Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>The milder drop in crude oil prices was reflected in energy stocks on Monday, with most major oil and gas companies, outperforming the S&amp;P 500.</li>
<li>Most of the oil companies’ volume PCR was elevated on Monday and Friday, with Haliburton’s volume PCR exceptionally high at 3.66 on Monday (5/Aug).</li>
<li>On 5/Aug, all major energy companies saw a rise in implied volatility due to recession fears, except Shell, whose IV dropped slightly to 20.01% from 20.28% on Friday.</li>
</ul>


The milder drop in crude oil prices was reflected in energy stocks on Monday, with most major oil and gas companies, outperforming the S&amp;P 500.
Most of the oil companies’ volume PCR was elevated on Monday and Friday, with Haliburton’s volume PCR exceptionally high at 3.66 on Monday (5/Aug).
On 5/Aug, all major energy companies saw a rise in implied volatility due to recession fears, except Shell, whose IV dropped slightly to 20.01% from 20.28% on Friday.


Oil & Gas Giants Hit by Recession-Driven Sell-Off but Outperform the S&P 500

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>TotalEnergies, in its second quarter and first-half 2024 earnings, showcased a strategic focus on balanced growth, execution of large-scale projects, and improved shareholder returns, pivotal for the company's forward momentum in a transformative industry landscape.</li><li>Over the first half of 2024, TotalEnergies exhibited an active pursuit of its balanced strategy that encompasses strengthening its oil and gas portfolio while expanding its footprint in the integrated power sector.</li><li>This has been evident from the sanctioning of several key upstream projects such as Kaminho in Angola and Serie 2 and Atapu 2, all expected to bolster the upstream growth by 2-3% over the next five years.</li></ul>

TotalEnergies, in its second quarter and first-half 2024 earnings, showcased a strategic focus on balanced growth, execution of large-scale projects, and improved shareholder returns, pivotal for the company's forward momentum in a transformative industry landscape.Over the first half of 2024, TotalEnergies exhibited an active pursuit of its balanced strategy that encompasses strengthening its oil and gas portfolio while expanding its footprint in the integrated power sector.This has been evident from the sanctioning of several key upstream projects such as Kaminho in Angola and Serie 2 and Atapu 2, all expected to bolster the upstream growth by 2-3% over the next five years.

TotalEnergies SE: Strategic Portfolio Optimization in Renewable and Gas Projects Catalyzing Growth! - Major Drivers

<ul>
<li>US crude inventories fell for the fifth consecutive week by 3.4 mb, exceeding the 1.6 mb decline expected by analysts. Gasoline stocks also decreased by 3.7 mb.</li>
<li>As of the week ending 26/Jul, US natural gas inventories were up 8.4% YoY and 15.7% above the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>European oil majors beat Q2 profit estimates. BP’s Q2 underlying net profit beat estimates by 7.7%. Shell’s Q2 EPS beat estimates by 5.1%. </li>
</ul>


US crude inventories fell for the fifth consecutive week by 3.4 mb, exceeding the 1.6 mb decline expected by analysts. Gasoline stocks also decreased by 3.7 mb.
As of the week ending 26/Jul, US natural gas inventories were up 8.4% YoY and 15.7% above the 5-year seasonal average.
European oil majors beat Q2 profit estimates. BP’s Q2 underlying net profit beat estimates by 7.7%. Shell’s Q2 EPS beat estimates by 5.1%. 


[ETP 31/2024] Oil Prices Surge on Middle East Tensions; BP and Shell Beat Earnings Expectations

<ul>
<li>TotalEnergies missed Q2 revenue and EPS estimates by 7.3% and 7.2%, respectively, with a 7.4% YoY drop in net profit due to contracting refining margins.</li>
<li>TotalEnergies' hydrocarbon production hit 2.44 mboe/d in Q2, near the top of its guidance. Projects production in Q3 at 2.4-2.49 mboe/d.</li>
<li>In Q2, TotalEnergies generated USD 7.8 billion in cash flow and completed USD 2 billion in buybacks. Authorized up to USD 2 billion in buybacks for Q3.</li>
</ul>


TotalEnergies missed Q2 revenue and EPS estimates by 7.3% and 7.2%, respectively, with a 7.4% YoY drop in net profit due to contracting refining margins.
TotalEnergies' hydrocarbon production hit 2.44 mboe/d in Q2, near the top of its guidance. Projects production in Q3 at 2.4-2.49 mboe/d.
In Q2, TotalEnergies generated USD 7.8 billion in cash flow and completed USD 2 billion in buybacks. Authorized up to USD 2 billion in buybacks for Q3.


