Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>TotalEnergies, in its Third Quarter 2024 Earnings, reported a mix of robust operational and financial achievements, and faced some challenges primarily linked to the global energy market conditions.</li><li>The call, led by CEO Patrick Pouyanne and CFO Jean-Pierre Sbraire, emphasized the perseverance of TotalEnergies' integrated business model amidst volatile markets, highlighting disciplined cost management and strategic investments.</li><li>Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.</li></ul>

TotalEnergies, in its Third Quarter 2024 Earnings, reported a mix of robust operational and financial achievements, and faced some challenges primarily linked to the global energy market conditions.The call, led by CEO Patrick Pouyanne and CFO Jean-Pierre Sbraire, emphasized the perseverance of TotalEnergies' integrated business model amidst volatile markets, highlighting disciplined cost management and strategic investments.Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

TotalEnergies SE: An Insight Into Its Macroeconomic and Market Adaptability! - Major Drivers

Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 25/Oct, US crude inventories fell by 0.5m barrels, against expectations of a 1.5m barrel increase. Gasoline stocks also bucked forecasts of a build. </li>
<li>US natural gas inventories rose 78 Bcf for the week ending 25/Oct, marginally lower than analyst expectations of a 79 Bcf buildup. Inventories are 4.8% above the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>Shell and Chevron exceeded both revenue and EPS estimates, while Exxon and BP topped EPS but missed on revenue. TotalEnergies beat revenue expectations but fell short on EPS.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 25/Oct, US crude inventories fell by 0.5m barrels, against expectations of a 1.5m barrel increase. Gasoline stocks also bucked forecasts of a build. 
US natural gas inventories rose 78 Bcf for the week ending 25/Oct, marginally lower than analyst expectations of a 79 Bcf buildup. Inventories are 4.8% above the 5-year seasonal average.
Shell and Chevron exceeded both revenue and EPS estimates, while Exxon and BP topped EPS but missed on revenue. TotalEnergies beat revenue expectations but fell short on EPS.


[ETP 2024/44] WTI Rallies on Healthier Demand Outlook; Henry Hub Stumbles Under Weather Woes

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business, Auctus Advisors

Auctus Advisors

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business

Auctus Advisors is a specialist Equity Capital Markets and Advisory business with a focus in the Energy Sector. The partners have complementary skill sets, with decades of experience across Equity Capital Markets, Investment Banking and the Energy industry. We have worked at Société Générale, Canaccord Capital, BMO Capital Markets and Schlumberger. Most recently we have worked together for many years at GMP FirstEnergy. Auctus has been set up at the beginning of a new decade in which we see significant opportunities in the Energy space. Globally, demand for energy is at record levels and continues to grow. Conversely, investment in traditional energy sources has been severely constrained. We believe this imbalance creates opportunities for both companies and investors. Auctus provides Corporate Broking, Equity Research and Investment Banking services.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Condor Energies (CDR CN) C ; Target price of C$5.80 per share: Another positive operating update – The workovers of two new existing wells have added 441 boe/d after a combined 20 m of previously unperforated reservoir pay was accessed.</li>
<li>The first well is producing 410 boe/d. It was previously shut-in. The second well is producing an extra 31 boe/d (+65%) and continues to clean-up.</li>
<li>With a total cost of &lt;US$0.2 mm, the pay back of theses workovers is ~2 months. This is a very good result that showcases the opportunity in Uzbekistan. </li>
</ul>


Condor Energies (CDR CN) C ; Target price of C$5.80 per share: Another positive operating update – The workovers of two new existing wells have added 441 boe/d after a combined 20 m of previously unperforated reservoir pay was accessed.
The first well is producing 410 boe/d. It was previously shut-in. The second well is producing an extra 31 boe/d (+65%) and continues to clean-up.
With a total cost of &lt;US$0.2 mm, the pay back of theses workovers is ~2 months. This is a very good result that showcases the opportunity in Uzbekistan. 


<ul>
<li>Exxon Mobil will report Q3 earnings on 01/Nov, with analysts expecting a 6.3% YoY rise in revenue but an 11% fall in EPS, due to weaker crude oil prices.</li>
<li>Exxon Mobil's OI PCR at 0.69 signals neutral sentiment, while an 84% IV percentile indicates high volatility. Its volume PCR is also in the neutral territory.</li>
<li>Exxon Mobil’s short interest rose from the previous biweekly period, reaching 41.27 million shares as of 15/Oct—a 6.3% increase from 30/Sep and a 16.5% rise since 15/Jul.</li>
</ul>


Exxon Mobil will report Q3 earnings on 01/Nov, with analysts expecting a 6.3% YoY rise in revenue but an 11% fall in EPS, due to weaker crude oil prices.
Exxon Mobil's OI PCR at 0.69 signals neutral sentiment, while an 84% IV percentile indicates high volatility. Its volume PCR is also in the neutral territory.
Exxon Mobil’s short interest rose from the previous biweekly period, reaching 41.27 million shares as of 15/Oct—a 6.3% increase from 30/Sep and a 16.5% rise since 15/Jul.


