Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Aussie/Singapore telco play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tuas-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30985:1" rel="noopener">Tuas (TUA AU)</a> is down 55% (63% at one point) after Singapore's telco regulator Infocomm Media Development Authority (IMDA) said Tuas may have been using unapproved spectrum. </li>
<li>Concurrently, IMDA halted its assessment of the proposed consolidation between <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12:1" rel="noopener">Keppel (KEP SP)</a>'s M1 and Tuas' Simba Telecom until further notice. That consolidation was announced last August. </li>
<li>Tuas was trading at A$5.51/share prior to the August announcement, and is now at $2.75, or a A$1.5bn market cap hit. That's excessive. </li>
</ul>


Aussie/Singapore telco play Tuas (TUA AU) is down 55% (63% at one point) after Singapore's telco regulator Infocomm Media Development Authority (IMDA) said Tuas may have been using unapproved spectrum. 
Concurrently, IMDA halted its assessment of the proposed consolidation between Keppel (KEP SP)'s M1 and Tuas' Simba Telecom until further notice. That consolidation was announced last August. 
Tuas was trading at A$5.51/share prior to the August announcement, and is now at $2.75, or a A$1.5bn market cap hit. That's excessive. 


Tuas (TUA AU): Even IF In Breach, This Is A Buy

<ul>
<li>Bain extends the TOB for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mcj-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14132:1" rel="noopener">MCJ Co Ltd (6670 JP)</a>. This still needs a bump.</li>
<li>I'd still be setting up the stub here. Or buying <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19718:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP)</a> outright. Expect more accretion/recycling. All of which benefits Matheson. And the Keswicks.</li>
<li>Re: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-industries-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4500:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Industries (6201 JP)</a>: arbitrageurs gonna arbitrage. And shorts are going to cover. If you are in either camp, you know what to do. Or have to do.</li>
</ul>


Bain extends the TOB for MCJ Co Ltd (6670 JP). This still needs a bump.
I'd still be setting up the stub here. Or buying Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP) outright. Expect more accretion/recycling. All of which benefits Matheson. And the Keswicks.
Re: Toyota Industries (6201 JP): arbitrageurs gonna arbitrage. And shorts are going to cover. If you are in either camp, you know what to do. Or have to do.


Last Week In Event SPACE: MCJ, Jardine Matheson, Toyota Industries, Zijin Mining/Chifeng Jilong Gold

<ul>
<li>Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 16th March, published ~9AM on the 20th March.</li>
<li>The largest industry net increase in the past week was into "Diversified Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was out of "Industrial REITs". Net shorts increased A$2.3bn week-on-week.
</li>
<li>Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goodman-fielder-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:171:1" rel="noopener">Goodman Fielder (GFF AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/woodside-petroleum-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:177:1" rel="noopener">Woodside Petroleum (WPL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tpg-telecom-ltd-5b64c473-761f-4a0a-a7f9-95770efefa20" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30984:1" rel="noopener">TPG Telecom (TPG AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/droneshield-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30509:1" rel="noopener">DroneShield Ltd (DRO AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/electro-optic-systems-holdin" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20402:1" rel="noopener">Electro Optic Systems Hldg (EOS AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 16th March, published ~9AM on the 20th March.
The largest industry net increase in the past week was into "Diversified Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was out of "Industrial REITs". Net shorts increased A$2.3bn week-on-week.

Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: Goodman Fielder (GFF AU), Woodside Petroleum (WPL AU), TPG Telecom (TPG AU), DroneShield Ltd (DRO AU), Electro Optic Systems Hldg (EOS AU).


Aussie Shorts (16th Mar 2026): Goodman Fielder, Woodside Petroleum, TPG Telecom, DroneShield

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Mar 13th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD37.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Insurance Australia, CSL, Transurban, James Hardie Industries, Evolution Mining.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Mar 13th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD37.9bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Insurance Australia, CSL, Transurban, James Hardie Industries, Evolution Mining.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 13th): Insurance Australia, CSL, Transurban, James Hardie Industries

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Dec 5th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD28.4bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Aristocrat Leisure, ALS, JB Hi-Fi, WiseTech Global, Woolworths.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Dec 5th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD28.4bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Aristocrat Leisure, ALS, JB Hi-Fi, WiseTech Global, Woolworths.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 5th): Aristocrat Leisure, ALS, JB Hi-Fi, WiseTech Global, Woolworths

Australia

TPG Telecom Ltd provides telecommunication services. The Company offers mobile and fixed broadband solutions. Vodafone Hutchison Australia serves customers in Australia.

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TPG Telecom (TPG AU)

Tuas (TUA AU): Even IF In Breach, This Is A Buy

Despite an uncertain backdrop, Tuas' share price appears unduly beaten up here. Yes - absent the M1 merger, it remains Singapore's budget operator....

David Blennerhassett

Last Week In Event SPACE: MCJ, Jardine Matheson, Toyota Industries, Zijin Mining/Chifeng Jilong Gold

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Aussie Shorts (16th Mar 2026): Goodman Fielder, Woodside Petroleum, TPG Telecom, DroneShield

The largest industry net increase in the past week was into "Diversified Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was out of "Industrial REITs"....

David Blennerhassett

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 13th): Insurance Australia, CSL, Transurban, James Hardie Industries

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Insurance Australia, CSL, Transurban, James Hardie...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 5th): Aristocrat Leisure, ALS, JB Hi-Fi, WiseTech Global, Woolworths

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Aristocrat Leisure, ALS, JB Hi-Fi, WiseTech Global,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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