External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>In Q2, retail demand has remained healthy in PVs, steady in CVs and lacklustre in 2Ws</li><li>However, all the segments have seen QoQ growth in volumes as all OEMs prepare for a pick-up in demand during the festive season</li><li>Overall, wholesales have been better in PVs&gt;2Ws&gt;CVs in Q2</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

In Q2, retail demand has remained healthy in PVs, steady in CVs and lacklustre in 2WsHowever, all the segments have seen QoQ growth in volumes as all OEMs prepare for a pick-up in demand during the festive seasonOverall, wholesales have been better in PVs&gt;2Ws&gt;CVs in Q2Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Autos (Q2FY23 Results Preview): Margins likely to bottom out

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>In Q2FY23, wholesale volumes across PV/CV/2W (other than tractors) segments stood robust QoQ, led by inventory channel filling ahead of the festive demand.</li><li>The domestic wholesale volumes for SUVs in Passenger Vehicles (PV) (Maruti) and Premium motorcycles in 2W (Eicher) exhibited strong traction.</li><li>This was on account of the improvement in the supply-chain bottlenecks as well as due to shifting consumer preferences towards premium, feature-leaden, and technologically advanced product categories from the low-end segment.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

In Q2FY23, wholesale volumes across PV/CV/2W (other than tractors) segments stood robust QoQ, led by inventory channel filling ahead of the festive demand.The domestic wholesale volumes for SUVs in Passenger Vehicles (PV) (Maruti) and Premium motorcycles in 2W (Eicher) exhibited strong traction.This was on account of the improvement in the supply-chain bottlenecks as well as due to shifting consumer preferences towards premium, feature-leaden, and technologically advanced product categories from the low-end segment.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto Q2fy23preview - Volume Growth & Operating Leverage to Drive Ebitda Growth

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Q2FY23 marked a cool-off in the key commodity prices including the base metals and the crude oil as against the Q1FY23 period that witnessed elevated commodity prices, which had changed the inflation dynamics significantly.</li><li>To curb the prevailing inflation problem, all central banks including the RBI have adopted a path of aggressive policy tightening.</li><li>The RBI increased the repo rate by 50bps in Sep’22 MPC, marking a total policy rate hike of 190bps to 5.9%.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p></div></div></div></div>

Q2FY23 marked a cool-off in the key commodity prices including the base metals and the crude oil as against the Q1FY23 period that witnessed elevated commodity prices, which had changed the inflation dynamics significantly.To curb the prevailing inflation problem, all central banks including the RBI have adopted a path of aggressive policy tightening.The RBI increased the repo rate by 50bps in Sep’22 MPC, marking a total policy rate hike of 190bps to 5.9%.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q2fy23 Preview - Non-Commodities Likely to Do Better

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>The wholesale volumes in Sep’22 picked up in line with our expectations as the OEMs ramped up supply to fill in the inventories ahead of the festive season.</li><li>The easing chip shortage also aided in the broad-based growth in auto supply as against previous quarters.</li><li>According to our estimates, PV domestic wholesale dispatches posted impressive growth of 95%/7% YoY/MoM, suggesting improving supply to fulfil order backlogs. </li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

The wholesale volumes in Sep’22 picked up in line with our expectations as the OEMs ramped up supply to fill in the inventories ahead of the festive season.The easing chip shortage also aided in the broad-based growth in auto supply as against previous quarters.According to our estimates, PV domestic wholesale dispatches posted impressive growth of 95%/7% YoY/MoM, suggesting improving supply to fulfil order backlogs. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Automotive Industry - Robust Growth Momentum in PV & CV Sales; 2Ws Lag Behind

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI ACWI ex US ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Many major indexes have broken below critical supports, including MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), EURO STOXX 50, STOXX Europe 600, and the DAX.</li>
<li>Odds suggest a bearish downside continuation, and a bearish outlook is appropriate as long as the YTD downtrend remains intact on the ACWI-US, MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EAFE (EFA-US).</li>
<li>There is bounce potential given these broad global indexes are testing their respective downtrend channel supports, but the fact remains that they <em>are</em> in downtrends, a major problem longer-term.</li>
</ul>


Many major indexes have broken below critical supports, including MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), EURO STOXX 50, STOXX Europe 600, and the DAX.
Odds suggest a bearish downside continuation, and a bearish outlook is appropriate as long as the YTD downtrend remains intact on the ACWI-US, MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EAFE (EFA-US).
There is bounce potential given these broad global indexes are testing their respective downtrend channel supports, but the fact remains that they are in downtrends, a major problem longer-term.


MSCI ACWI Ex-US, EAFE Testing Downtrend Channel Supports -- Bounce Potential

India

TVS Motor Company is an Indian multinational manufacturer of two-wheelers and three-wheelers, including motorcycles, scooters, mopeds, and electric vehicles. The company also offers financial services, insurance, and vehicle repairs. It is headquartered in Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India, and was founded in 1978.

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TVS Motor Company (TVSL IN)

Autos (Q2FY23 Results Preview): Margins likely to bottom out

However, all the segments have seen QoQ growth in volumes as all OEMs prepare for a pick-up in demand during the festive season

HDFC Securities

Auto Q2fy23preview - Volume Growth & Operating Leverage to Drive Ebitda Growth

In Q2FY23, wholesale volumes across PV/CV/2W (other than tractors) segments stood robust QoQ, led by inventory channel filling ahead of the festive...

Axis Direct

Q2fy23 Preview - Non-Commodities Likely to Do Better

Q2FY23 marked a cool-off in the key commodity prices including the base metals and the crude oil as against the Q1FY23 period that witnessed...

Axis Direct

Automotive Industry - Robust Growth Momentum in PV & CV Sales; 2Ws Lag Behind

The wholesale volumes in Sep’22 picked up in line with our expectations as the OEMs ramped up supply to fill in the inventories ahead of the...

Axis Direct

MSCI ACWI Ex-US, EAFE Testing Downtrend Channel Supports -- Bounce Potential

Bounce potential given $ACWX $EFA testing downtrend channel supports, but it would likely be a short-term trading opportunity due to the fact that...

Vermilion Research

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