Senior Technology Analyst, Japanese Equities, LightStream Research

Scott Foster

Senior Technology Analyst, Japanese Equities

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>After nearly two years of decline, TOWA's new orders appear to have hit bottom this quarter and should start to recover in the three months to September.</li>
<li>Sales and profits should follow a similar trajectory with management expecting nearly 60% of FY Mar-26 sales and more than 80% of operating profit to be recorded in 2H.</li>
<li>Rising demand for AI-related high-bandwidth memory (HBM) and GPU packaging should drive growth for the next 2-3 years, bringing the projected P/E ratio for FY Mar-28 down to 12X.</li>
</ul>


After nearly two years of decline, TOWA's new orders appear to have hit bottom this quarter and should start to recover in the three months to September.
Sales and profits should follow a similar trajectory with management expecting nearly 60% of FY Mar-26 sales and more than 80% of operating profit to be recorded in 2H.
Rising demand for AI-related high-bandwidth memory (HBM) and GPU packaging should drive growth for the next 2-3 years, bringing the projected P/E ratio for FY Mar-28 down to 12X.


Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Sep 26th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD13,494m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Sanrio, Advantest, SoftBank, IHI, Kintetsu, Zensho, Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Tokyo Electron, Nagoya Railroad, Sanrio, Advantest, Softbank, Ihi.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Sep 26th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD13,494m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Sanrio, Advantest, SoftBank, IHI, Kintetsu, Zensho, Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Tokyo Electron, Nagoya Railroad, Sanrio, Advantest, Softbank, Ihi.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Sep 26th): Sanrio, Advantest, SoftBank, IHI, Kintetsu, Zensho

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Micron up AH as numbers beat handily, but not on what you maybe thought. TP's for Sandisk and Kioxia get doubled but expect more on the follow.</li>
<li>Defense will be in focus after loosing their shine to AI on Trump's Ukraine comments and big Boeing deals in the wings.</li>
<li>Quantum names continue higher and Socionext's 7.5% move Monday should have more to run.</li>
</ul>


Micron up AH as numbers beat handily, but not on what you maybe thought. TP's for Sandisk and Kioxia get doubled but expect more on the follow.
Defense will be in focus after loosing their shine to AI on Trump's Ukraine comments and big Boeing deals in the wings.
Quantum names continue higher and Socionext's 7.5% move Monday should have more to run.


Japan Morning Connection: The US Expands Its Tech Reach, Looking to Aquire 10% of Lithium Americas

<ul>
<li>Cautious ASML guidance sets dour tone to start but weakness for semi's limited.</li>
<li>JNJ beats handily thanks to FX and medtech which should cause pharma and likes of Terumo to squeeze off the bell.</li>
<li>7&amp;I likely to be weak to start but unlikely there was too much residual expectation priced in after a difficult road for CT.</li>
</ul>


Cautious ASML guidance sets dour tone to start but weakness for semi's limited.
JNJ beats handily thanks to FX and medtech which should cause pharma and likes of Terumo to squeeze off the bell.
7&amp;I likely to be weak to start but unlikely there was too much residual expectation priced in after a difficult road for CT.


Japan Morning Connection: Couche-Tard Sounds the Retreat on Its Advances for 7&I

<ul>
<li>NVDA and AMD saving the market after weak banks earnings set a sour tone.</li>
<li>Chips news a big win for demand for Samsung memory which should play well for Micronics.</li>
<li>Apple cutting a manufacturing deal with MP Materials reiterates importance of rare earths access.</li>
</ul>


NVDA and AMD saving the market after weak banks earnings set a sour tone.
Chips news a big win for demand for Samsung memory which should play well for Micronics.
Apple cutting a manufacturing deal with MP Materials reiterates importance of rare earths access.


Japan Morning Connection: Only Tech in the Green After Dovish Stance Against AI Chips to China

Japan

TOWA CORPORATION produces semiconductor manufacturing equipment including mold packaging, IC inspection units, precision molds and dies, and plastic molds. The Company also provides technical consultation.

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Towa Corp (6315 JP)

Towa (6315): Buy for Orders Rebound

Sales and profits should rebound in 2H of FY Mar-26. Rising demand for high-bandwidth memory and GPU packaging equipment should bring the projected...

Scott Foster

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Sep 26th): Sanrio, Advantest, SoftBank, IHI, Kintetsu, Zensho

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Sanrio (8136 JP), Advantest (6857 JP), SoftBank (9984 JP), IHI...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Japan Morning Connection: The US Expands Its Tech Reach, Looking to Aquire 10% of Lithium Americas

Quantum names continue to do well which may send Socionext even higher. Micron's numbers after hours will add upside to Ibiden. Any pullback in...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Couche-Tard Sounds the Retreat on Its Advances for 7&I

ASML guidance sets dour tone but market may have seen through the cautiousness, JNJ beats sending pharma higher giving some JP names a potential...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Only Tech in the Green After Dovish Stance Against AI Chips to China

AI ecosystem given a lift by the US softening their stance on trade with China. Other sectors in the red after mixed earnings from banks...

Andrew Jackson

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Towa (6315): Buy for Orders Rebound

Sales and profits should rebound in 2H of FY Mar-26. Rising demand for high-bandwidth memory and GPU packaging equipment should bring the projected...

Scott Foster

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Sep 26th): Sanrio, Advantest, SoftBank, IHI, Kintetsu, Zensho

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Sanrio (8136 JP), Advantest (6857 JP), SoftBank (9984 JP), IHI...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Japan Morning Connection: The US Expands Its Tech Reach, Looking to Aquire 10% of Lithium Americas

Quantum names continue to do well which may send Socionext even higher. Micron's numbers after hours will add upside to Ibiden. Any pullback in...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Couche-Tard Sounds the Retreat on Its Advances for 7&I

​ASML guidance sets dour tone but market may have seen through the cautiousness, JNJ beats sending pharma higher giving some JP names a potential...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Only Tech in the Green After Dovish Stance Against AI Chips to China

AI ecosystem given a lift by the US softening their stance on trade with China. Other sectors in the red after mixed earnings from banks...

Andrew Jackson

ASML guidance sets dour tone but market may have seen through the cautiousness, JNJ beats sending pharma higher giving some JP names a potential...