Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (TSM US)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>NVIDIA guided FY28 revenue growth near 70% and Huang said demand is much greater than that. The ceiling is memory supply, not demand.</li>
<li>The limit is physical. HBM needs roughly 3x the wafer area of DDR5 per gigabyte, and is about 90% of the silicon area in a two-GPU package.</li>
<li>What lifts NVIDIA's ceiling is how they allocate wafers between HBM and commodity parts, not the price print.</li>
</ul>


NVIDIA guided FY28 revenue growth near 70% and Huang said demand is much greater than that. The ceiling is memory supply, not demand.
The limit is physical. HBM needs roughly 3x the wafer area of DDR5 per gigabyte, and is about 90% of the silicon area in a two-GPU package.
What lifts NVIDIA's ceiling is how they allocate wafers between HBM and commodity parts, not the price print.


NVIDIA Capped Its Growth at 70% Because HBM Takes 3x the Silicon of Ordinary Memory

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Asia-Ex-Japan equities have moved from a valuation rerating driven rally to an earnings driven rally. Since late October, Asia-ex-Japan equities have appreciated 8% but its forward PE has declined 6%.</li>
<li>Korea's 2026 EPS estimate up 67.8% in last 6 months, followed by Taiwan (17.5%) and Malaysia (7.5%). Philippines (-4.4%), India (-3.9%) and Indonesia (-1.3%) constitute the bottom of the pile.</li>
<li>Technology and basic materials are driving the earnings upgrades while consumer-oriented sectors are dragging them down. We think consumption sentiment recovery shall be essential for earnings upgrades to sustain.</li>
</ul>


Asia-Ex-Japan equities have moved from a valuation rerating driven rally to an earnings driven rally. Since late October, Asia-ex-Japan equities have appreciated 8% but its forward PE has declined 6%.
Korea's 2026 EPS estimate up 67.8% in last 6 months, followed by Taiwan (17.5%) and Malaysia (7.5%). Philippines (-4.4%), India (-3.9%) and Indonesia (-1.3%) constitute the bottom of the pile.
Technology and basic materials are driving the earnings upgrades while consumer-oriented sectors are dragging them down. We think consumption sentiment recovery shall be essential for earnings upgrades to sustain.


Asian Equities: The Earnings Boom - Korea Taiwan, Malaysia, Tech and Basic Materials Rule the Roost

<ul>
<li>Three 2026 themes: (i) Continued AI spending boom, moats and monopolies to thrive, (ii) Recently commenced commodity super-cycle, especially in copper, (iii) Continued defense spending boom amid accelerating geopolitical tensions.</li>
<li>These themes are well-discussed over the past year, but recent concerns about their longevity (especially AI spending) have derated the beneficiary stocks. We think it's time to re-focus on them.</li>
<li>Our top picks: TSMC (the monopoly AI enabler), Zijin Mining (the gold and copper giant, benefitting from two super cycles) and Hanwha Aerospace (the biggest beneficiary of defense spending boom).</li>
</ul>


Three 2026 themes: (i) Continued AI spending boom, moats and monopolies to thrive, (ii) Recently commenced commodity super-cycle, especially in copper, (iii) Continued defense spending boom amid accelerating geopolitical tensions.
These themes are well-discussed over the past year, but recent concerns about their longevity (especially AI spending) have derated the beneficiary stocks. We think it's time to re-focus on them.
Our top picks: TSMC (the monopoly AI enabler), Zijin Mining (the gold and copper giant, benefitting from two super cycles) and Hanwha Aerospace (the biggest beneficiary of defense spending boom).


2026 High Conviction: Three Themes, Three Top Picks

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Derivatives

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1" rel="noopener">TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)</a> has been consolidating in a range for the past month, reflecting institutional positioning neutrality and volatility compression ahead of the NVDA earnings catalyst event.</li>
<li>Market participants have been withholding directional capital commitments pending direct operational confirmation of Nvidia’s Blackwell architecture ramp speed, hyperscaler capex durability, and TSMC's CoWoS (Chip-on-Wafer-on-Substrate) yield trajectories.</li>
<li>By the time this insight is published NVDA's earnings will be out: <strong>this insight looks at tactical profit targets/support zones that could be reached by TSMC after the guidance.</strong>
</li>
</ul>



TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT) has been consolidating in a range for the past month, reflecting institutional positioning neutrality and volatility compression ahead of the NVDA earnings catalyst event.
Market participants have been withholding directional capital commitments pending direct operational confirmation of Nvidia’s Blackwell architecture ramp speed, hyperscaler capex durability, and TSMC's CoWoS (Chip-on-Wafer-on-Substrate) yield trajectories.
By the time this insight is published NVDA's earnings will be out: this insight looks at tactical profit targets/support zones that could be reached by TSMC after the guidance.



