Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for a bunch of indices ended early last week and the announcement of the changes will be made in the next few weeks.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hydro-lithium-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8293:1" rel="noopener">Hydro Lithium (101670 KS)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nice-information-service-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20236:1" rel="noopener">Nice Information Service Co (030190 KS)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX EQUITY)</a> at the close on Monday.</li>
<li>There have been big net inflows into China focused ETFs and outflows from Taiwan focused ETFs during the week.</li>
</ul>


The review period for a bunch of indices ended early last week and the announcement of the changes will be made in the next few weeks.

Hydro Lithium (101670 KS) will replace Nice Information Service Co (030190 KS) in the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX EQUITY) at the close on Monday.
There have been big net inflows into China focused ETFs and outflows from Taiwan focused ETFs during the week.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, STAR50, NIFTY NEXT50, SF Holding

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>As of 1 August, there could be two changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-ftse-a50-china-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:249:1" rel="noopener">iShares A50 China (2823 HK)</a>/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csop-ftse-china-a50-etf-26e3b671-fa47-4165-a12e-bf841640c5a3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23664:1" rel="noopener">CSOP A50 (2822 HK)</a> in September.</li>
<li>There should be over 1x ADV to buy on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nari-technology-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4364:1" rel="noopener">NARI Technology Co Ltd A (600406 CH)</a> and over 1x ADV to sell on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shaanxi-coal-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11254:1" rel="noopener">Shaanxi Coal Industry (601225 CH)</a>. </li>
<li>There are a few stocks bunched around similar market caps among the potential adds and there could be changes to the list over the next few weeks.</li>
</ul>


As of 1 August, there could be two changes for the iShares A50 China (2823 HK)/ CSOP A50 (2822 HK) in September.
There should be over 1x ADV to buy on NARI Technology Co Ltd A (600406 CH) and over 1x ADV to sell on Shaanxi Coal Industry (601225 CH). 
There are a few stocks bunched around similar market caps among the potential adds and there could be changes to the list over the next few weeks.


Offshore China ETFs Rebalance Preview: Two Changes in September

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 21st.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$221.4 million, led by industrials, energy, health care sectors, and offset by information technology, consumer staples.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Cosco Shipping, Contemporary Amperex Technology, Shenzhen Inovance Technology, Shandong Gold Mining, East Money Information, Longi Green Energy Technology, Tongwei, Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt, Ping An Insurance.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 21st.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$221.4 million, led by industrials, energy, health care sectors, and offset by information technology, consumer staples.
We highlight flows for Cosco Shipping, Contemporary Amperex Technology, Shenzhen Inovance Technology, Shandong Gold Mining, East Money Information, Longi Green Energy Technology, Tongwei, Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt, Ping An Insurance.


Northbound Flows (Apr 21st): Cosco Shipping, CATL, Shenzhen Inovance, Shandong Gold, East Money

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 10th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,487.9 million, led by financials, materials, and offset by industrials, health care, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for China Tourism Group Duty Free, Kweichow Moutai, Byd, China Merchants Bank, Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial, Longi Green Energy Technology, Tongwei, Luxshare Precision Industry.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 10th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,487.9 million, led by financials, materials, and offset by industrials, health care, utilities.
We highlight flows for China Tourism Group Duty Free, Kweichow Moutai, Byd, China Merchants Bank, Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial, Longi Green Energy Technology, Tongwei, Luxshare Precision Industry.


Northbound Flows (Mar 10th): CTG, Moutai, Byd, CMB, Yili, Longi Green Energy, Tongwei, Luxshare

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We estimate that the total inflows were USD 1.5bn last Month. Industrials, Information Technology, Consumer Staples led the inflows.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CATL, Hundsun, Ping An Insurance, Inovance, Xinghuacun Fen Wine, Shaanxi Coal, Midea, Tongwei, BYD, Eve Energy, Industrial Bank.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
We estimate that the total inflows were USD 1.5bn last Month. Industrials, Information Technology, Consumer Staples led the inflows.
We highlight flows for CATL, Hundsun, Ping An Insurance, Inovance, Xinghuacun Fen Wine, Shaanxi Coal, Midea, Tongwei, BYD, Eve Energy, Industrial Bank.


Northbound Flows Monthly (Feb): CATL, Hundsun, Ping An Insurance, Inovance, Xinghuacun Fen Wine

China

Tongwei Co., Ltd. produces and markets aquatic and animal feeds. The Company also sells animal medicines.

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Tongwei Co Ltd A (600438 CH)

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, STAR50, NIFTY NEXT50, SF Holding

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Offshore China ETFs Rebalance Preview: Two Changes in September

There could be two sets of the changes for the 2823/2822 ETFs in September. A couple of stocks will have over 1x ADV to trade. There are few close...

Brian Freitas

Northbound Flows (Apr 21st): Cosco Shipping, CATL, Shenzhen Inovance, Shandong Gold, East Money

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Cosco Shipping, CATL, Shenzhen Inovance, Shandong Gold,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Mar 10th): CTG, Moutai, Byd, CMB, Yili, Longi Green Energy, Tongwei, Luxshare

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for CTG, Moutai, Byd, CMB, Yili, Longi Green Energy,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows Monthly (Feb): CATL, Hundsun, Ping An Insurance, Inovance, Xinghuacun Fen Wine

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for February and highlight flows for CATL, Hundsun, Ping An Insurance, Inovance, Xinghuacun Fen Wine.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

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