Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

Toyota Motor Corp Spon Adr / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Toyota Motor Corporation's latest financial results present a mixed bag of data for investors to consider.</li><li>For the fiscal year ending March 2025, the company reported a robust operating income of JPY 4.8 trillion, primarily driven by revised pricing strategies and value chain profit expansion.</li><li>However, this figure represents a decline from the previous year's results, which were buoyed by one-time favorable effects.</li></ul>

Toyota Motor Corporation's latest financial results present a mixed bag of data for investors to consider.For the fiscal year ending March 2025, the company reported a robust operating income of JPY 4.8 trillion, primarily driven by revised pricing strategies and value chain profit expansion.However, this figure represents a decline from the previous year's results, which were buoyed by one-time favorable effects.

Toyota’s $14 Billion Power Move: Betting On Hybrids As EV Hype Fades!

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
Context: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Motor (7203 JP)</a> rallied 3.2% in Wednesday's morning session. Quantitative models highlight potential for a short-term pull-back.</li>
<li>
Trade Idea: Three actionable option strategies with a bearish tilt are presented, taking advantage of current implied volatility levels and skew.</li>
<li>
Why Read: This Insight combines directional analysis with volatility signals, highlighting a tactical options strategy where high implied volatility and bearish probabilities align, offering investors defined risk/reward.</li>
</ul>



Context: Toyota Motor (7203 JP) rallied 3.2% in Wednesday's morning session. Quantitative models highlight potential for a short-term pull-back.

Trade Idea: Three actionable option strategies with a bearish tilt are presented, taking advantage of current implied volatility levels and skew.

Why Read: This Insight combines directional analysis with volatility signals, highlighting a tactical options strategy where high implied volatility and bearish probabilities align, offering investors defined risk/reward.


Toyota (7203 JP) Up 3.2% Today: Tactical Bearish Option Strategies as Pullback Looms

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Motor (7203 JP)</a> has been going nowhere since July 2025 and before that it dropped from its highest peak. Long-term bullish, but short term we expect a pullback.</li>
<li>Our model shows that the current trend pattern for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Motor (7203 JP)</a> is not bullish, usually the stock pulls back after 2 weeks up, i.e. end of this week.</li>
<li>We propose this analysis of the pullback as an opportunity to buy at higher prices, or otherwise to hedge your holdings, if you want to tactically optimize returns.</li>
</ul>



Toyota Motor (7203 JP) has been going nowhere since July 2025 and before that it dropped from its highest peak. Long-term bullish, but short term we expect a pullback.
Our model shows that the current trend pattern for Toyota Motor (7203 JP) is not bullish, usually the stock pulls back after 2 weeks up, i.e. end of this week.
We propose this analysis of the pullback as an opportunity to buy at higher prices, or otherwise to hedge your holdings, if you want to tactically optimize returns.


Toyota Motor (7203 JP) Tactical Outlook: Awaiting Imminent Pullback

Singapore Market Roundup, Singapore Market Roundup

Singapore Market Roundup

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Citi downgrades OCBC to 'neutral' despite positive 2QFY2026 outlook.</li><li>Broker's Digest: Aztech, Raffles, YZJ, HPH, iFAST, SGX, Singtel.</li><li>DBS maintains Singtel's target price at $5.46 amid Optus stake sale discussions.</li></ul>

Citi downgrades OCBC to 'neutral' despite positive 2QFY2026 outlook.Broker's Digest: Aztech, Raffles, YZJ, HPH, iFAST, SGX, Singtel.DBS maintains Singtel's target price at $5.46 amid Optus stake sale discussions.