TSMC (2330 TT) Tactical Outlook Post-NVDA Earnings

<ul>
<li>As the earnings season draws to a close, we look at Asian markets'/sectors' EPS estimate progression during the reporting season and earlier. Specifically, we search for upward or downward inflections.</li>
<li>Korea and Taiwan had the strongest EPS upgrades during this reporting season, despite the trade uncertainties. Philippines, Indonesia, Malaysia also had decent upgrades. HK/China and India continue to be downgraded.</li>
<li>Korean and Taiwanese technology, Korean industrials, HK Technology Services had strong upgrades. So did Singapore and Philippines financials, and Thailand Communications - the latter two with a long upgrade history.</li>
</ul>


As the earnings season draws to a close, we look at Asian markets'/sectors' EPS estimate progression during the reporting season and earlier. Specifically, we search for upward or downward inflections.
Korea and Taiwan had the strongest EPS upgrades during this reporting season, despite the trade uncertainties. Philippines, Indonesia, Malaysia also had decent upgrades. HK/China and India continue to be downgraded.
Korean and Taiwanese technology, Korean industrials, HK Technology Services had strong upgrades. So did Singapore and Philippines financials, and Thailand Communications - the latter two with a long upgrade history.


Asian Equities: Taking Stock After the Result Season: Where Are EPS Estimates Rising and Falling?

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. manufactures integrated circuits based on its proprietary designs.  The Company offers a comprehensive set of integrated circuit fabrication processes to manufacture CMOS logic, mixed-mode, volatile and non-volatile memory and BiCMOS chips.  Taiwan Semiconductor is an affiliate of Philips Electronics N.V.

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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (TSM US)

NVIDIA Capped Its Growth at 70% Because HBM Takes 3x the Silicon of Ordinary Memory

NVIDIA guided FY28 revenue growth near 70% and Huang said demand is much greater than that. The ceiling is memory supply, not demand.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Asian Equities: The Earnings Boom - Korea Taiwan, Malaysia, Tech and Basic Materials Rule the Roost

Asia-Ex-JP equities shift from valuation to earnings driven rally. KR & TW lead EPS est growth. Consumer sectors lag. Consumption sentiment...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

2026 High Conviction: Three Themes, Three Top Picks

2026 began with a bang & so did our High Conviction ideas. In less than 2 weeks TSMC is up 9.7%, Zijin Mining up 8.4% & Hanwha Aerospace a...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

TSMC (2330 TT) Tactical Outlook Post-NVDA Earnings

TSMC (2330 TT) has been in a consolidation range for weeks, ahead of Aug 26th NVDA earnings. Read our tactical model support/profit targets to to...

Nico Rosti

Asian Equities: Taking Stock After the Result Season: Where Are EPS Estimates Rising and Falling?

Asian markets' EPS est show strong upgrades in Korea and Taiwan, while HK/CN & India continue to be downgraded. KR & TW Tech, HK Tech Services, SG...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

NVIDIA Capped Its Growth at 70% Because HBM Takes 3x the Silicon of Ordinary Memory

NVIDIA guided FY28 revenue growth near 70% and Huang said demand is much greater than that. The ceiling is memory supply, not demand.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Asian Equities: The Earnings Boom - Korea Taiwan, Malaysia, Tech and Basic Materials Rule the Roost

​Asia-Ex-JP equities shift from valuation to earnings driven rally. KR & TW lead EPS est growth. Consumer sectors lag. Consumption sentiment...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

2026 High Conviction: Three Themes, Three Top Picks

2026 began with a bang & so did our High Conviction ideas. In less than 2 weeks TSMC is up 9.7%, Zijin Mining up 8.4% & Hanwha Aerospace a...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

TSMC (2330 TT) Tactical Outlook Post-NVDA Earnings

TSMC (2330 TT) has been in a consolidation range for weeks, ahead of Aug 26th NVDA earnings. Read our tactical model support/profit targets to to...

Nico Rosti

Asian Equities: Taking Stock After the Result Season: Where Are EPS Estimates Rising and Falling?

​Asian markets' EPS est show strong upgrades in Korea and Taiwan, while HK/CN & India continue to be downgraded. KR & TW Tech, HK Tech Services, SG...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Asia-Ex-JP equities shift from valuation to earnings driven rally. KR & TW lead EPS est growth. Consumer sectors lag. Consumption sentiment...

Asian markets' EPS est show strong upgrades in Korea and Taiwan, while HK/CN & India continue to be downgraded. KR & TW Tech, HK Tech Services, SG...