Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Guotai Junan Securities   / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 23 changes for the CSI A500 Index at the December rebalance. Turnover is estimated at 2.9% and the round-trip trade is around US$1.6bn.</li>
<li>There is a fair amount of balance between sectors with Consumer Discretionary and Health Care expected to lose index spots to Industrials, Information Technology and Materials.</li>
<li>The forecast adds outperformed the forecast deletes from June-September but have given up gains since then. Position in stocks that will have same-way flows from passive trackers of other indices.</li>
</ul>


There could be 23 changes for the CSI A500 Index at the December rebalance. Turnover is estimated at 2.9% and the round-trip trade is around US$1.6bn.
There is a fair amount of balance between sectors with Consumer Discretionary and Health Care expected to lose index spots to Industrials, Information Technology and Materials.
The forecast adds outperformed the forecast deletes from June-September but have given up gains since then. Position in stocks that will have same-way flows from passive trackers of other indices.


CSI A500 Index Rebalance Preview: Bunch of Changes to Lead to US$1.6bn Trade

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-medicine-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14128:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH)</a>, a leading Chinese pharmaceutical company, has filed its PHIP for an H Share listing to raise US$2 billion.     </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-pharmaceuticals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44224:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals (JHR HK)</a> ranked first among Chinese pharma companies in revenue from NME drugs in 2023 and the number of commercialised NME drugs in 2024.</li>
<li>The investment case rests on its product portfolio, strong revenue growth, rising profitability, cash generation, strong balance sheet and undemanding valuation. </li>
</ul>



Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH), a leading Chinese pharmaceutical company, has filed its PHIP for an H Share listing to raise US$2 billion.     

Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals (JHR HK) ranked first among Chinese pharma companies in revenue from NME drugs in 2023 and the number of commercialised NME drugs in 2024.
The investment case rests on its product portfolio, strong revenue growth, rising profitability, cash generation, strong balance sheet and undemanding valuation. 


Jiangsu Hengrui Pharma H Share Listing: The Investment Case

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

<ul>
<li>PegBio, a VC-backed biotech company, plans to tap capital markets in Hong Kong. CICC is leading the offering, and an IPO date has yet to be announced.</li>
<li>The company's pipeline features promising drug candidates designed for the treatment of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), obesity, NASH, OIC and congenital hyperinsulinemia. </li>
<li>PegBio employs a proprietary technology platform, called HECTOR, and has six drug candidates in the pipeline portfolio. PB-119 is their core product with the purpose to treat T2DM and obesity.</li>
</ul>


PegBio, a VC-backed biotech company, plans to tap capital markets in Hong Kong. CICC is leading the offering, and an IPO date has yet to be announced.
The company's pipeline features promising drug candidates designed for the treatment of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), obesity, NASH, OIC and congenital hyperinsulinemia. 
PegBio employs a proprietary technology platform, called HECTOR, and has six drug candidates in the pipeline portfolio. PB-119 is their core product with the purpose to treat T2DM and obesity.


PegBio IPO Preview: A Founder-Led Biopharma Player Fighting T2DM and Obesity in China

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

The United Laboratories International Holdings Limited / Equity Capital Markets

The United Laboratories International Holdings Limited

<ul>
<li>Last year, United Lab mainly relied on antibiotics to make money. However, after the pandemic is under control, antibiotic sales may decline. United Lab’s performance could be under pressure.</li>
<li>As a late comer, sales of United Lab’s weight management products could be lower than expected in the future under increasing competition. The veterinary drugs business requires time to cultivate.</li>
<li>RMB12 billion market value of United Lab has priced in all positive factors.There could be a pullback in valuation. RMB6 billion market value is a safe place to go long.</li>
</ul>


Last year, United Lab mainly relied on antibiotics to make money. However, after the pandemic is under control, antibiotic sales may decline. United Lab’s performance could be under pressure.
As a late comer, sales of United Lab’s weight management products could be lower than expected in the future under increasing competition. The veterinary drugs business requires time to cultivate.
RMB12 billion market value of United Lab has priced in all positive factors.There could be a pullback in valuation. RMB6 billion market value is a safe place to go long.


