ul>


Through its 43.58% ownership in lithium carbonate producer Lanke Lithium Industry, Keda Industrial Group (600499 CH) is well placed to benefit from the increase in lithium demand.
Lanke's capacity has recently been upgraded to 30,000 tonnes. Also, Keda is adding capacity to its own integrated anode materials factory in Fujian to capture the ever-rising demand. 
Overseas ceramic business will see solid growth from key markets in Africa as Keda raises capacity by 65% by FY23. The stock's valuations are inexpensive relative to peers. 


Keda Industrial (600499 CH): Lithium Play Backed by Multi-Pronged Growth Strategies

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 118.5% as of Sep 9th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.3ppt week-on-week, led by utilities, consumer staples, financials and offset by health Care, consumer discretionary, communication services. </li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Huadian, CGN Power, GWM, Tigermed, Angang, CIMC, Zoomlion, Tianqi Lithium, CIMC Vehicles, CNOOC.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 118.5% as of Sep 9th.
The average A-H premium changed by 1.3ppt week-on-week, led by utilities, consumer staples, financials and offset by health Care, consumer discretionary, communication services. 
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Huadian, CGN Power, GWM, Tigermed, Angang, CIMC, Zoomlion, Tianqi Lithium, CIMC Vehicles, CNOOC.


A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 9th): Huadian, CGN Power, GWM

China

Tianqi Lithium Corporation develops, manufactures, and sells lithium products. The Company produces lithium carbonate, lithium chloride, lithium hydroxide, and other related products. Tianqi Lithium markets its products worldwide.

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Tianqi Lithium (9696 HK)

Northbound Flows (Sep 23rd): Tianqi Lithium, Midea Group, Moutai, Sungrow

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect and highlight flows for Tianqi Lithium, Midea, Kweichow Moutai, Sungrow Power.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shanghai/Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (22 September 2022)

Overall, net outflow over the past week in the HK -Shanghai-Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities was ~US$1.4bn, split between Shanghai (...

David Blennerhassett

CALB IPO: Valuation Insights

CALB has launched its HKEx listing at HK$38.00-51.00 per share to raise up to US$1.7 billion. It is attractively valued at the IPO price range. We...

Arun George

Keda Industrial (600499 CH): Lithium Play Backed by Multi-Pronged Growth Strategies

Keda is a relatively undervalued play on growing lithium demand. In addition to investment in lithium carbonate producer Lanke Lithium, it is also...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 9th): Huadian, CGN Power, GWM

We analyzed A-H premium changes last week and highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Huadian, CGN Power, GWM, Tigermed, Angang, CIMC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Northbound Flows (Sep 23rd): Tianqi Lithium, Midea Group, Moutai, Sungrow

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect and highlight flows for Tianqi Lithium, Midea, Kweichow Moutai, Sungrow Power.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (22 September 2022)

Overall, net outflow over the past week in the HK -Shanghai-Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities was ~US$1.4bn, split between Shanghai (...

David Blennerhassett

CALB IPO: Valuation Insights

CALB has launched its HKEx listing at HK$38.00-51.00 per share to raise up to US$1.7 billion. It is attractively valued at the IPO price range. We...

Arun George

Keda Industrial (600499 CH): Lithium Play Backed by Multi-Pronged Growth Strategies

Keda is a relatively undervalued play on growing lithium demand. In addition to investment in lithium carbonate producer Lanke Lithium, it is also...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 9th): Huadian, CGN Power, GWM

We analyzed A-H premium changes last week and highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Huadian, CGN Power, GWM, Tigermed, Angang, CIMC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shanghai/Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (22 September 2022)