Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>One year after we started tracking solar investment in US, the planned capacity almost doubled to 123GW, comparing to addition of 32GW of capacity added in 2023;</li>
<li>However, there is a lack of wafer, ingot and polysilicon capacity in planning. Only 7GW of ingot capacity is planned, vs. cell capacity rose from 8% of total to 43%;</li>
<li>Chinese participation declined only slightly from 31% to 28%. Lack of wafer, ingot and polysilicon integration means cost of US production stays high. But overcapacity still restrains up stream profitability.</li>
</ul>


One year after we started tracking solar investment in US, the planned capacity almost doubled to 123GW, comparing to addition of 32GW of capacity added in 2023;
However, there is a lack of wafer, ingot and polysilicon capacity in planning. Only 7GW of ingot capacity is planned, vs. cell capacity rose from 8% of total to 43%;
Chinese participation declined only slightly from 31% to 28%. Lack of wafer, ingot and polysilicon integration means cost of US production stays high. But overcapacity still restrains up stream profitability.


US Battery and Solar Investments, One Year After, Part II

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>In officially decided cases concerning dissentient shareholders in privatised US-listed China plays, the uplift to the merger price versus time value of money and legal costs, is less than ideal. </li>
<li>The outcome for each case will turn on the underlying facts. But it would appear <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ikang-healthcare-group-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:741:1" rel="noopener">iKang Healthcare Group (ADR) (KANG US)</a> is following a similar trend.  </li>
<li>Reportedly the uplift to the iKang merger price is just 10%. Dissenters can still lodge an appeal.</li>
</ul>


In officially decided cases concerning dissentient shareholders in privatised US-listed China plays, the uplift to the merger price versus time value of money and legal costs, is less than ideal. 
The outcome for each case will turn on the underlying facts. But it would appear iKang Healthcare Group (ADR) (KANG US) is following a similar trend.  
Reportedly the uplift to the iKang merger price is just 10%. Dissenters can still lodge an appeal.


IKang Healthcare (KANG US): Another Setback For Dissenters

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Aqila Ali

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<div class="content-highlight">
<h2>What's Original?</h2>
This insight is an in-depth research on the Asian solar energy industry, covering the value chain and related companies in each key stage of the value chain. Our research includes the following:
<ul>
<li>
Industry Background: This includes an in-depth analysis on the solar energy sector, which includes an overview on the key types of solar technologies (Photovoltaic-PV, Concentrated Solar Power-CSP and Solar Heating and Cooling- SHC), and the leading Asian countries (India, Japan and China) in the sector. We provide our thoughts on which solar technology looks promising and compare the technology used across the leading Asian countries. </li>
<li>
Value Chain Analysis: We detail the value chain for PV, highlighting the critical stages of the value chain (system integration assembly and installation, and manufacturing of cells, modules, polysilicon ingot, and wafer) and the leading players in those stages (includes listed and unlisted companies).</li>
<li>
Background Analysis on Key Players- This includes researching the key Asian listed/unlisted solar energy companies and analysing the key contributing factor/product to each of them in the sector. </li>
<li>
Investment opportunities and risk – We compare and contrast the investment opportunities for each of the key players in the sector, to understand if the companies follow a similar strategy or otherwise. </li>
<li>
Analysis on the key revenue and margin drivers– We compare and contrast the key revenue growth and profitability drivers for the listed companies. We have also provided a short investment thesis on the key listed players and looked at their valuation.</li>
</ul>
</div><div></div>The Insight is structured as follows:A. Solar Energy Industry Background B. A Deep Dive into the Three Key Solar TechnologiesC. A Look at the Leading Asian Countries in the Solar Market: China, Japan, and IndiaD. Value Chain AnalysisE. A Look at the Key Asian Solar Players


What's Original?
This insight is an in-depth research on the Asian solar energy industry, covering the value chain and related companies in each key stage of the value chain. Our research includes the following:


Industry Background: This includes an in-depth analysis on the solar energy sector, which includes an overview on the key types of solar technologies (Photovoltaic-PV, Concentrated Solar Power-CSP and Solar Heating and Cooling- SHC), and the leading Asian countries (India, Japan and China) in the sector. We provide our thoughts on which solar technology looks promising and compare the technology used across the leading Asian countries. 