United Laboratories International Holdings Placement (3933.HK) - Valuation Pullback Seems Inevitable

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

Yichang HEC Changjiang Pharma / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>During H1 2022, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yichang-hec-changjiang-pharmaceutical" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21040:1" rel="noopener">Yichang HEC Changjiang Pharma (1558 HK)</a> recorded revenue of RMB1.3 billion, representing 540% y/y growth, driven by 1,776% y/y revenue growth from its core product Kewei.</li>
<li>With gradual recovery of patient traffic in medical institutions and increasing number of flu cases, Kewei showed a trend of recovery in its sales volume leveraging on its market leadership.</li>
<li>HEC Pharma has a comprehensive insulin portfolio, which covers both second and third generations of insulin. With 116 million diabetes patients, China has significant market opportunity for insulin.</li>
</ul>


During H1 2022, Yichang HEC Changjiang Pharma (1558 HK) recorded revenue of RMB1.3 billion, representing 540% y/y growth, driven by 1,776% y/y revenue growth from its core product Kewei.
With gradual recovery of patient traffic in medical institutions and increasing number of flu cases, Kewei showed a trend of recovery in its sales volume leveraging on its market leadership.
HEC Pharma has a comprehensive insulin portfolio, which covers both second and third generations of insulin. With 116 million diabetes patients, China has significant market opportunity for insulin.


HEC Pharma (1558 HK): Core Product Saw Volume Recovery in 1H 2022; New Launches to Accelerate Growth

China

Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets western medici nes, Chinese medicines, biological products, and plastic building materials.

Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical (600867 CH)

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Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical (600867 CH)

CSI A500 Index Rebalance Preview: Bunch of Changes to Lead to US$1.6bn Trade

There could be 23 changes for the CSI A500 Index at the Dec rebal. Estimated turnover is 2.9% and round-trip trade is US$1.6bn. Adds outperformed...

Brian Freitas

PegBio IPO Preview: A Founder-Led Biopharma Player Fighting T2DM and Obesity in China

PegBio, a promising founder-led biotech company, is seeking to tap capital markets in Hong Kong. Their core product for the treatment of T2DM is at...

Andrei Zakharov

United Laboratories International Holdings Placement (3933.HK) - Valuation Pullback Seems Inevitable

United Lab is facing a performance decline when the dividend period of the pandemic has subsided. Weight management/veterinary drug businesses have...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

HEC Pharma (1558 HK): Core Product Saw Volume Recovery in 1H 2022; New Launches to Accelerate Growth

HEC Pharma’s revenue jumped ~6x in 1H22, driven by volume recovery of its core drug Kewei. Going ahead, new generic launches and insulin portfolio...

Tina Banerjee

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

CSI A500 Index Rebalance Preview: Bunch of Changes to Lead to US$1.6bn Trade

There could be 23 changes for the CSI A500 Index at the Dec rebal. Estimated turnover is 2.9% and round-trip trade is US$1.6bn. Adds outperformed...

Brian Freitas

Jiangsu Hengrui Pharma H Share Listing: The Investment Case

Hengrui Pharma has filed its PHIP for an H Share listing to raise US$2 billion. In this note, we discuss the key tenets of the investment case.

Arun George

PegBio IPO Preview: A Founder-Led Biopharma Player Fighting T2DM and Obesity in China

PegBio, a promising founder-led biotech company, is seeking to tap capital markets in Hong Kong. Their core product for the treatment of T2DM is at...

Andrei Zakharov

United Laboratories International Holdings Placement (3933.HK) - Valuation Pullback Seems Inevitable

United Lab is facing a performance decline when the dividend period of the pandemic has subsided. Weight management/veterinary drug businesses have...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

HEC Pharma (1558 HK): Core Product Saw Volume Recovery in 1H 2022; New Launches to Accelerate Growth

HEC Pharma’s revenue jumped ~6x in 1H22, driven by volume recovery of its core drug Kewei. Going ahead, new generic launches and insulin portfolio...

Tina Banerjee