Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

Toyota Motor Corp Spon Adr / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Toyota managed to exceed analyst expectations in terms of revenue as well as earnings.</li><li>The company faced production constraints due to factors like semiconductor shortages, natural disasters, and the ongoing impact of COVID-19.</li><li>Their expert team members also remain committed to managing risks, investing in growth, and shaping the future of the automotive industry.</li></ul>

Toyota managed to exceed analyst expectations in terms of revenue as well as earnings.The company faced production constraints due to factors like semiconductor shortages, natural disasters, and the ongoing impact of COVID-19.Their expert team members also remain committed to managing risks, investing in growth, and shaping the future of the automotive industry.

Toyota Motor Corporation: How Long Are Production Constraints & Other Challenges Going To Last? – Key Drivers

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>2023 marked our eighth year covering Equity Capital Markets in Asia Pacific. In 2023, IPOs didn’t pick up much from the low base of 2022  while placements showed upward momentum.</li>
<li>We ended 2023 with an accuracy rate of 73.7% across 57 IPOs that we covered and 79.3% across 115 placements.</li>
<li>For those not familiar with our coverage, we aim to cover all IPOs and placements with a minimum deal size of US$100m across Asia-Pacific, including China ADRs.</li>
</ul>


2023 marked our eighth year covering Equity Capital Markets in Asia Pacific. In 2023, IPOs didn’t pick up much from the low base of 2022  while placements showed upward momentum.
We ended 2023 with an accuracy rate of 73.7% across 57 IPOs that we covered and 79.3% across 115 placements.
For those not familiar with our coverage, we aim to cover all IPOs and placements with a minimum deal size of US$100m across Asia-Pacific, including China ADRs.


Aequitas 2023 IPOs and Placements Performance Review - IPOs Forming a Low Base, Placements Pick Up

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>15 minutes after I published what I thought was a <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/huge-denso-6902-secondary-sale-by-toyota-group-admiral-ackbar-says-it-s-a-trap" target="_blank" rel="noopener">considered analysis</a>, Denso dumps the details. I thought it might be a trap. It looks like a trap.</li>
<li>A holistic view of the three different documents here suggests, indeed, "It was a trap". </li>
<li>This giant offering is not bearish overhang but likely tilts bullish with greenshoe support, a large buyback, a new cross-holding reduction policy, and the follow-on effects from that.</li>
</ul>


15 minutes after I published what I thought was a considered analysis, Denso dumps the details. I thought it might be a trap. It looks like a trap.
A holistic view of the three different documents here suggests, indeed, "It was a trap". 
This giant offering is not bearish overhang but likely tilts bullish with greenshoe support, a large buyback, a new cross-holding reduction policy, and the follow-on effects from that.


Denso Offering, Buyback, and New Cross-Holding Reduction Policy - It WAS a Trap

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>As per Reuters, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Motor (7203 JP)</a> could look to sell up to 10% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/denso-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18703:1" rel="noopener">Denso Corp (6902 JP)</a> to raise around US$4.7bn before the end of the year.</li>
<li>Toyota is the company’s largest shareholder and its largest customer.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>


As per Reuters, Toyota Motor (7203 JP) could look to sell up to 10% of Denso Corp (6902 JP) to raise around US$4.7bn before the end of the year.
Toyota is the company’s largest shareholder and its largest customer.
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics.


Denso Corp Placement - Possible Placement by Toyota to Raise US$4.7bn

Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

<ul>
<li>Tesla is facing a dilemma whether to aggressively cut price to boost shipment but lose margins or to keep price stable with a more moderated shipment growth like 10-20% y/y. </li>
<li>Three challenges ahead: 1. Collapsing margin vs. rising margin for key competitors? 2. Cybertruck is selling at a loss, more margin downside? 3. Valuation reset for lower sales CAGR? </li>
<li>Cautious on Tesla as its sales/earnings CAGR is falling below 20% with a rich valuation until we see cost cut on Cybertruck, FSD AI breakthrough, and low price model introduction.</li>
</ul>


Tesla is facing a dilemma whether to aggressively cut price to boost shipment but lose margins or to keep price stable with a more moderated shipment growth like 10-20% y/y. 
Three challenges ahead: 1. Collapsing margin vs. rising margin for key competitors? 2. Cybertruck is selling at a loss, more margin downside? 3. Valuation reset for lower sales CAGR? 
Cautious on Tesla as its sales/earnings CAGR is falling below 20% with a rich valuation until we see cost cut on Cybertruck, FSD AI breakthrough, and low price model introduction.


Tesla (TSLA) No Longer Prevails, a Dilemma and Touch Challenges Ahead

Japan

Toyota Motor Corporation manufactures, sells, leases, and repairs passenger cars, trucks, buses, and their related parts worldwide. The Company also operates financing services through their subsidiaries. Toyota Motor builds homes, produces pleasure boats, and develops intelligent transportation systems including radar cruise control and electronic toll collection systems.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Toyota Motor Corp Spon Adr (TM US)

Toyota Motor Corporation: How Long Are Production Constraints & Other Challenges Going To Last? – Key Drivers

Toyota managed to exceed analyst expectations in terms of revenue as well as earnings. The company faced production constraints due to factors...

Baptista Research

Aequitas 2023 IPOs and Placements Performance Review - IPOs Forming a Low Base, Placements Pick Up

2023 was our eight year of covering Asia ECM. We ended 2023 with an accuracy rate of 73.7% across 57 IPOs that we covered and 79.3% across 115...

Sumeet Singh

Denso Offering, Buyback, and New Cross-Holding Reduction Policy - It WAS a Trap

Denso has announced the secondary offering of roughly 10% of shares out. It is heavily tilted to retail. And the simultaneous announcement of a...

Travis Lundy

Denso Corp Placement - Possible Placement by Toyota to Raise US$4.7bn

As per Reuters, Toyota Motor (7203 JP) could look to sell up to 10% of Denso Corp (6902 JP) to raise around US$4.7bn before the end of the year.

Sumeet Singh

Tesla (TSLA) No Longer Prevails, a Dilemma and Touch Challenges Ahead

Tesla No Longer Prevails, a Dilemma and Three Touch Challenges Ahead: 1. Collapsing margin vs. rising margin for peers; 2. Cybertruck is selling at...

Andrew Lu

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)