Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lendlease-global-commercial-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28292" rel="noopener">Lendlease Global Commercial REIT (LREIT SP)</a> to increase stake in JEM mall; DPU accretive to be funded by debt and perps</h3><ul><li>LREIT has entered into sale and purchase agreements to increase its stake in Jem. Upon completion of the proposed acquisition, LREIT will hold an effective indirect interest of up to 31.8% interest in JEM. The proposed acquisition includes 1) an acquisition of a 53.0% interest in Lendlease Jem Partners Fund Limited (LLJP) from third party vendors for S$159.1m; and 2) an acquisition of a 5.0% interest in Lendlease Asian Retail Investment Fund 3 Limited (ARIF3) from Lendlease International Pty Limited for S$45.0m. LREIT may also acquire up to 19.8% interest in ARIF3 from other third-party investors for S$178.2m. LLJP/ARIF3 holds a 25%/75% indirect interest, respectively, in JEM mall</li><li>As of 31Mar21, JEM was independently valued at S$2,085m and S$2,061m by JLL and CBRE, respectively. It sits on a 99yr lease land site with total NLA of 892,148sqft and 99.7% occupied. The proposed transaction values JEM at S$2,077m (S$2,238psf on NLA – 4.5% retail cap rate, 3.5% office cap rate) – NPI yield of 3.9%</li><li>Following the acquisition, the enlarged portfolio size of S$1.8bn will have a diversified asset base and an increased exposure to more resilient suburban retail and decentralised office segments. The single largest asset by aggregate value of the enlarged portfolio would also decrease from 67.6% to 55.1% (WALE of 6.5 years by GRI)</li><li>On a 1H21 pro-forma basis, the acquisitions are expected to be DPU accretive to unitholders, with an accretive change of +3.0% (assuming 19.8% of ARIF3 is acquired) and +1.3% if only 5% of ARIF3 is acquired. On the other hand, NAV per unit (31Dec20 pro-forma) will slightly decline to S$0.84 and gearing will improve to 34.1% after the acquisition of 19.8% stake in ARIF3. NAV per unit will remain flat at S$0.85 if only 5% of ARIF3 is acquired and gearing will improve to 32.4%</li><li>LREIT will leverage its strong balance sheet to fund this acquisition through debt or a combination of debt and proceeds from the issuance of perpetual securities. The acquisition, which is conditional upon LREIT unitholders’ approval, is expected to complete by 30Sep21. <section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/211/591/original/image003.png?1623030785" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="211591"></figure></section></li></ul>

SingaporeLendlease Global Commercial REIT (LREIT SP) to increase stake in JEM mall; DPU accretive to be funded by debt and perpsLREIT has entered into sale and purchase agreements to increase its stake in Jem. Upon completion of the proposed acquisition, LREIT will hold an effective indirect interest of up to 31.8% interest in JEM. The proposed acquisition includes 1) an acquisition of a 53.0% interest in Lendlease Jem Partners Fund Limited (LLJP) from third party vendors for S$159.1m; and 2) an acquisition of a 5.0% interest in Lendlease Asian Retail Investment Fund 3 Limited (ARIF3) from Lendlease International Pty Limited for S$45.0m. LREIT may also acquire up to 19.8% interest in ARIF3 from other third-party investors for S$178.2m. LLJP/ARIF3 holds a 25%/75% indirect interest, respectively, in JEM mallAs of 31Mar21, JEM was independently valued at S$2,085m and S$2,061m by JLL and CBRE, respectively. It sits on a 99yr lease land site with total NLA of 892,148sqft and 99.7% occupied. The proposed transaction values JEM at S$2,077m (S$2,238psf on NLA – 4.5% retail cap rate, 3.5% office cap rate) – NPI yield of 3.9%Following the acquisition, the enlarged portfolio size of S$1.8bn will have a diversified asset base and an increased exposure to more resilient suburban retail and decentralised office segments. The single largest asset by aggregate value of the enlarged portfolio would also decrease from 67.6% to 55.1% (WALE of 6.5 years by GRI)On a 1H21 pro-forma basis, the acquisitions are expected to be DPU accretive to unitholders, with an accretive change of +3.0% (assuming 19.8% of ARIF3 is acquired) and +1.3% if only 5% of ARIF3 is acquired. On the other hand, NAV per unit (31Dec20 pro-forma) will slightly decline to S$0.84 and gearing will improve to 34.1% after the acquisition of 19.8% stake in ARIF3. NAV per unit will remain flat at S$0.85 if only 5% of ARIF3 is acquired and gearing will improve to 32.4%LREIT will leverage its strong balance sheet to fund this acquisition through debt or a combination of debt and proceeds from the issuance of perpetual securities. The acquisition, which is conditional upon LREIT unitholders’ approval, is expected to complete by 30Sep21. 