Singapore Market Roundup (31-Jul-2026): Citi downgrades OCBC to 'neutral' despite positive

Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>China's exports surged 17.4%YoY in H1/2026, mitigating the impact of FAI declining 5.7%YoY, and retail sales eking out 0.2%YoY growth in Q2/2026. Propped by exports, Q2/2026 real GDP grew 4.3%YoY.</li>
<li>Like steel in 2011-15, car exports are soaring (70.6%YoY H1/2026) while domestic sales are slumping (-20.4%YoY). China's car exports are gaining global market share by dumping (selling below cost). </li>
<li>Real GDP will likely grow less than 4% in 2026. With net services/income and capital outflows of US$1.09trn (Jul'25-Jun'26), stimulus will increase capital flight. Nonetheless China's export companies are BUYs.</li>
</ul>


China's exports surged 17.4%YoY in H1/2026, mitigating the impact of FAI declining 5.7%YoY, and retail sales eking out 0.2%YoY growth in Q2/2026. Propped by exports, Q2/2026 real GDP grew 4.3%YoY.
Like steel in 2011-15, car exports are soaring (70.6%YoY H1/2026) while domestic sales are slumping (-20.4%YoY). China's car exports are gaining global market share by dumping (selling below cost). 
Real GDP will likely grow less than 4% in 2026. With net services/income and capital outflows of US$1.09trn (Jul'25-Jun'26), stimulus will increase capital flight. Nonetheless China's export companies are BUYs.


China: Slumping Domestic Economy Is Propped up by Exports Dumped Abroad

Japan

Toyota Motor Corporation manufactures, sells, leases, and repairs passenger cars, trucks, buses, and their related parts worldwide. The Company also operates financing services through their subsidiaries. Toyota Motor builds homes, produces pleasure boats, and develops intelligent transportation systems including radar cruise control and electronic toll collection systems.

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Toyota Motor Corp Spon Adr (TM US)

Toyota’s $14 Billion Power Move: Betting On Hybrids As EV Hype Fades!

Toyota Motor Corporation's latest financial results present a mixed bag of data for investors to consider. For the fiscal year ending March 2025,...

Baptista Research

Toyota (7203 JP) Up 3.2% Today: Tactical Bearish Option Strategies as Pullback Looms

Explore three actionable bearish option strategies as Toyota (7203 JP) rallies 3.5%. Capitalize on elevated volatility and flat skew while...

Gaudenz Schneider

Toyota Motor (7203 JP) Tactical Outlook: Awaiting Imminent Pullback

Toyota Motor (7203 JP) is facing a short-term pullback risk, it should happen this week or the next. This could be a tactical buying opportunity...

Nico Rosti

Singapore Market Roundup (31-Jul-2026): Citi downgrades OCBC to 'neutral' despite positive

Citi downgrades OCBC to 'neutral' despite a positive 2QFY2026 outlook. DBS keeps Singtel's target price at $5.46 amid Optus stake sale talks.

Singapore Market Roundup

China: Slumping Domestic Economy Is Propped up by Exports Dumped Abroad

China's exports drive 4.7%YoY RGDP growth in H1/2026 despite slumping domestic demand. Like steel a decade ago, dumped car exports are gaining...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Toyota’s $14 Billion Power Move: Betting On Hybrids As EV Hype Fades!

Toyota Motor Corporation's latest financial results present a mixed bag of data for investors to consider. For the fiscal year ending March 2025,...

Baptista Research

Toyota (7203 JP) Up 3.2% Today: Tactical Bearish Option Strategies as Pullback Looms

Explore three actionable bearish option strategies as Toyota (7203 JP) rallies 3.5%. Capitalize on elevated volatility and flat skew while...

Gaudenz Schneider

Toyota Motor (7203 JP) Tactical Outlook: Awaiting Imminent Pullback

​Toyota Motor (7203 JP) is facing a short-term pullback risk, it should happen this week or the next. This could be a tactical buying opportunity...

Nico Rosti

Singapore Market Roundup (31-Jul-2026): Citi downgrades OCBC to 'neutral' despite positive

Citi downgrades OCBC to 'neutral' despite a positive 2QFY2026 outlook. DBS keeps Singtel's target price at $5.46 amid Optus stake sale talks.

Singapore Market Roundup

China: Slumping Domestic Economy Is Propped up by Exports Dumped Abroad

​China's exports drive 4.7%YoY RGDP growth in H1/2026 despite slumping domestic demand. Like steel a decade ago, dumped car exports are gaining...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Toyota Motor (7203 JP) is facing a short-term pullback risk, it should happen this week or the next. This could be a tactical buying opportunity...

China's exports drive 4.7%YoY RGDP growth in H1/2026 despite slumping domestic demand. Like steel a decade ago, dumped car exports are gaining...