HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>China's announcement of the third batch of international destinations for the resumption of outbound travel will serve as another important catalyst for the rebound of outbound tourism.</li>
<li>The generally weak performance of tourism-related stocks YTD is unjustified. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fosun-tourism-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27439:1" rel="noopener">Fosun Tourism (1992 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-travel-international-investment-hong-kong" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3879:1" rel="noopener">China Travel International (308 HK)</a> have both issued positive profit alerts for 1H23.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/air-china-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8239:1" rel="noopener">Air China Ltd (H) (753 HK)</a> is also an important beneficiary as international passenger capacity recovers. The release of pent-up demand will have positive implications on passenger yield.</li>
</ul>


China's announcement of the third batch of international destinations for the resumption of outbound travel will serve as another important catalyst for the rebound of outbound tourism.
The generally weak performance of tourism-related stocks YTD is unjustified. Fosun Tourism (1992 HK) and China Travel International (308 HK) have both issued positive profit alerts for 1H23.

Air China Ltd (H) (753 HK) is also an important beneficiary as international passenger capacity recovers. The release of pent-up demand will have positive implications on passenger yield.


China Tourism Sector: Anticipating More Upward Strengths

Global Mobility/Transport, Equity Long-Short

Mohshin Aziz

<ul>
<li>China is expanding its list of countries allowed to enter visa-free. A good gesture to make China more friendly to foreigners and one step closer to global best practices </li>
<li>Chinese major airlines and airports can become more desirable global aviation hubs, assuming they play their cards right </li>
<li>Doubt much can change in a year, but the seeds are sown for stiffer competition for airlines with a hub-and-spoke strategy in North Asia</li>
</ul>


China is expanding its list of countries allowed to enter visa-free. A good gesture to make China more friendly to foreigners and one step closer to global best practices 
Chinese major airlines and airports can become more desirable global aviation hubs, assuming they play their cards right 
Doubt much can change in a year, but the seeds are sown for stiffer competition for airlines with a hub-and-spoke strategy in North Asia


China to Provide Visa-Free for Six Countries - Why and The (Possible) Impact

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Trip.com's domestic hotel bookings increased by 70% over pre-COVID 3Q19.</li>
<li>Xiaomi's revenue began to grow in 3Q23 after decreasing for five quarters.</li>
<li>China home appliance export surged in October, for example, fridge export amount growing by 42% YoY.</li>
</ul>


Trip.com's domestic hotel bookings increased by 70% over pre-COVID 3Q19.
Xiaomi's revenue began to grow in 3Q23 after decreasing for five quarters.
China home appliance export surged in October, for example, fridge export amount growing by 42% YoY.


China Consumption Weekly (27 Nov 2023): Trip.com, Xiaomi, IQiyi, Full Truck, Home Appliance Export

Tongcheng Travel Holdings  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tongcheng-travel-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27363:1" rel="noopener">Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK)</a> is best positioned to capture post-COVID travel, especially in lower-tier cities. This is reflected in a 146.5% growth in 3Q23 adjusted net profit.</li>
<li>The cooperation with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> continues to bear fruits and will drive accelerated momentum as it leverages on QQ Browser, Weixin mini-program, and Tencent Docs.</li>
<li>3Q23 net cash increased 1.5x from the end-FY22 level and now represents 10.9% of market capitalisation. Its earnings valuations are attractive relative to both growth and peers.</li>
</ul>



Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK) is best positioned to capture post-COVID travel, especially in lower-tier cities. This is reflected in a 146.5% growth in 3Q23 adjusted net profit.
The cooperation with Tencent (700 HK) continues to bear fruits and will drive accelerated momentum as it leverages on QQ Browser, Weixin mini-program, and Tencent Docs.
3Q23 net cash increased 1.5x from the end-FY22 level and now represents 10.9% of market capitalisation. Its earnings valuations are attractive relative to both growth and peers.


Tongcheng Travel (780 HK): Rides on the Tourism Upswing

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 15th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Innovent Bio, Trip.Com, Nio, Baba, Zto Express, HSBC.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 15th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Innovent Bio, Trip.Com, Nio, Baba, Zto Express, HSBC.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Innovent Bio, Trip.Com, Nio, Baba, Zto Express, HSBC

China

Trip.com Group Limited provides online travel agency services. The Company offers mobile applications, hotel reservations, flight ticketing, package tours, corporate travel management, and train ticketing services. Trip.com Group provides services worldwide.

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Trip.com Group (9961 HK)

China Tourism Sector: Anticipating More Upward Strengths

China's recent policy to allow visa-free travel for citizens from France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Spain, and Malaysia for up to 15 days...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China to Provide Visa-Free for Six Countries - Why and The (Possible) Impact

China is opening visa-free entry for more countries, aiming to improve its global image and become a preferred aviation hub in North Asia. Could...

Mohshin Aziz

China Consumption Weekly (27 Nov 2023): Trip.com, Xiaomi, IQiyi, Full Truck, Home Appliance Export

Trip.com’s domestic hotel bookings increased 70% over pre-COVID 3Q19. Xiaomi’s revenue began to grow in 3Q23 after decreasing for five quarters....

Ming Lu

Tongcheng Travel (780 HK): Rides on the Tourism Upswing

Tongcheng is thriving post-COVID, with a 146.5% growth in adjusted net profit in 3Q23. Cooperation with Tencent is driving momentum and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HK Short Interest Weekly: Innovent Bio, Trip.Com, Nio, Baba, Zto Express, HSBC

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 15th and highlight short interest changes in Innovent Bio, Trip.Com,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China Tourism Sector: Anticipating More Upward Strengths

China's recent policy to allow visa-free travel for citizens from France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Spain, and Malaysia for up to 15 days...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China to Provide Visa-Free for Six Countries - Why and The (Possible) Impact

​China is opening visa-free entry for more countries, aiming to improve its global image and become a preferred aviation hub in North Asia. Could...

Mohshin Aziz

China Consumption Weekly (27 Nov 2023): Trip.com, Xiaomi, IQiyi, Full Truck, Home Appliance Export

Trip.com’s domestic hotel bookings increased 70% over pre-COVID 3Q19. Xiaomi’s revenue began to grow in 3Q23 after decreasing for five quarters....

Ming Lu

Tongcheng Travel (780 HK): Rides on the Tourism Upswing

​Tongcheng is thriving post-COVID, with a 146.5% growth in adjusted net profit in 3Q23. Cooperation with Tencent is driving momentum and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HK Short Interest Weekly: Innovent Bio, Trip.Com, Nio, Baba, Zto Express, HSBC

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 15th and highlight short interest changes in Innovent Bio, Trip.Com,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China is opening visa-free entry for more countries, aiming to improve its global image and become a preferred aviation hub in North Asia. Could...

Tongcheng is thriving post-COVID, with a 146.5% growth in adjusted net profit in 3Q23. Cooperation with Tencent is driving momentum and...