[Pre Earnings Options Flash] Exxon Mobil OI PCR Neutral While Short Interest Rises

<ul>
<li>TotalEnergies will report Q3 earnings on 31/Oct, with analysts expecting a 17.8% YoY fall in revenue and a 19.8% drop in EPS, due to weaker crude prices and refining margins.</li>
<li>TotalEnergies' OI PCR at 0.54 signals neutral sentiment, while a 92% IV percentile indicates high volatility. Call OI clusters around strikes 70 and 72.5.</li>
<li>TotalEnergies’ short interest has risen for two consecutive biweekly periods, reaching 6.79 million shares as of 15/Oct—a 41% surge from 30/Sep and a 41.5% rise since 15/Jul.</li>
</ul>


TotalEnergies will report Q3 earnings on 31/Oct, with analysts expecting a 17.8% YoY fall in revenue and a 19.8% drop in EPS, due to weaker crude prices and refining margins.
TotalEnergies' OI PCR at 0.54 signals neutral sentiment, while a 92% IV percentile indicates high volatility. Call OI clusters around strikes 70 and 72.5.
TotalEnergies’ short interest has risen for two consecutive biweekly periods, reaching 6.79 million shares as of 15/Oct—a 41% surge from 30/Sep and a 41.5% rise since 15/Jul.


[Pre Earnings Options Flash] TotalEnergies’ OI PCR in Neutral Zone; Short Interest Rises in October

France

TotalEnergies SE operates as an energy company. The Company produces, transports, and supplies crude oil, natural gas, and low carbon electricity, as well as refines petrochemical products. TotalEnergies owns and manages gasoline filling stations worldwide.

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TotalEnergies (TTE US)

TotalEnergies SE: An Insight Into Its Macroeconomic and Market Adaptability! - Major Drivers

TotalEnergies, in its Third Quarter 2024 Earnings, reported a mix of robust operational and financial achievements, and faced some challenges...

Baptista Research

[ETP 2024/44] WTI Rallies on Healthier Demand Outlook; Henry Hub Stumbles Under Weather Woes

US crude and gasoline inventories defy expectations, while natural gas storage sees above normal increase. Shell & Chevron outperform revenue and...

Mint Finance

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 01/11/2024

Another positive operating update – The workovers of two new existing wells have added 441 boe/d after a combined 20 m of previously unperforated...

Auctus Advisors

[Pre Earnings Options Flash] Exxon Mobil OI PCR Neutral While Short Interest Rises

Exxon Mobil’s Q3 revenue is expected to rise but its EPS is anticipated to fall due to weak refining margins. OI and volume PCR imply neutral...

Mint Finance

[Pre Earnings Options Flash] TotalEnergies’ OI PCR in Neutral Zone; Short Interest Rises in October

TotalEnergies revenue and EPS expected to fall YoY in Q3. OI PCR implies neutral sentiment, while volume PCR shows bullish sentiment. Short...

Mint Finance

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52-week Range

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TotalEnergies SE: An Insight Into Its Macroeconomic and Market Adaptability! - Major Drivers

TotalEnergies, in its Third Quarter 2024 Earnings, reported a mix of robust operational and financial achievements, and faced some challenges...

Baptista Research

[ETP 2024/44] WTI Rallies on Healthier Demand Outlook; Henry Hub Stumbles Under Weather Woes

​US crude and gasoline inventories defy expectations, while natural gas storage sees above normal increase. Shell & Chevron outperform revenue and...

Mint Finance

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 01/11/2024

Another positive operating update – The workovers of two new existing wells have added 441 boe/d after a combined 20 m of previously unperforated...

Auctus Advisors

[Pre Earnings Options Flash] Exxon Mobil OI PCR Neutral While Short Interest Rises

Exxon Mobil’s Q3 revenue is expected to rise but its EPS is anticipated to fall due to weak refining margins. OI and volume PCR imply neutral...

Mint Finance

[Pre Earnings Options Flash] TotalEnergies’ OI PCR in Neutral Zone; Short Interest Rises in October

TotalEnergies revenue and EPS expected to fall YoY in Q3. OI PCR implies neutral sentiment, while volume PCR shows bullish sentiment. Short...

Mint Finance

US crude and gasoline inventories defy expectations, while natural gas storage sees above normal increase. Shell & Chevron outperform revenue and...