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (7Jun21) - LREIT Increases Stake in JEM Mall

<h2>Singapore</h2>
<h3>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eagle-hospitality-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28059" rel="noopener">Eagle Hospitality Trust (EAGLEHT SP)</a> five properties put on auction received qualified bids</h3>
<p>Five out of 15 properties put up for auction have received qualified bids in the second bid round for EAGLEHT Chapter 11 assets held on 20May. The DBS trustee said its Chapter 11 entities received qualified bids for Sheraton Denver Tech Center, Four Points by Sheraton San Jose Airport, Embassy Suites by Hilton Anaheim North, Doubletree by Hilton Salt Lake City Airport, and Hilton Atlanta Northeast. The auction resulted in a US$24.8m net increase in the aggregate consideration for EAGLEHT's auctioned properties. A stalking-horse bidder, Madison Phoenix LLC, an affiliate of Monarch Alternative Capital, emerged successful for its bid of nine non-auctioned properties with an aggregate purchase price of US$326.5m. This is in accordance with the terms of the stalking-horse agreement between entities of EAGLEHT and the bidder, which effectively sets an opening price or price floor to protect the company selling the assets at low bids. Properties remaining in EAGLEHT's portfolio upon approval of the sale would comprise Queen Mary Long Beach, Delta Woodbridge, Hilton Houston Galleria Area and Crowne Plaza Dallas Near Galleria-Addison.</p>

Singapore

Eagle Hospitality Trust (EAGLEHT SP) five properties put on auction received qualified bids
Five out of 15 properties put up for auction have received qualified bids in the second bid round for EAGLEHT Chapter 11 assets held on 20May. The DBS trustee said its Chapter 11 entities received qualified bids for Sheraton Denver Tech Center, Four Points by Sheraton San Jose Airport, Embassy Suites by Hilton Anaheim North, Doubletree by Hilton Salt Lake City Airport, and Hilton Atlanta Northeast. The auction resulted in a US$24.8m net increase in the aggregate consideration for EAGLEHT's auctioned properties. A stalking-horse bidder, Madison Phoenix LLC, an affiliate of Monarch Alternative Capital, emerged successful for its bid of nine non-auctioned properties with an aggregate purchase price of US$326.5m. This is in accordance with the terms of the stalking-horse agreement between entities of EAGLEHT and the bidder, which effectively sets an opening price or price floor to protect the company selling the assets at low bids. Properties remaining in EAGLEHT's portfolio upon approval of the sale would comprise Queen Mary Long Beach, Delta Woodbridge, Hilton Houston Galleria Area and Crowne Plaza Dallas Near Galleria-Addison.

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (25May21) - EAGLEHT Properties Received Qualified Bids

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lhn-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27234" rel="noopener">LHN Ltd (LHN SP)</a> 1H21 results boosted by dormitory management contracts; Continue to ride on co-living trend</h3><ul><li>1H21 revenue increased 24.9% YoY to S$64.5m, primarily due to higher contributions from Facilities Management Business (+225.5% YoY) and Logistics Services Business (+6.0% YoY), partially offset by lower revenue from Space Optimisation Business (-33.6% YoY)</li><li>Space Optimisation: Revenue fell 33.6% YoY to S$19.4m in 1H21, due to lower contributions from Industrial Properties (-42.7% YoY to S$8.8m) and Commercial Properties (-53.8% YoY to S$4.1m), partially offset by higher revenue from Residential Properties (+28.9% YoY to S$6.5m). Lower revenues from Industrial and Commercial Properties were mainly due to expiry of 6 master leases, negative reversions, downtime at 1557 Keppel Road due to AEI works and IFRS 16 impacts. Occupancy for Industrial Properties -0.9pp YoY to 89.0% in 1H21 (vs. 89.9% in 1H20), while occupancy for Commercial Properties -15.3pp YoY to 69.2% in 1H21 (vs. 84.5% in 1H20). Meanwhile, higher revenue from Residential Properties was boosted by new serviced residence in Cambodia (started in 1Q21) and increase in revenue at 1A Lutheran Road</li><li>Facilities Management: Revenue increased by 225.5% YoY to S$31.6m in 1H21, mainly due to the increase in facilities management services provided for short-term contracts under the dormitory business</li><li>Logistics Services: Revenue grew 6.0% YoY to S$13.5m in 1H21, mainly due to increase in transportation services provided from the trucking business</li><li>1H21 PATMI increased 366.3% YoY to S$14.8m on higher other income and share of results from associates and joint ventures. 1H21 dividend came in at S$0.75c per share (+300% YoY), translating to an annualised dividend yield of ~4.5%. LHN’s cash and bank balances came in at S$36.3m, while net gearing (excluding IFRS16 impact) stood at 0.31x</li><li>LHN is currently trading at 4.3% FY21E dividend yield and 5.30x FY21E P/E</li></ul><p>Comments: 1H21 Revenue and PATMI form 52.2% and 59.1% of our full-year FY21E forecasts, respectively. We have expected 1H21 results to be higher than 2H21E due to the frontloading of dormitory management contracts (expected to end in 3Q21). With the resurgence of Covid-19 cases in Singapore, we do not discount the probability of LHN renewing the dormitory management contracts. Nonetheless, we believe its string of expansion plans for co-living business should provide steady growth moving forward. In addition to the new serviced residence in Cambodia (commissioned since 1Q21), 1557 Keppel Road and Nan’an China should also start contributing in FY21E. Meanwhile, newly acquired 320 Balestier Road (16Dec20), as well as proposed acquisitions of 40 &amp; 42 Amber Road (to be completed by 8Jun21), 8 strata units at Fu Yuen Building (subject to completion of two underlying options), and 115 Geylang Road (to be completed by 21Jul21) should drive growth in FY22E and onwards. We are currently reviewing our recommendations.</p>

