Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes back above US$13bn a day this past 4-day week. Net buying back below US$500mm/day.</li>
<li>Among the top buys as a percentage of volume, FINANCIALS, ENERGY, TELECOMS stand out, dramatically. Among top sells, it is INFO TECH again. 8 weeks in a row negative.</li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Monitor</a> are both there free for SK readers.</li>
</ul>


Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes back above US$13bn a day this past 4-day week. Net buying back below US$500mm/day.
Among the top buys as a percentage of volume, FINANCIALS, ENERGY, TELECOMS stand out, dramatically. Among top sells, it is INFO TECH again. 8 weeks in a row negative.
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Monitor are both there free for SK readers.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 6 June 2025); Volumes Up, Tech Down, ENERGY Bought Big

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Equity Bottom-Up

China Communications Services Corp Ltd. / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Stable, Steady, State-owned Enterprise with upside from policy push on AI</li>
<li>Lowly rated company with a new cyclical growth story in a strategic sector</li>
<li>Good balance sheet with the opportunity to raise payouts and yields.</li>
</ul>


Stable, Steady, State-owned Enterprise with upside from policy push on AI
Lowly rated company with a new cyclical growth story in a strategic sector
Good balance sheet with the opportunity to raise payouts and yields.


China Communications Services Corp. (552.HK)-Riding the AI Wave...

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>HK/China markets have entered a Bull market trend which was sparked by Beijing's multi-faceted stimulus program.</li>
<li>An overhang of extreme pessimism on China's economy and markets will gradually dissipate as the media/analyst narrative will follow the market higher.</li>
<li>As discussed in previous insights, a turn in sentiment is the key to not only moving the market but also to reviving the Chinese consumer.</li>
</ul>


HK/China markets have entered a Bull market trend which was sparked by Beijing's multi-faceted stimulus program.
An overhang of extreme pessimism on China's economy and markets will gradually dissipate as the media/analyst narrative will follow the market higher.
As discussed in previous insights, a turn in sentiment is the key to not only moving the market but also to reviving the Chinese consumer.


OVER THE HORIZON: HK/CHINA No Longer the Stock Market Pinata!

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Sentiment, positioning and valuation provide a similar setup to January 2024</li>
<li>External macro events leading to a better fundamental environment for China</li>
<li>Foreign Investors' disappointment in minimal fiscal stimulus provides an asymmetric opportunity</li>
</ul>


Sentiment, positioning and valuation provide a similar setup to January 2024
External macro events leading to a better fundamental environment for China
Foreign Investors' disappointment in minimal fiscal stimulus provides an asymmetric opportunity


Just when I Thought I Was Out, They Pull Me Back In – Time for Another Tradeable Rally in the HSI?

China Nonferrous Mining Corp / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A shares were down on the week, not maintaining the month-end bounce after the long weekend. H-shares were mixed. HSCEI was slightly up. </li>
<li>Net SOUTHBOUND buying was +HK23bn. SOUTHBOUND ended its consecutive post-CNY daily net buy streak on 25 March, then started a new one. No net sell days since.</li>
<li>This week saw a LOT of news. State Council Nine Points. CSRC draft regs and legislative work plan. Ratings agency action. Lots of movement. None of it hugely positive.</li>
</ul>


A shares were down on the week, not maintaining the month-end bounce after the long weekend. H-shares were mixed. HSCEI was slightly up. 
Net SOUTHBOUND buying was +HK23bn. SOUTHBOUND ended its consecutive post-CNY daily net buy streak on 25 March, then started a new one. No net sell days since.
This week saw a LOT of news. State Council Nine Points. CSRC draft regs and legislative work plan. Ratings agency action. Lots of movement. None of it hugely positive.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 12 Apr 2024); Strong Net Buying. New State Council and CSRC Plans

Hong Kong

Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (TraHK) is an ETF registered in Hong Kong. The Fund seeks to provide investment results that closely correspond to the performance of the Hang Seng Index through investing all, or substantially all, of the Fund's assets in Index Shares in substantially the same weightings as they appear in the Hang Seng Index.

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Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800 HK)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 6 June 2025); Volumes Up, Tech Down, ENERGY Bought Big

SOUTHBOUND bought another HK$14bn+ last week in the four-day week. ENERGY was big again, as was CONSUMER DISC though some of the latter was index...

Travis Lundy

China Communications Services Corp. (552.HK)-Riding the AI Wave...

The company is quietly making 52-week highs as sentiment improves around Chinese technology, AI and data centres. The news on GDS Holdings spin off...

Rikki Malik

OVER THE HORIZON: HK/CHINA No Longer the Stock Market Pinata!

HK/China markets have entered a BULL market with excessive pessimism on the economy and markets about to change. With sentiment improving China's...

David Mudd

Just when I Thought I Was Out, They Pull Me Back In – Time for Another Tradeable Rally in the HSI?

Bloomberg today -Chinese cities removing restrictions on non-Hukou purchases. "China Weighs Removing Major Homebuying Curbs to Boost...

Rikki Malik

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 12 Apr 2024); Strong Net Buying. New State Council and CSRC Plans

Strong SOUTHBOUND Connect flows continue. Only one net sell day since the end of Chinese New Year. H-shares were flat to up while A-shares were...

Travis Lundy

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