Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The market remains relentlessly strong, shrugging off the latest "bearish" headline regarding Moody's U.S. debt downgrade on Friday.</li>
<li>This is exactly what we would expect to happen in a bull market, particularly during this "lockout rally," and helps confirm our bullish outlook.</li>
<li>Our outlook will remain bullish as long as the SPX is above 5500, while short-term gap support is at 5700-5785. We expect a test of all-time highs soon.</li>
</ul>


The market remains relentlessly strong, shrugging off the latest "bearish" headline regarding Moody's U.S. debt downgrade on Friday.
This is exactly what we would expect to happen in a bull market, particularly during this "lockout rally," and helps confirm our bullish outlook.
Our outlook will remain bullish as long as the SPX is above 5500, while short-term gap support is at 5700-5785. We expect a test of all-time highs soon.


Expecting a Test of All-Time Highs; Crypto (MSTR, HOOD, BTDR) And Quantum (QBTS, IONQ, RGTI) Leading

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Trane Technologies has recently concluded its third quarter earnings call for 2024, disclosing a robust financial performance characterized by significant organic revenue and earnings growth.</li>
<li>The company's revenue grew organically by 11% while adjusted earnings per share (EPS) increased by 21%, a reflection of Trane Technologies' strategic emphasis on innovation and market penetration in the HVAC sector.</li>
<li>Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.</li>
</ul>


Trane Technologies has recently concluded its third quarter earnings call for 2024, disclosing a robust financial performance characterized by significant organic revenue and earnings growth.
The company's revenue grew organically by 11% while adjusted earnings per share (EPS) increased by 21%, a reflection of Trane Technologies' strategic emphasis on innovation and market penetration in the HVAC sector.
Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.


Trane Technologies Plc: Will The Strength in Industrial & Commercial Verticals Last?

<ul>
<li>Considering constructive market dynamics and the recent $SPX breakout above 5783 following several months of consolidation, we upgraded our outlook to bullish as of our 10/15/24 U.S. Macro Vision report</li>
<li>Since late-July, we have been neutral on the SPX, preferring to buy near 5100-5200 support and sell near 5670-5783 resistance until there is a break in either direction.</li>
<li>The verdict of the market is the only one that matters, and the breakout above 5783 is the market's way of saying the path of least resistance is higher.</li>
</ul>


Considering constructive market dynamics and the recent $SPX breakout above 5783 following several months of consolidation, we upgraded our outlook to bullish as of our 10/15/24 U.S. Macro Vision report
Since late-July, we have been neutral on the SPX, preferring to buy near 5100-5200 support and sell near 5670-5783 resistance until there is a break in either direction.
The verdict of the market is the only one that matters, and the breakout above 5783 is the market's way of saying the path of least resistance is higher.


Bullish Outlook Focused on Large- And Mid-Caps; Russell 2000 Below Resistance; Concerns Dwindling

<ul>
<li>The latest quarterly earnings results from Trane Technologies indicate a company capitalizing on robust market demand and strategic investments in innovative technologies related to energy efficiency, decarbonization, and digital transformation.</li>
<li>Notably, Trane Technologies is leveraging its leading-edge solutions and AI enhancements to assist clients in reducing energy consumption and emissions, which is particularly vital in a world increasingly concerned with environmental impacts.</li>
<li>Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.</li>
</ul>


The latest quarterly earnings results from Trane Technologies indicate a company capitalizing on robust market demand and strategic investments in innovative technologies related to energy efficiency, decarbonization, and digital transformation.
Notably, Trane Technologies is leveraging its leading-edge solutions and AI enhancements to assist clients in reducing energy consumption and emissions, which is particularly vital in a world increasingly concerned with environmental impacts.
Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.


Trane Technologies Plc: Strategic Product Rollouts & Upgrades A Potential Business Catalyst?

Global Commodities, Mint Finance

Srinidhi Raghavendra

Global Commodities

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

<ul>
<li>July 2024 ranked as the warmest July in NOAA’s 175-year global record. Land &amp; sea surface temperatures were above average across the planet barring few exceptions.</li>
<li>July had the 2nd smallest sea ice coverage in 46-years at 8.49 million square miles. There is a 77% chance that 2024 will rank as the warmest year on record.</li>
<li>Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning (“HVAC”) stocks continue to rise on strong demand as temperatures peak across the planet.</li>
</ul>


July 2024 ranked as the warmest July in NOAA’s 175-year global record. Land &amp; sea surface temperatures were above average across the planet barring few exceptions.
July had the 2nd smallest sea ice coverage in 46-years at 8.49 million square miles. There is a 77% chance that 2024 will rank as the warmest year on record.
Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning (“HVAC”) stocks continue to rise on strong demand as temperatures peak across the planet.


Shares of Cooling Firms Have Turned Red Hot on Record Setting Scorching Heat

United States

Trane Technologies Public Limited Company manufactures industrial equipment. The Company offers central heaters, air conditioners, electric vehicles, air cleaners, and fluid handling products. Trane Technologies serves customers worldwide.

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Trane Technologies (TT US)

Expecting a Test of All-Time Highs; Crypto (MSTR, HOOD, BTDR) And Quantum (QBTS, IONQ, RGTI) Leading

Expecting a Test of All-Time Highs; Crypto $MSTR $HOOD $BTDR $COIN and Quantum $QBTS $IONQ $RGTI $QUBT) Leading. Bullish outlook intact as long as...

Vermilion Research

Trane Technologies Plc: Will The Strength in Industrial & Commercial Verticals Last?

Trane Technologies has recently concluded its third quarter earnings call for 2024, disclosing a robust financial performance characterized by...

Baptista Research

Bullish Outlook Focused on Large- And Mid-Caps; Russell 2000 Below Resistance; Concerns Dwindling

Bullish Outlook Focused on Large- and Mid-Caps $SPX $NDX $QQQ $IJH $MDY $IWR as of the Oct 11 close above 5783; Russell 2000 $IWM Still Below...

Vermilion Research

Trane Technologies Plc: Strategic Product Rollouts & Upgrades A Potential Business Catalyst?

Notably, Trane Technologies is leveraging its leading-edge solutions and AI enhancements to assist clients in reducing energy consumption and...

Baptista Research

Shares of Cooling Firms Have Turned Red Hot on Record Setting Scorching Heat

July 2024 was the hottest in 175 years. It saw the 2nd smallest ice cover in 46 years. 77% chance that 2024 will rank as the hottest year on...

Mint Finance

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