SingaporeLHN Ltd (LHN SP) 1H21 results boosted by dormitory management contracts; Continue to ride on co-living trend1H21 revenue increased 24.9% YoY to S$64.5m, primarily due to higher contributions from Facilities Management Business (+225.5% YoY) and Logistics Services Business (+6.0% YoY), partially offset by lower revenue from Space Optimisation Business (-33.6% YoY)Space Optimisation: Revenue fell 33.6% YoY to S$19.4m in 1H21, due to lower contributions from Industrial Properties (-42.7% YoY to S$8.8m) and Commercial Properties (-53.8% YoY to S$4.1m), partially offset by higher revenue from Residential Properties (+28.9% YoY to S$6.5m). Lower revenues from Industrial and Commercial Properties were mainly due to expiry of 6 master leases, negative reversions, downtime at 1557 Keppel Road due to AEI works and IFRS 16 impacts. Occupancy for Industrial Properties -0.9pp YoY to 89.0% in 1H21 (vs. 89.9% in 1H20), while occupancy for Commercial Properties -15.3pp YoY to 69.2% in 1H21 (vs. 84.5% in 1H20). Meanwhile, higher revenue from Residential Properties was boosted by new serviced residence in Cambodia (started in 1Q21) and increase in revenue at 1A Lutheran RoadFacilities Management: Revenue increased by 225.5% YoY to S$31.6m in 1H21, mainly due to the increase in facilities management services provided for short-term contracts under the dormitory businessLogistics Services: Revenue grew 6.0% YoY to S$13.5m in 1H21, mainly due to increase in transportation services provided from the trucking business1H21 PATMI increased 366.3% YoY to S$14.8m on higher other income and share of results from associates and joint ventures. 1H21 dividend came in at S$0.75c per share (+300% YoY), translating to an annualised dividend yield of ~4.5%. LHN’s cash and bank balances came in at S$36.3m, while net gearing (excluding IFRS16 impact) stood at 0.31xLHN is currently trading at 4.3% FY21E dividend yield and 5.30x FY21E P/EComments: 1H21 Revenue and PATMI form 52.2% and 59.1% of our full-year FY21E forecasts, respectively. We have expected 1H21 results to be higher than 2H21E due to the frontloading of dormitory management contracts (expected to end in 3Q21). With the resurgence of Covid-19 cases in Singapore, we do not discount the probability of LHN renewing the dormitory management contracts. Nonetheless, we believe its string of expansion plans for co-living business should provide steady growth moving forward. In addition to the new serviced residence in Cambodia (commissioned since 1Q21), 1557 Keppel Road and Nan’an China should also start contributing in FY21E. Meanwhile, newly acquired 320 Balestier Road (16Dec20), as well as proposed acquisitions of 40 &amp; 42 Amber Road (to be completed by 8Jun21), 8 strata units at Fu Yuen Building (subject to completion of two underlying options), and 115 Geylang Road (to be completed by 21Jul21) should drive growth in FY22E and onwards. We are currently reviewing our recommendations.

