External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Consumer demand remains tepid: The discretionary demand remains tepid with a greater impact seen on QSR, Footwear, and Apparel while the value segment has seen some recovery.</li><li>Premium vs. value segment: While the premium/luxury segment remains strong, the value segment saw some recovery. However, it remains a mixed bag.</li><li>Store expansion continues: Despite the muted environment, most companies in our coverage universe have maintained/increased store opening guidance as they move into smaller towns and long-term growth levers remain strong.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer demand remains tepid: The discretionary demand remains tepid with a greater impact seen on QSR, Footwear, and Apparel while the value segment has seen some recovery.Premium vs. value segment: While the premium/luxury segment remains strong, the value segment saw some recovery. However, it remains a mixed bag.Store expansion continues: Despite the muted environment, most companies in our coverage universe have maintained/increased store opening guidance as they move into smaller towns and long-term growth levers remain strong.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>The Q2FY25 earnings season was marked by a) Good rainfall across the country 2) Stronger E-way bill, GST collection and cargo traffic, 3) Resilient macro-economic outlook, 4) Full-year Union Budget, 5) Moderation in power demand, PMI manufacturing and Services and 6) Volatile Oil prices.</li><li>Based on the normal monsoon, higher reservoir levels, government budgetary allocations are indicating green shoots in the rural recovery for the second half of FY25.</li><li>Earnings growth for the quarter will be driven by Financials, IT, Telecom, Healthcare and Utilities while earnings for cyclical sectors like Oil &amp; Gas and Metals is likely to see some decline. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The Q2FY25 earnings season was marked by a) Good rainfall across the country 2) Stronger E-way bill, GST collection and cargo traffic, 3) Resilient macro-economic outlook, 4) Full-year Union Budget, 5) Moderation in power demand, PMI manufacturing and Services and 6) Volatile Oil prices.Based on the normal monsoon, higher reservoir levels, government budgetary allocations are indicating green shoots in the rural recovery for the second half of FY25.Earnings growth for the quarter will be driven by Financials, IT, Telecom, Healthcare and Utilities while earnings for cyclical sectors like Oil &amp; Gas and Metals is likely to see some decline. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>FMCG companies under our coverage are expected to experience a recovery in volume growth.</li><li>Revenue growth will primarily be driven by volume growth in the low to mid-single digits, led by improved rural sentiments.</li><li>Rural growth is expected to outpace urban growth. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FMCG companies under our coverage are expected to experience a recovery in volume growth.Revenue growth will primarily be driven by volume growth in the low to mid-single digits, led by improved rural sentiments.Rural growth is expected to outpace urban growth. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains neutral on global equities (MSCI ACWI) as of our August 8, 2024 Int’l Compass, after being bullish since early-November 2023</li>
<li>As discussed since late-July, we believe we're still within a 4- to 6-month pullback/consolidation from our selected July 17 starting point, until the market decides which was this consolidation resolves </li>
<li>TOPIX is below 2740-2820 resistance. Europe is testing resistance, though near potential breakouts on the EURO STOXX 50, STOXX Europe 600, and STOXX Europe 50. Watch for false breakouts</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains neutral on global equities (MSCI ACWI) as of our August 8, 2024 Int’l Compass, after being bullish since early-November 2023
As discussed since late-July, we believe we're still within a 4- to 6-month pullback/consolidation from our selected July 17 starting point, until the market decides which was this consolidation resolves 
TOPIX is below 2740-2820 resistance. Europe is testing resistance, though near potential breakouts on the EURO STOXX 50, STOXX Europe 600, and STOXX Europe 50. Watch for false breakouts


Japan and Europe Holding Below Resistance; MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EAFE (Local Curr) Below Resistance

<ul><li>Consumer demand remains sluggish: Prolonged heat waves, a slowdown in discretionary spending, and a lighter wedding season in Q1 have kept consumption demand in the discretionary space subdued.</li><li>Premium vs. Value: While the premium segment remains strong, the value segment has shown some recovery but remains a mixed bag.</li><li>Going forward, volume growth is expected to pick up in rural regions, driven by a better monsoon and rural recovery.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer demand remains sluggish: Prolonged heat waves, a slowdown in discretionary spending, and a lighter wedding season in Q1 have kept consumption demand in the discretionary space subdued.Premium vs. Value: While the premium segment remains strong, the value segment has shown some recovery but remains a mixed bag.Going forward, volume growth is expected to pick up in rural regions, driven by a better monsoon and rural recovery.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India

Trent Limited is an Indian retail company and a part of the Tata Group, primarily engaged in the retailing of apparel, footwear, accessories, beauty products, and home decor. It operates various retail formats, including Westside for fashion and lifestyle, Zudio for value fashion, Utsa for Indian ethnic wear, and Star Bazaar for groceries. The company is headquartered in Mumbai, Maharashtra, India, and was originally incorporated in 1952 as Lakme Limited before being renamed Trent Limited in 1998.

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Trent (TRENT IN)

Top Conviction Ideas – “Retail”

Consumer demand remains tepid: The discretionary demand remains tepid with a greater impact seen on QSR, Footwear, and Apparel while the value...

Axis Direct

Q2FY25 - Consolidated Earnings Preview

Based on our and consensus estimates, we forecast Nifty to deliver a Revenue/EBITDA/PAT growth of 4.5%/6%/4.1% respectively for the quarter.

Axis Direct

Q2FY25 Earnings Preview - FMCG & RETAIL

Revenue growth will primarily be driven by volume growth in the low to mid-single digits, led by improved rural sentiments. Rural growth is...

Axis Direct

Japan and Europe Holding Below Resistance; MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EAFE (Local Curr) Below Resistance

Japan and Europe Holding Below Resistance; MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, and EAFE (local currency) Also Below Resistance Though Testing Now; $EEM breakout...

Vermilion Research

Top Sector Ideas - Retail (Q1FY25)

Premium vs. Value: While the premium segment remains strong, the value segment has shown some recovery but remains a mixed bag.

Axis Direct

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