Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our global intermediate-term outlook remains bullish on MSCI ACWI (in place since our 5/14/25 Compass). We also remain near-term bullish on MSCI ACWI since our 4/23/26 Int’l Compass.</li>
<li>Value areas of the market are underperforming while Technology and A.I. areas are starting to dominate again.</li>
<li>On ACWI-US, we want to see $156.50 support hold on any pullback (the breakout level) in order to remain near-term bullish, while major support is at $151.50.</li>
</ul>


Our global intermediate-term outlook remains bullish on MSCI ACWI (in place since our 5/14/25 Compass). We also remain near-term bullish on MSCI ACWI since our 4/23/26 Int’l Compass.
Value areas of the market are underperforming while Technology and A.I. areas are starting to dominate again.
On ACWI-US, we want to see $156.50 support hold on any pullback (the breakout level) in order to remain near-term bullish, while major support is at $151.50.


Concerns Mounting as MSCI ACWI Tests Base Support. Buys in Tech, Services, Financials, Healthcare

Global Equities, Multi-Asset PM, Dantes Outlook

Damanick Dantes, CMT

Global Equities, Multi-Asset PM

Dantes Outlook

We invest over a full market cycle, using multi-asset portfolios tailored to each global client, from individuals to family offices.

Built to Endure

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Participation is broadening across markets as cap-weighted U.S. leadership narrows to a handful of stocks.</li>
<li>We stay invested in core trends and see room for emerging opportunities like China ADRs, which saw an upgrade. See our sample portfolio.</li>
<li>For Asia-focused investors, the dollar's softening is concentrated against EM Asia currencies and the carry complex despite the dollar index's bias against EUR.</li>
</ul>


Participation is broadening across markets as cap-weighted U.S. leadership narrows to a handful of stocks.
We stay invested in core trends and see room for emerging opportunities like China ADRs, which saw an upgrade. See our sample portfolio.
For Asia-focused investors, the dollar's softening is concentrated against EM Asia currencies and the carry complex despite the dollar index's bias against EUR.


Cross-Asset Rotations: China, Asia FX, Commodities, and More

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Commodities

<ul>
<li>A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook.</li>
<li>No sign yet of a reversal in US government bonds and the dollar.</li>
<li>Brent Oil still above $100 despite exports moving back to pre-war levels</li>
</ul>


A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook.
No sign yet of a reversal in US government bonds and the dollar.
Brent Oil still above $100 despite exports moving back to pre-war levels


Global Macro and Currencies, FX Macro

FX Macro

Global Macro and Currencies

Brings you up to speed on the relevant macro developments: central banks, economic data, sentiment, intermarket analysis. Every weekend. For traders, investors and everyone interested in what's going on in FX and macro.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Bond yields are the overwhelming focus; the 10-year breached 5.3% and most writers see fiscal deficits, heavy issuance, and AI capex driving yields structurally higher.</li><li>Inflation is considered persistent, with core PCE above 3% and the Fed missing its target for 66 months.</li><li>Equity market internals are deteriorating sharply — record index highs are being built on narrow mega-cap leadership, a classic late-cycle signal.</li></ul>

Bond yields are the overwhelming focus; the 10-year breached 5.3% and most writers see fiscal deficits, heavy issuance, and AI capex driving yields structurally higher.Inflation is considered persistent, with core PCE above 3% and the Fed missing its target for 66 months.Equity market internals are deteriorating sharply — record index highs are being built on narrow mega-cap leadership, a classic late-cycle signal.

Everyone wants to catch the falling knife in the bond market

<ul>
<li>A review of recent events and data impacting our investment themes and outlook</li>
<li>China has another breakthrough moment with DeepSeek changing standard AI architecture</li>
<li>The case for precious metals and commodities continues to build, but short-term caution is warranted.</li>
</ul>


A review of recent events and data impacting our investment themes and outlook
China has another breakthrough moment with DeepSeek changing standard AI architecture
The case for precious metals and commodities continues to build, but short-term caution is warranted.


Overview #46 - From GPUs to Geopolitics: Is China Winning the AI Race?

United States

The U.S. Dollar Index(USDX) indicates the general int'l value of the USD. The USDX does this by averaging the exchange rates between the USD and major world currencies. The ICE US computes this by using the rates supplied by some 500 banks. FOR REAL TIME SEE EIS ICEA<GO>.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Dollar Index (DXY CURNCY)

Concerns Mounting as MSCI ACWI Tests Base Support. Buys in Tech, Services, Financials, Healthcare

Concerns Mounting as MSCI $ACWI Tests Base Support. Actionable Themes: Technology, Services, Financials, and Health Care

Vermilion Research

Cross-Asset Rotations: China, Asia FX, Commodities, and More

We scanned a wide universe to establish core and emerging trend positions in US, Chinese, and Japanese equities, commodities, and more.

Damanick Dantes, CMT

Overview #81 — More of the Same

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. Current trends have shown no sign yet of reversal. OIl is flowing...

Rikki Malik

Everyone wants to catch the falling knife in the bond market

Bond yields are the overwhelming focus; the 10-year breached 5.3% and most writers see fiscal deficits, heavy issuance, and AI capex driving yields...

FX Macro

Overview #46 - From GPUs to Geopolitics: Is China Winning the AI Race?

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. We look at the implications of recent Chinese tech breakthroughs

Rikki Malik

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)