Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>Global base oils price differentials fall sharply relative to feedstock/competing fuel prices in June 2025 following surge in crude oil prices.</li><li>Speed and size of fall in base oils margins reflects more the surge in crude oil prices rather than sudden, unexpected change in base oils supply-demand fundamentals.</li><li>Lack of any sudden, unexpected change in supply-demand fundamentals could support reversion of base oils margins closer to their higher levels in early-June 2025 before their slump in recent weeks.</li></ul>

Global base oils price differentials fall sharply relative to feedstock/competing fuel prices in June 2025 following surge in crude oil prices.Speed and size of fall in base oils margins reflects more the surge in crude oil prices rather than sudden, unexpected change in base oils supply-demand fundamentals.Lack of any sudden, unexpected change in supply-demand fundamentals could support reversion of base oils margins closer to their higher levels in early-June 2025 before their slump in recent weeks.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 23 June

<ul><li>US base oils prices fall relative to feedstock/competing fuel prices following recent surge in crude oil prices.</li><li>Dip in US export price-premium to vacuum gasoil in June 2025 contrasts with sustained surge of price-premium in Q2-Q3 2024.</li><li>Weaker price-premium points to softer supply-demand fundamentals at end-Q2 2025 compared with year earlier.</li></ul>

US base oils prices fall relative to feedstock/competing fuel prices following recent surge in crude oil prices.Dip in US export price-premium to vacuum gasoil in June 2025 contrasts with sustained surge of price-premium in Q2-Q3 2024.Weaker price-premium points to softer supply-demand fundamentals at end-Q2 2025 compared with year earlier.

Americas/EMEA base oils supply outlook: Week of 23 June

<ul><li>US base oils demand could get support from higher crude oil prices that curb prospect of fall in base oils prices.</li><li>Even so, expectations of ready availability of supplies, combined with seasonal slowdown in lube consumption in coming weeks, likely to incentivize buyers to maintain low stocks.</li><li>Buyers face ongoing challenge of balancing expectations of weak fundamentals with repercussions of higher crude oil prices and risk of weather-related supply disruptions during Atlantic hurricane season.</li></ul>

US base oils demand could get support from higher crude oil prices that curb prospect of fall in base oils prices.Even so, expectations of ready availability of supplies, combined with seasonal slowdown in lube consumption in coming weeks, likely to incentivize buyers to maintain low stocks.Buyers face ongoing challenge of balancing expectations of weak fundamentals with repercussions of higher crude oil prices and risk of weather-related supply disruptions during Atlantic hurricane season.

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 23 June

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business, Auctus Advisors

Auctus Advisors

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business

Auctus Advisors is a specialist Equity Capital Markets and Advisory business with a focus in the Energy Sector. The partners have complementary skill sets, with decades of experience across Equity Capital Markets, Investment Banking and the Energy industry. We have worked at Société Générale, Canaccord Capital, BMO Capital Markets and Schlumberger. Most recently we have worked together for many years at GMP FirstEnergy. Auctus has been set up at the beginning of a new decade in which we see significant opportunities in the Energy space. Globally, demand for energy is at record levels and continues to grow. Conversely, investment in traditional energy sources has been severely constrained. We believe this imbalance creates opportunities for both companies and investors. Auctus provides Corporate Broking, Equity Research and Investment Banking services.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: Focus on the shallow gas prospects – ADX has initiated the farm-out process for the GOLD cluster of shallow gas prospects in ADX-AT-II.</li><li>This cluster includes the GOLD (A&C), GOLD (B), GRAB, and ZAUN prospects, with a combined P50 prospective resource estimate of 12.1 bcf (13.3 bcf on a mean basis).</li><li>GOLD accounts for 7.5 bcf, while ZAUN and GRAB hold 2.7 bcf and 1.9 bcf, respectively.</li></ul>

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: Focus on the shallow gas prospects – ADX has initiated the farm-out process for the GOLD cluster of shallow gas prospects in ADX-AT-II.This cluster includes the GOLD (A&C), GOLD (B), GRAB, and ZAUN prospects, with a combined P50 prospective resource estimate of 12.1 bcf (13.3 bcf on a mean basis).GOLD accounts for 7.5 bcf, while ZAUN and GRAB hold 2.7 bcf and 1.9 bcf, respectively.

Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 13/Jun, U.S. crude inventories fell by 11.5m barrels (vs. expectations of a 2.3m barrel decline). Meanwhile, gasoline and distillate stockpiles rose.</li>
<li>The EIA reported a 95 Bcf storage build, while analysts forecasted a 96 Bcf increase. Storage levels are 6.1% above the five-year average but 7.7% below year-ago levels.</li>
<li>Bernstein downgrades Shell and upgrades Aramco. Meanwhile, Chevron makes a pivot into U.S. lithium production.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 13/Jun, U.S. crude inventories fell by 11.5m barrels (vs. expectations of a 2.3m barrel decline). Meanwhile, gasoline and distillate stockpiles rose.
The EIA reported a 95 Bcf storage build, while analysts forecasted a 96 Bcf increase. Storage levels are 6.1% above the five-year average but 7.7% below year-ago levels.
Bernstein downgrades Shell and upgrades Aramco. Meanwhile, Chevron makes a pivot into U.S. lithium production.


[ETP 2025/25] WTI Wavers on Israel-Iran Tensions, While Henry Hub Rebounds on Demand Revival

France

TotalEnergies SE operates as an energy company. The Company produces, transports, and supplies crude oil, natural gas, and low carbon electricity, as well as refines petrochemical products. TotalEnergies owns and manages gasoline filling stations worldwide.

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TotalEnergies (TTE US)

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 23 June

Global base oils price differentials fall sharply relative to feedstock/competing fuel prices in June 2025 following surge in crude oil...

Base Oil News

Americas/EMEA base oils supply outlook: Week of 23 June

US base oils prices fall relative to feedstock/competing fuel prices following recent surge in crude oil prices. Dip in US export price-premium to...

Base Oil News

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 23 June

US base oils demand could get support from higher crude oil prices that curb prospect of fall in base oils prices. Even so, expectations of ready...

Base Oil News

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 20/06/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: Focus on the shallow gas...

Auctus Advisors

[ETP 2025/25] WTI Wavers on Israel-Iran Tensions, While Henry Hub Rebounds on Demand Revival

US crude inventories drop significantly, gasoline and distillate stockpiles increase. Natural gas storage levels above average but below last year...

Mint Finance

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 23 June

Global base oils price differentials fall sharply relative to feedstock/competing fuel prices in June 2025 following surge in crude oil...

Base Oil News

Americas/EMEA base oils supply outlook: Week of 23 June

US base oils prices fall relative to feedstock/competing fuel prices following recent surge in crude oil prices. Dip in US export price-premium to...

Base Oil News

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 23 June

US base oils demand could get support from higher crude oil prices that curb prospect of fall in base oils prices. Even so, expectations of ready...

Base Oil News

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 20/06/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: Focus on the shallow gas...

Auctus Advisors

[ETP 2025/25] WTI Wavers on Israel-Iran Tensions, While Henry Hub Rebounds on Demand Revival

​US crude inventories drop significantly, gasoline and distillate stockpiles increase. Natural gas storage levels above average but below last year...

Mint Finance

US crude inventories drop significantly, gasoline and distillate stockpiles increase. Natural gas storage levels above average but below last year...