Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Y/Y improvement for LCD panel, 8"/12" raw wafer, CMOS sensor, GaAs RF, cooling system, design service, and semi equipment and material vendors but y/y deterioration for PC/server and gaming vendors. </li>
<li>After 9 vendors beating consensus, we might see smartphone IC and RF, semi equipment OEM, and design service vendors in US to report a better than expected 4Q23 sales/earnings.    </li>
<li>After 6 vendors missing consensus, we might see PC/general server IC and niche memory vendors in US to report a worse than expected 4Q23 sales and earnings.</li>
</ul>


Y/Y improvement for LCD panel, 8"/12" raw wafer, CMOS sensor, GaAs RF, cooling system, design service, and semi equipment and material vendors but y/y deterioration for PC/server and gaming vendors. 
After 9 vendors beating consensus, we might see smartphone IC and RF, semi equipment OEM, and design service vendors in US to report a better than expected 4Q23 sales/earnings.    
After 6 vendors missing consensus, we might see PC/general server IC and niche memory vendors in US to report a worse than expected 4Q23 sales and earnings.


Stories Behind the Reported Dec/4Q23 Taiwan Semi/Tech Sales

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of May 3rd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD86.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Asia Vital, Mediatek, Chung-Hsin.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of May 3rd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD86.1bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Asia Vital, Mediatek, Chung-Hsin.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (May 3rd): Asia Vital, Mediatek, Chung-Hsin

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the final ADDs/DELs for the TDIV, T50, and T100 Indices for the June 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>Across these three indices there will be 18 changes and 15 of them were in line with expectations.</li>
<li>Our updated flow expectations show that there could be US$1.1bn one-way flow in the June 2023 rebalance.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the final ADDs/DELs for the TDIV, T50, and T100 Indices for the June 2023 Rebalance.
Across these three indices there will be 18 changes and 15 of them were in line with expectations.
Our updated flow expectations show that there could be US$1.1bn one-way flow in the June 2023 rebalance.


Quiddity TDIV/50/100 Jun 23 Rebal: 15/18 as Expected; Some Surprises, US$1.1bn+ One Way

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rakuten-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35638:1" rel="noopener">Rakuten Bank (5838 JP)</a>'s TOPIX inclusion is this week. And the Real World Float has gotten smaller since the offering. And some of those people aren't going to sell near-term.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK)</a>'s P/B is back down to 0.31x as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cathay-pacific-airways-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:243:1" rel="noopener">Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK)</a> tackles alleged language bias by flight attendants. </li>
<li>Understanding real money demand on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rakuten-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31:1" rel="noopener">Rakuten (4755 JP)</a> story is key. If there is any, that makes deal overhang smaller than it looks. </li>
</ul>



Rakuten Bank (5838 JP)'s TOPIX inclusion is this week. And the Real World Float has gotten smaller since the offering. And some of those people aren't going to sell near-term.

Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK)'s P/B is back down to 0.31x as Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK) tackles alleged language bias by flight attendants. 
Understanding real money demand on the Rakuten (4755 JP) story is key. If there is any, that makes deal overhang smaller than it looks. 


Last Week In Event SPACE: Rakuten Bank/Group, Cathay/Swire Pacific, Japan Post

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at Quiddity's flow expectations for the June 2023 index rebalance.</li>
<li>I currently see 5 ADDs/DELs. Some of these names are different from the ones I specified in my previous insight.</li>
<li>I have also discussed some long-short trading ideas involving names with significant flow implications.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at Quiddity's flow expectations for the June 2023 index rebalance.
I currently see 5 ADDs/DELs. Some of these names are different from the ones I specified in my previous insight.
I have also discussed some long-short trading ideas involving names with significant flow implications.


Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun 23: Five Changes and US$922mn One-Way Flows

Taiwan

Tong Hsing Electronic Industries, Ltd. manufactures and markets RF(Radio Frequency) IC (Integrated Circuit) modules, multichip IC modules, and ceramic circuit boards.

Tong Hsing Electronic Industries Ltd (6271 TT)

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Tong Hsing Electronic Industries Ltd (6271 TT)

Stories Behind the Reported Dec/4Q23 Taiwan Semi/Tech Sales

Stories Behind the Reported Dec/4Q23 Taiwan Semi/Tech Sales; Y/Y improvement for LCD panel, 8"/12" raw wafer, CMOS sensor, GaAs RF, cooling system,...

Andrew Lu

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (May 3rd): Asia Vital, Mediatek, Chung-Hsin

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Asia Vital, Mediatek, Chung-Hsin.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity TDIV/50/100 Jun 23 Rebal: 15/18 as Expected; Some Surprises, US$1.1bn+ One Way

The T50 and TDIV standalone changes are significant but the T100 standalone changes are insignificant. The main pick trades suggested in my last...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Last Week In Event SPACE: Rakuten Bank/Group, Cathay/Swire Pacific, Japan Post

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun 23: Five Changes and US$922mn One-Way Flows

I see 35 inflow names including the five Expected ADDs and 20 outflow names including the five Expected DELs. My latest estimation for one-way flow...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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52-week Range

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