Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>XPEV/ NIO: Xpeng and NIO's weekly sales show weakness (-)</li>
<li>9995 HK: Rumors about RemeGen's ADC to Pfizer might be returned (-)</li>
<li>TCOM/1024 HK/780 HK/3690 HK: Ctrip cooperate with Kuaishou to promote traveling products (+)</li>
</ul>


XPEV/ NIO: Xpeng and NIO's weekly sales show weakness (-)
9995 HK: Rumors about RemeGen's ADC to Pfizer might be returned (-)
TCOM/1024 HK/780 HK/3690 HK: Ctrip cooperate with Kuaishou to promote traveling products (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]: 1211HK/XPEV/NIO/9995HK/TCOM/1024HK/780HK/3690HK

Quantitative Equity Analyst, DMA

Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA

Quantitative Equity Analyst

Technology-First Company

DMA is a technology-first company that provides an end-to-end SaaS solution to institutional investors. DMA enables regulated entities like asset managers, wealth managers, investment managers and financial advisors to connect their front and back office, break silos and reduce headcount.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naspers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21085:1" rel="noopener">Naspers (NPN SJ)</a> has underperformed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv-2e2a2230-64b0-4044-b797-a3880fcb487a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28301:1" rel="noopener">Prosus NV (PRX SJ)</a> by 3.9% since the start of the year.</li>
<li>This has widened Naspers' discount to Prosus' market value to 13.3% from 9.9%, a level last seen during July 2023.</li>
<li>Opportunity to put on a pairs trade, long NPN short PRX as we believe the relative underperformance is overdone and a structural shift in the discount is underway.</li>
</ul>



Naspers (NPN SJ) has underperformed Prosus NV (PRX SJ) by 3.9% since the start of the year.
This has widened Naspers' discount to Prosus' market value to 13.3% from 9.9%, a level last seen during July 2023.
Opportunity to put on a pairs trade, long NPN short PRX as we believe the relative underperformance is overdone and a structural shift in the discount is underway.


Naspers (NPN) X Prosus (PRX) Pairs Trade Opportunity as Naspers Comes Under Pressure

<ul>
<li>XPEV/1211 BYD: Tesla announced price reduction for Model 3 and Model Y(-)</li>
<li>TCOM/780 HK: 4Q23 inbound and outbound travel recover to 82% of 2019 level, mainly from Hong Kong and Macao(-)</li>
<li>ATAT/HTHT: National Migration Administration introduced five facilitation measures to attract foreigners to China (+)</li>
</ul>


XPEV/1211 BYD: Tesla announced price reduction for Model 3 and Model Y(-)
TCOM/780 HK: 4Q23 inbound and outbound travel recover to 82% of 2019 level, mainly from Hong Kong and Macao(-)
ATAT/HTHT: National Migration Administration introduced five facilitation measures to attract foreigners to China (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]: NIO/LI/XPEV/TSLA/1211 HK/TCOM/780 HK/ATAT/HTHT

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>"Pent-Up demand"? No signs of it anywhere in outbound or domestic metrics</li>
<li>Sluggish outbound demand, capacity trajectories continued to lag in November</li>
<li>YTD share performance weak, mirrors disappointing recovery in travel activity</li>
</ul>


"Pent-Up demand"? No signs of it anywhere in outbound or domestic metrics
Sluggish outbound demand, capacity trajectories continued to lag in November
YTD share performance weak, mirrors disappointing recovery in travel activity


Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | No "Pent-Up Demand"! | Weak YTD Returns, Too | (December 2023)

<ul>
<li>For segments we cover -- express, containers, tourism -- 2023 was challenging</li>
<li>In this note we highlight each segment's key trends and themes from 2023</li>
<li>We conclude with a look at 2023 share performance and a peak into 2024</li>
</ul>


For segments we cover -- express, containers, tourism -- 2023 was challenging
In this note we highlight each segment's key trends and themes from 2023
We conclude with a look at 2023 share performance and a peak into 2024


Key 2023 Trends & Themes in Asian Express, Containers, Tourism | Plus A Peak Into 2024

China

Trip.com Group Ltd. provides online travel agency services. The Company offers mobile applications, hotel reservations, flight ticketing, package tours, corporate travel management, and train ticketing services.

Price Gauge
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Trip.com (TCOM US)

[Blue Lotus Daily]: 1211HK/XPEV/NIO/9995HK/TCOM/1024HK/780HK/3690HK

Xpeng and NIO's weekly sales weaken; RemeGen's ADC to Pfizer rumors may be returned; Ctrip partners with Kuaishou to boost travel products.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Naspers (NPN) X Prosus (PRX) Pairs Trade Opportunity as Naspers Comes Under Pressure

Naspers has underperformed Prosus since the start of the year, presenting an opportunity to put on a pairs trade. We expect a structural shift in...

DMA

[Blue Lotus Daily]: NIO/LI/XPEV/TSLA/1211 HK/TCOM/780 HK/ATAT/HTHT

Tesla reduces prices for Model 3 and Model Y; Travel recovers to 82% of 2019 levels in Hong Kong and Macao; China introduces measures to attract...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | No "Pent-Up Demand"! | Weak YTD Returns, Too | (December 2023)

November outbound data were disappointing, and even domestic travel activity metrics appeared to move in the wrong direction. Not surprisingly,...

Tracking Traffic

Key 2023 Trends & Themes in Asian Express, Containers, Tourism | Plus A Peak Into 2024

In this insight we look at the important trends and themes we've covered this year in the express, containers, and tourism sectors. We also...

Tracking Traffic

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Daily]: 1211HK/XPEV/NIO/9995HK/TCOM/1024HK/780HK/3690HK

​Xpeng and NIO's weekly sales weaken; RemeGen's ADC to Pfizer rumors may be returned; Ctrip partners with Kuaishou to boost travel products.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Naspers (NPN) X Prosus (PRX) Pairs Trade Opportunity as Naspers Comes Under Pressure

Naspers has underperformed Prosus since the start of the year, presenting an opportunity to put on a pairs trade. We expect a structural shift in...

DMA

[Blue Lotus Daily]: NIO/LI/XPEV/TSLA/1211 HK/TCOM/780 HK/ATAT/HTHT

​Tesla reduces prices for Model 3 and Model Y; Travel recovers to 82% of 2019 levels in Hong Kong and Macao; China introduces measures to attract...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | No "Pent-Up Demand"! | Weak YTD Returns, Too | (December 2023)

November outbound data were disappointing, and even domestic travel activity metrics appeared to move in the wrong direction. Not surprisingly,...

Tracking Traffic

Key 2023 Trends & Themes in Asian Express, Containers, Tourism | Plus A Peak Into 2024

In this insight we look at the important trends and themes we've covered this year in the express, containers, and tourism sectors. We also...

Tracking Traffic

Xpeng and NIO's weekly sales weaken; RemeGen's ADC to Pfizer rumors may be returned; Ctrip partners with Kuaishou to boost travel products.

Tesla reduces prices for Model 3 and Model Y; Travel recovers to 82% of 2019 levels in Hong Kong and Macao; China introduces measures to attract...