[Earnings Review] TotalEnergies Misses Estimates on Lower Sales and Shrinking Margins

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business, Auctus Advisors

Auctus Advisors

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business

Auctus Advisors is a specialist Equity Capital Markets and Advisory business with a focus in the Energy Sector. The partners have complementary skill sets, with decades of experience across Equity Capital Markets, Investment Banking and the Energy industry. We have worked at Société Générale, Canaccord Capital, BMO Capital Markets and Schlumberger. Most recently we have worked together for many years at GMP FirstEnergy. Auctus has been set up at the beginning of a new decade in which we see significant opportunities in the Energy space. Globally, demand for energy is at record levels and continues to grow. Conversely, investment in traditional energy sources has been severely constrained. We believe this imbalance creates opportunities for both companies and investors. Auctus provides Corporate Broking, Equity Research and Investment Banking services.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target of A$0.75 per share: Diversified and high impact newsflow over the balance of 2024 – ADX has confirmed a very busy programme of activity from September.</li><li>The overall unrisked value of the programme is ~A$1.70 per share, which represents 17x the current share price.</li><li>In early September, ADX will drill the Anshof-2A side track.</li></ul>

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target of A$0.75 per share: Diversified and high impact newsflow over the balance of 2024 – ADX has confirmed a very busy programme of activity from September.The overall unrisked value of the programme is ~A$1.70 per share, which represents 17x the current share price.In early September, ADX will drill the Anshof-2A side track.

France

TotalEnergies SE operates as an energy company. The Company produces, transports, and supplies crude oil, natural gas, and low carbon electricity, as well as refines petrochemical products. TotalEnergies owns and manages gasoline filling stations worldwide.

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TotalEnergies (TTE US)

Oil & Gas Giants Hit by Recession-Driven Sell-Off but Outperform the S&P 500

Energy stocks outperformed the S&P 500 on Monday despite a drop in crude oil prices, with elevated volume PCR and rising IV for most oil & gas...

Mint Finance

TotalEnergies SE: Strategic Portfolio Optimization in Renewable and Gas Projects Catalyzing Growth! - Major Drivers

TotalEnergies, in its second quarter and first-half 2024 earnings, showcased a strategic focus on balanced growth, execution of large-scale...

Baptista Research

[ETP 31/2024] Oil Prices Surge on Middle East Tensions; BP and Shell Beat Earnings Expectations

US crude inventories and gasoline stocks continue to decline, while US natural gas inventories are up YoY. European oil majors surpass Q2 profit...

Mint Finance

[Earnings Review] TotalEnergies Misses Estimates on Lower Sales and Shrinking Margins

TotalEnergies missed revenue & EPS estimates by 7.3% and 7.2% respectively. Lower refining margins negatively impact profitability. Upstream...

Mint Finance

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 26/07/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target of A$0.75 per share: Diversified and high impact...

Auctus Advisors

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Oil & Gas Giants Hit by Recession-Driven Sell-Off but Outperform the S&P 500

​Energy stocks outperformed the S&P 500 on Monday despite a drop in crude oil prices, with elevated volume PCR and rising IV for most oil & gas...

Mint Finance

TotalEnergies SE: Strategic Portfolio Optimization in Renewable and Gas Projects Catalyzing Growth! - Major Drivers

TotalEnergies, in its second quarter and first-half 2024 earnings, showcased a strategic focus on balanced growth, execution of large-scale...

Baptista Research

[ETP 31/2024] Oil Prices Surge on Middle East Tensions; BP and Shell Beat Earnings Expectations

​US crude inventories and gasoline stocks continue to decline, while US natural gas inventories are up YoY. European oil majors surpass Q2 profit...

Mint Finance

[Earnings Review] TotalEnergies Misses Estimates on Lower Sales and Shrinking Margins

TotalEnergies missed revenue & EPS estimates by 7.3% and 7.2% respectively. Lower refining margins negatively impact profitability. Upstream...

Mint Finance

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 26/07/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target of A$0.75 per share: Diversified and high impact...

Auctus Advisors

Energy stocks outperformed the S&P 500 on Monday despite a drop in crude oil prices, with elevated volume PCR and rising IV for most oil & gas...

US crude inventories and gasoline stocks continue to decline, while US natural gas inventories are up YoY. European oil majors surpass Q2 profit...