HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Capital Markets

Unitree Robotics / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/unitree-robotics" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:48008:1" rel="noopener">Unitree Robotics (688836 CH)</a> will finally go ahead with its A-share IPO, with price consultation starting on 5 Aug and fixing on 6 Aug.</li>
<li>Recent U.S. FCC regulation has added uncertainties, as historically, it derived 13-19% revenue from the country. Nonetheless, we project a 3-year earnings CAGR of 72.4%.</li>
<li>On our forecasts and Rmb42bn market cap, it sits on 54.5x PER and 14.6x P/S for FY26. Such multiples are not expensive relative to peers, considering its high margin.</li>
</ul>



Unitree Robotics (688836 CH) will finally go ahead with its A-share IPO, with price consultation starting on 5 Aug and fixing on 6 Aug.
Recent U.S. FCC regulation has added uncertainties, as historically, it derived 13-19% revenue from the country. Nonetheless, we project a 3-year earnings CAGR of 72.4%.
On our forecasts and Rmb42bn market cap, it sits on 54.5x PER and 14.6x P/S for FY26. Such multiples are not expensive relative to peers, considering its high margin.


Unitree Robotics (宇树科技) IPO: Kick-Off and Valuation Views

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jul 24th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Zijin Mining, Hua Hong Semi, Zijin Gold Intl, Tencent, Knowledge Atlas, Ke, Sinotruk (Hong Kong).</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jul 24th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Zijin Mining, Hua Hong Semi, Zijin Gold Intl, Tencent, Knowledge Atlas, Ke, Sinotruk (Hong Kong).


HK Short Interest Weekly: Zijin Mining, Hua Hong Semi, Zijin Gold Intl, Tencent, Knowledge Atlas, Ke

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/unitree-robotics" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:48008:1" rel="noopener">Unitree Robotics (UNITREE CH)</a> intends to raise Rmb4.2bn in the A-share STAR market. Given its leadership in humanoid robots, we expect good interests.</li>
<li>The key investment thesis includes its global market leadership with proven scale, vertical integration, which creates a moat, and massive AI investment to build the "brain".</li>
<li>We initially estimate its FY26F PER and P/S at 74.5x and 19.3x. The higher-than-peer P/S is justified by its better profit margin. </li>
</ul>



Unitree Robotics (UNITREE CH) intends to raise Rmb4.2bn in the A-share STAR market. Given its leadership in humanoid robots, we expect good interests.
The key investment thesis includes its global market leadership with proven scale, vertical integration, which creates a moat, and massive AI investment to build the "brain".
We initially estimate its FY26F PER and P/S at 74.5x and 19.3x. The higher-than-peer P/S is justified by its better profit margin. 


Unitree Robotics (宇树科技) Pre-IPO: Key Investment Thesis

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We screen the HS TECH eligible universe ahead of the index's May 2026 quarterly review.</li>
<li>Both of the ADD candidates are well within the ADD zone.</li>
<li>One delete is now in the forced delete zone at rank 37, the second remains in the buffer zone.</li>
</ul>


We screen the HS TECH eligible universe ahead of the index's May 2026 quarterly review.
Both of the ADD candidates are well within the ADD zone.
One delete is now in the forced delete zone at rank 37, the second remains in the buffer zone.


Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

<ul>
<li>My bull-case 10-year DCF, based on stronger humanoid commercialization, faster revenue scaling, sustained growth and profitability expansion over time, suggests upside potential ahead of onshore listing.</li>
<li>While the robotics stock valuations are high, I note the companies with long-term growth opportunities that are investing in growth with higher expenses can still maintain high multiples for years.</li>
<li>Using my 2026 estimates, Unitree Robotics should trade post-IPO at an EV of ~19x revs, a premium to high-growth HK-listed robotics peers, including Shenzhen Dobot and UBTech Robotics.</li>
</ul>


My bull-case 10-year DCF, based on stronger humanoid commercialization, faster revenue scaling, sustained growth and profitability expansion over time, suggests upside potential ahead of onshore listing.
While the robotics stock valuations are high, I note the companies with long-term growth opportunities that are investing in growth with higher expenses can still maintain high multiples for years.
Using my 2026 estimates, Unitree Robotics should trade post-IPO at an EV of ~19x revs, a premium to high-growth HK-listed robotics peers, including Shenzhen Dobot and UBTech Robotics.


Unitree Robotics Valuation Update: Bull-Case DCF Frames IPO Upside As Onshore Listing Nears

China

UBTECH Robotics is a leading company specializing in the research, development, design, production, and commercialization of humanoid and smart service robots. Their product offerings include AI education solutions, smart logistics robots, and various sector-tailored service robots. The company was founded in March 2012 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

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UBTECH Robotics (9880 HK)

Unitree Robotics (宇树科技) IPO: Kick-Off and Valuation Views

Unitree Robotics to proceed with A-share IPO despite uncertainties from recent U.S. FCC regulation, projecting strong earnings growth and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HK Short Interest Weekly: Zijin Mining, Hua Hong Semi, Zijin Gold Intl, Tencent, Knowledge Atlas, Ke

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jul 24th and highlight short interest changes in Zijin Mining (2899 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Unitree Robotics (宇树科技) Pre-IPO: Key Investment Thesis

Unitree Robotics plans to raise Rmb4.2bn in the A-share STAR market, showcasing leadership in humanoid robots with strong market potential and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HS TECH Index May 2026 Review Forecast

HS TECH May 2026 rebalance announcement due after market close today: a good time to revisit our review forecast as the decision approaches.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Unitree Robotics Valuation Update: Bull-Case DCF Frames IPO Upside As Onshore Listing Nears

In my follow-up piece, I focus on Unitree Robotics valuation analysis, financials and forecast. My 10-year bull-case DCF frames IPO upside.

Andrei Zakharov

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Unitree Robotics (宇树科技) IPO: Kick-Off and Valuation Views

​Unitree Robotics to proceed with A-share IPO despite uncertainties from recent U.S. FCC regulation, projecting strong earnings growth and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HK Short Interest Weekly: Zijin Mining, Hua Hong Semi, Zijin Gold Intl, Tencent, Knowledge Atlas, Ke

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jul 24th and highlight short interest changes in Zijin Mining (2899 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Unitree Robotics (宇树科技) Pre-IPO: Key Investment Thesis

​Unitree Robotics plans to raise Rmb4.2bn in the A-share STAR market, showcasing leadership in humanoid robots with strong market potential and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HS TECH Index May 2026 Review Forecast

HS TECH May 2026 rebalance announcement due after market close today: a good time to revisit our review forecast as the decision approaches.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Unitree Robotics Valuation Update: Bull-Case DCF Frames IPO Upside As Onshore Listing Nears

In my follow-up piece, I focus on Unitree Robotics valuation analysis, financials and forecast. My 10-year bull-case DCF frames IPO upside.

Andrei Zakharov

Unitree Robotics to proceed with A-share IPO despite uncertainties from recent U.S. FCC regulation, projecting strong earnings growth and...

Unitree Robotics plans to raise Rmb4.2bn in the A-share STAR market, showcasing leadership in humanoid robots with strong market potential and...