Value Chain Analysis: We detail the value chain for PV, highlighting the critical stages of the value chain (system integration assembly and installation, and manufacturing of cells, modules, polysilicon ingot, and wafer) and the leading players in those stages (includes listed and unlisted companies).

Background Analysis on Key Players- This includes researching the key Asian listed/unlisted solar energy companies and analysing the key contributing factor/product to each of them in the sector. 

Investment opportunities and risk – We compare and contrast the investment opportunities for each of the key players in the sector, to understand if the companies follow a similar strategy or otherwise. 

Analysis on the key revenue and margin drivers– We compare and contrast the key revenue growth and profitability drivers for the listed companies. We have also provided a short investment thesis on the key listed players and looked at their valuation.

The Insight is structured as follows:A. Solar Energy Industry Background B. A Deep Dive into the Three Key Solar TechnologiesC. A Look at the Leading Asian Countries in the Solar Market: China, Japan, and IndiaD. Value Chain AnalysisE. A Look at the Key Asian Solar Players

Asian Solar Energy Sector: Powered by Subsidies and Moving Downstream

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Premier Energies / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/premier-energies-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:42190:1" rel="noopener">Premier Energies Limited (0377949D IN)</a> is looking to raise up to US$337m in its India IPO, after upsizing from an earlier reported float of US$300m.</li>
<li>The firm manufactures solar photovoltaic (PV) cells, and solar modules. It also executes engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) projects and provides follow-up operation and maintenance (O&amp;M) services.</li>
<li>Previously, we talked about the company’s historical performance. In this note, we provide a summary of its RHP updates and share our quick thoughts on peer comparison and valuation.</li>
</ul>



Premier Energies Limited (0377949D IN) is looking to raise up to US$337m in its India IPO, after upsizing from an earlier reported float of US$300m.
The firm manufactures solar photovoltaic (PV) cells, and solar modules. It also executes engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) projects and provides follow-up operation and maintenance (O&amp;M) services.
Previously, we talked about the company’s historical performance. In this note, we provide a summary of its RHP updates and share our quick thoughts on peer comparison and valuation.


Premier Energies IPO - RHP Updates & Quick Thoughts on Peer Comp and Valuation

Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Equity Bottom-Up

Xinyi Solar’s multiples trail peers by a significant margin despite a strong position in solar glass and an extremely profitable solar farm business where proving business models in a grid parity environment could mean slightly lower margins but vastly expanded TAM.

Xinyi Solar’s multiples trail peers by a significant margin despite a strong position in solar glass and an extremely profitable solar farm business where proving business models in a grid parity environment could mean slightly lower margins but vastly expanded TAM.

Xinyi Solar – Putting Its Balance Sheet to Work Could Generate Significant Upside

China

Trina Solar Limited manufactures solar power products. The Company offers photovoltaic wafers, ingots, cells, and modules. Trina Solar serves residential, commercial, industrial, and other industries worldwide.

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Trina Solar (TSL US)

US Battery and Solar Investments, One Year After, Part II

US solar PV capacity in planning more than doubled in the past year, but the addition was mainly in modules. There is a meaningful improvement in...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

IKang Healthcare (KANG US): Another Setback For Dissenters

In officially decided cases concerning dissentient shareholders in privatised US-listed China plays, the uplift to the takeover price versus time...

David Blennerhassett

Asian Solar Energy Sector: Powered by Subsidies and Moving Downstream

The Insight is structured as follows: A. Solar Energy Industry Background – Introduction to the Solar energy Industry B. A Deep Dive into the Three...

Aqila Ali

Premier Energies IPO - RHP Updates & Quick Thoughts on Peer Comp and Valuation

Premier Energies Limited (0377949D IN) is looking to raise up to US$337m in its India IPO, after upsizing from an earlier reported float of US$300m.

Ethan Aw

Xinyi Solar – Putting Its Balance Sheet to Work Could Generate Significant Upside

Xinyi Solar’s multiples trail peers by a significant margin despite a strong position in solar glass and an extremely profitable solar farm business.

Mio Kato

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