Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>US base oils demand could get support from stock-building ahead of Atlantic hurricane season.</li><li>Slow end-user consumption, expectations of improving availability of supply and of steady-to-lower prices could curb extent of any such stock-building.</li><li>US refiners’ regular exports of surplus shipments to overseas markets could limit volumes available to cover for any unexpected supply disruptions over coming months.</li></ul>

US base oils demand could get support from stock-building ahead of Atlantic hurricane season.Slow end-user consumption, expectations of improving availability of supply and of steady-to-lower prices could curb extent of any such stock-building.US refiners’ regular exports of surplus shipments to overseas markets could limit volumes available to cover for any unexpected supply disruptions over coming months.

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 2 June

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business, Auctus Advisors

Auctus Advisors

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business

Auctus Advisors is a specialist Equity Capital Markets and Advisory business with a focus in the Energy Sector. The partners have complementary skill sets, with decades of experience across Equity Capital Markets, Investment Banking and the Energy industry. We have worked at Société Générale, Canaccord Capital, BMO Capital Markets and Schlumberger. Most recently we have worked together for many years at GMP FirstEnergy. Auctus has been set up at the beginning of a new decade in which we see significant opportunities in the Energy space. Globally, demand for energy is at record levels and continues to grow. Conversely, investment in traditional energy sources has been severely constrained. We believe this imbalance creates opportunities for both companies and investors. Auctus provides Corporate Broking, Equity Research and Investment Banking services.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.70 per share: Gearing-up for acquisitions?</li><li>– 1Q25 production was 4,085 boe/d with no horizontal wells drilled in the period.</li><li>RCE is more mature than CN and while no drilling has taken place at RCE, the decline rate between 4Q24 and 1Q25 was only ~5%.</li></ul>

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.70 per share: Gearing-up for acquisitions?– 1Q25 production was 4,085 boe/d with no horizontal wells drilled in the period.RCE is more mature than CN and while no drilling has taken place at RCE, the decline rate between 4Q24 and 1Q25 was only ~5%.

Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 23/May, U.S. crude inventories fell by 2.8m barrels (vs. expectations of a 1m barrel build). Meanwhile, gasoline and distillate stockpiles unexpectedly fell.</li>
<li>The EIA reported a 101 Bcf storage build, slightly more than the 98 Bcf forecast. Storage levels are 3.9% above the five-year average.</li>
<li>Chevron will cut 800 Texas jobs in an effort to reduce its global workforce by 20%. TotalEnergies is selling its 12.5% Nigerian offshore stake to Shell for USD 510 million.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 23/May, U.S. crude inventories fell by 2.8m barrels (vs. expectations of a 1m barrel build). Meanwhile, gasoline and distillate stockpiles unexpectedly fell.
The EIA reported a 101 Bcf storage build, slightly more than the 98 Bcf forecast. Storage levels are 3.9% above the five-year average.
Chevron will cut 800 Texas jobs in an effort to reduce its global workforce by 20%. TotalEnergies is selling its 12.5% Nigerian offshore stake to Shell for USD 510 million.


[ETP 2025/22] WTI Slips on Supply Glut Fears, Henry Hub Dips Amid Demand Drag

<ul><li>Global base oils prices mostly hold firm vs feedstock/gasoil prices.</li><li>Firm margins in Asia and Europe point to still-tight supply-demand fundamentals, incentivizing refiners to maintain high output levels.</li><li>Weaker margins in US point to diverging fundamentals compared with other regions.</li></ul>

Global base oils prices mostly hold firm vs feedstock/gasoil prices.Firm margins in Asia and Europe point to still-tight supply-demand fundamentals, incentivizing refiners to maintain high output levels.Weaker margins in US point to diverging fundamentals compared with other regions.

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 26 May

<ul><li>US Group II heavy-grade base oils prices stay unusually weak relative to CFR India prices for the time of year.</li><li>Persistent US price-discount to CFR India prices coincides with steady flow of heavy-grade base oils shipments from US to India and especially to Pakistan.</li><li>Arbitrage shipments highlight persistent surplus of heavy-grade base oils in US market.</li></ul>

US Group II heavy-grade base oils prices stay unusually weak relative to CFR India prices for the time of year.Persistent US price-discount to CFR India prices coincides with steady flow of heavy-grade base oils shipments from US to India and especially to Pakistan.Arbitrage shipments highlight persistent surplus of heavy-grade base oils in US market.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 26 May

France

TotalEnergies SE operates as an energy company. The Company produces, transports, and supplies crude oil, natural gas, and low carbon electricity, as well as refines petrochemical products. TotalEnergies owns and manages gasoline filling stations worldwide.

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TotalEnergies (TTE US)

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 2 June

US base oils demand could get support from stock-building ahead of Atlantic hurricane season. Slow end-user consumption, expectations of improving...

Base Oil News

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 30/05/2025

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.70 per share: Gearing-up for acquisitions? – 1Q25 production was 4,085 boe/d with no horizontal...

Auctus Advisors

[ETP 2025/22] WTI Slips on Supply Glut Fears, Henry Hub Dips Amid Demand Drag

US crude inventories fell more than expected, while gasoline and distillate stockpiles also dropped. Chevron to cut 800 Texas jobs, TotalEnergies...

Mint Finance

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 26 May

Global base oils prices mostly hold firm vs feedstock/gasoil prices. Firm margins in Asia and Europe point to still-tight supply-demand...

Base Oil News

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 26 May

US Group II heavy-grade base oils prices stay unusually weak relative to CFR India prices for the time of year. Persistent US price-discount to...

Base Oil News

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 2 June

US base oils demand could get support from stock-building ahead of Atlantic hurricane season. Slow end-user consumption, expectations of improving...

Base Oil News

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 30/05/2025

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.70 per share: Gearing-up for acquisitions? – 1Q25 production was 4,085 boe/d with no horizontal...

Auctus Advisors

[ETP 2025/22] WTI Slips on Supply Glut Fears, Henry Hub Dips Amid Demand Drag

​US crude inventories fell more than expected, while gasoline and distillate stockpiles also dropped. Chevron to cut 800 Texas jobs, TotalEnergies...

Mint Finance

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 26 May

Global base oils prices mostly hold firm vs feedstock/gasoil prices. Firm margins in Asia and Europe point to still-tight supply-demand...

Base Oil News

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 26 May

US Group II heavy-grade base oils prices stay unusually weak relative to CFR India prices for the time of year. Persistent US price-discount to...

Base Oil News

US crude inventories fell more than expected, while gasoline and distillate stockpiles also dropped. Chevron to cut 800 Texas jobs, TotalEnergies...