External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Auto OEMs: We expect Revenue/EBITDA/PAT for our OEM coverage universe to grow by ~5.5%/8.9%/10.6% YoY along with ~47 bps improvement in EBITDA margin. The growth will be driven by i) Doubledigit volume growth in 2Ws, ii) low to mid-single digit growth for PVs/tractors partially offset by iii) YoY Decline in the CV volumes respectively. The YoY EBITDA margin expansion will be led by richer product mix, RM softening and price hikes taken over the last one year.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto OEMs: We expect Revenue/EBITDA/PAT for our OEM coverage universe to grow by ~5.5%/8.9%/10.6% YoY along with ~47 bps improvement in EBITDA margin. The growth will be driven by i) Doubledigit volume growth in 2Ws, ii) low to mid-single digit growth for PVs/tractors partially offset by iii) YoY Decline in the CV volumes respectively. The YoY EBITDA margin expansion will be led by richer product mix, RM softening and price hikes taken over the last one year.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>Sep’24 Wholesale Volumes: The domestic 2W industry witnessed strong volume growth of ~17%/20% and 2W exports were up by 19%/9%% YoY/ MoM respectively.</li><li>The domestic PV sales (Exhibit-2) volume stood between -2% to 2% YoY, largely due to weakness in MSIL/Tata Motors/Hyundai/ Honda, partly offset by strong domestic SUV volumes by Toyota/ M&amp;M/Kia.</li><li>The domestic CV industry sales degrew by ~12% YoY mainly due to lower MHCV truck and Bus volumes. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Sep’24 Wholesale Volumes: The domestic 2W industry witnessed strong volume growth of ~17%/20% and 2W exports were up by 19%/9%% YoY/ MoM respectively.The domestic PV sales (Exhibit-2) volume stood between -2% to 2% YoY, largely due to weakness in MSIL/Tata Motors/Hyundai/ Honda, partly offset by strong domestic SUV volumes by Toyota/ M&amp;M/Kia.The domestic CV industry sales degrew by ~12% YoY mainly due to lower MHCV truck and Bus volumes. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto Monthly Sales Volume - September 2024

<ul><li>Market Breadth Narrowing; Emphasis On Style &amp; Sector Rotation</li><li>The Axis Top Picks Basket delivered an excellent return of 10.4% in the last three months against the 7.5% returns posted by Nifty 50 over the same period.</li><li>Moreover, the basket climbed up by 2.3% in the last one month. It gives us immense joy to share that our Top Picks Basket has delivered an impressive return of 348% since its inception (May’20), which stands well above the 178% return delivered by the NIFTY 50 index over the same period. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Market Breadth Narrowing; Emphasis On Style &amp; Sector RotationThe Axis Top Picks Basket delivered an excellent return of 10.4% in the last three months against the 7.5% returns posted by Nifty 50 over the same period.Moreover, the basket climbed up by 2.3% in the last one month. It gives us immense joy to share that our Top Picks Basket has delivered an impressive return of 348% since its inception (May’20), which stands well above the 178% return delivered by the NIFTY 50 index over the same period. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Axis Top Picks for the Month of October 2024

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains neutral on global equities (MSCI ACWI) as of our August 8, 2024 Int’l Compass, after being bullish since early-November 2023</li>
<li>As discussed since late-July, we believe we're still within a 4- to 6-month pullback/consolidation from our selected July 17 starting point, until the market decides which was this consolidation resolves </li>
<li>TOPIX is below 2740-2820 resistance. Europe is testing resistance, though near potential breakouts on the EURO STOXX 50, STOXX Europe 600, and STOXX Europe 50. Watch for false breakouts</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains neutral on global equities (MSCI ACWI) as of our August 8, 2024 Int’l Compass, after being bullish since early-November 2023
As discussed since late-July, we believe we're still within a 4- to 6-month pullback/consolidation from our selected July 17 starting point, until the market decides which was this consolidation resolves 
TOPIX is below 2740-2820 resistance. Europe is testing resistance, though near potential breakouts on the EURO STOXX 50, STOXX Europe 600, and STOXX Europe 50. Watch for false breakouts


Japan and Europe Holding Below Resistance; MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EAFE (Local Curr) Below Resistance

<ul><li>Aug’24 Wholesale Volumes: The domestic 2W industry witnessed strong volume growth of ~9%/19% and total exports were up by 14%/2%% YoY/ MoM respectively.</li><li>The domestic PV sales (Exhibit-2) degrew by 1-4% YoY (up 3% MoM), largely due to weakness in MSIL/Tata Motors/Hyundai/ Honda partly offset by strong domestic SUV volumes by Toyota/ M&amp;M/ Kia/ MG.</li><li>The domestic CV industry sales degrew by ~11% YoY (marginally up 3% MoM) mainly due to lower MHCV truck volumes which were partly set off by high bus volumes). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Aug’24 Wholesale Volumes: The domestic 2W industry witnessed strong volume growth of ~9%/19% and total exports were up by 14%/2%% YoY/ MoM respectively.The domestic PV sales (Exhibit-2) degrew by 1-4% YoY (up 3% MoM), largely due to weakness in MSIL/Tata Motors/Hyundai/ Honda partly offset by strong domestic SUV volumes by Toyota/ M&amp;M/ Kia/ MG.The domestic CV industry sales degrew by ~11% YoY (marginally up 3% MoM) mainly due to lower MHCV truck volumes which were partly set off by high bus volumes). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India

TVS Motor Company is an Indian multinational manufacturer of two-wheelers and three-wheelers, including motorcycles, scooters, mopeds, and electric vehicles. The company also offers financial services, insurance, and vehicle repairs. It is headquartered in Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India, and was founded in 1978.

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TVS Motor Company (TVSL IN)

Q2FY25 Earnings Preview - Automobile

We prefer TVS Motors, Heromotocorp (and M&M – under soft coverage) in the OEMs; and Endurance Technologies, Sansera Engineering in the Auto...

Axis Direct

Auto Monthly Sales Volume - September 2024

Sep’24 Wholesale Volumes: The domestic 2W industry witnessed strong volume growth of ~17%/20% and 2W exports were up by 19%/9%% YoY/ MoM respectively.

Axis Direct

Axis Top Picks for the Month of October 2024

The Axis Top Picks Basket delivered an excellent return of 10.4% in the last three months against the 7.5% returns posted by Nifty 50 over the same...

Axis Direct

Japan and Europe Holding Below Resistance; MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EAFE (Local Curr) Below Resistance

Japan and Europe Holding Below Resistance; MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, and EAFE (local currency) Also Below Resistance Though Testing Now; $EEM breakout...

Vermilion Research

Auto Monthly Volume August 2024

Aug’24 Wholesale Volumes: The domestic 2W industry witnessed strong volume growth of ~9%/19% and total exports were up by 14%/2%% YoY/ MoM...

Axis Direct

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