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (14May21) - LHN Robust 1H21, Boosted by Mgmt Contracts

Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/8687" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8687:1">Sutl Enterprise (SUTL SP)</a> did not grow revenues in 2018 as it continued to operate only its flagship Sentosa marina. Change is coming as it has 9 projects in the pipeline which could dramatically alter the financial future of the company by FY21. </p>
<p>The biggest news is the groundbreaking of Puteri Harbor in Malaysia last week. With a sales gallery opening by May 2019, it will be very interesting to follow the progress on this project and its contribution to SUTL's top/bottom-line results in FY19/FY20.</p>
<p>SUTL is misunderstood by investors because management disclosure is lacking and liquidity is poor. The valuation of SUTL could be improved if investors had a better understanding of the earnings trajectory we could expect in FY19-FY21.</p>
<p>We realize the Tay family is not looking to sell its stake anytime soon so is not concerned about its current market cap. We caution that this might not be a smart way to run a publicly listed company as a more expensive 'currency'  (stock price) might help the company be taken more seriously when attempting to make acquisitions overseas. </p>
<p>However, this does not alter the fact that 84% of the market cap is cash and the EV of this consistently profitable company is barely 6.7M USD. SUTL is undeniably one of the cheapest stocks on SGX.</p>

Sutl Enterprise (SUTL SP) did not grow revenues in 2018 as it continued to operate only its flagship Sentosa marina. Change is coming as it has 9 projects in the pipeline which could dramatically alter the financial future of the company by FY21. 
The biggest news is the groundbreaking of Puteri Harbor in Malaysia last week. With a sales gallery opening by May 2019, it will be very interesting to follow the progress on this project and its contribution to SUTL's top/bottom-line results in FY19/FY20.
SUTL is misunderstood by investors because management disclosure is lacking and liquidity is poor. The valuation of SUTL could be improved if investors had a better understanding of the earnings trajectory we could expect in FY19-FY21.
We realize the Tay family is not looking to sell its stake anytime soon so is not concerned about its current market cap. We caution that this might not be a smart way to run a publicly listed company as a more expensive 'currency'  (stock price) might help the company be taken more seriously when attempting to make acquisitions overseas. 
However, this does not alter the fact that 84% of the market cap is cash and the EV of this consistently profitable company is barely 6.7M USD. SUTL is undeniably one of the cheapest stocks on SGX.

SUTL: Puteri Harbor Construction Started Last Week, Membership Sales to Follow, Cash = 84% of MktCap

<p>This week I attended the SUTL analyst briefing which was hosted in the company's One 15 Marina on Sentosa, Singapore. The presentation was given by Chairman Arthur Tay, Alex Tay (Alex is the nephew of Arthur who are both from controlling family), CEO and CFO.</p><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/046/549/original/picture%20of%202018%20analyst%20briefing.PNG?1520498750" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="46549"></figure><p>As the company continues to operate only one marina for now the results continue to be stable. The most important financials can be summarized as follows:</p><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/046/552/original/summary%20of%202017%20full%20year%20financial%20results.PNG?1520499388" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="46552"></figure><p>The balance sheet remains extremely strong with no debt and net cash rising to 45M SGD…</p>

This week I attended the SUTL analyst briefing which was hosted in the company's One 15 Marina on Sentosa, Singapore. The presentation was given by Chairman Arthur Tay, Alex Tay (Alex is the nephew of Arthur who are both from controlling family), CEO and CFO.As the company continues to operate only one marina for now the results continue to be stable. The most important financials can be summarized as follows:The balance sheet remains extremely strong with no debt and net cash rising to 45M SGD…

SUTL: New Membership Sales Contribution Will Start to Kick In Next Two Years, Cash Is 70% of Mkt Cap

Malaysia

UEM Sunrise Bhd is a real estate investment and development company. The Company's activities include property development and land sales. The Company develops a range of projects including industrial, commercial, residential, healthcare and mixed used properties, government offices, universities, and others.

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Uem Sunrise Bhd (UEMS MK)

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (7Jun21) - LREIT Increases Stake in JEM Mall

LREIT increases stake in JEM Mall; CERT expands further into Czech logistics; ELITE applies for TISE listing; Phils May inflation steady; UEMS...

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ASEAN Builder's Scoop (25May21) - EAGLEHT Properties Received Qualified Bids

EAGLEHT properties received qualified bids; CIT warns of cooling measures; UEMS 1Q21 net loss narrows; ECW achieved 70% FY21 sales target; Phuket...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (14May21) - LHN Robust 1H21, Boosted by Mgmt Contracts

LHN robust 1H21, boosted by mgmt contracts; UHU riding on US consumer recovery; IREIT attractive 12% EUR yield; RLC eyes REIT listing by 2H21; MEG...

SCCM Asia Research

SUTL: Puteri Harbor Construction Started Last Week, Membership Sales to Follow, Cash = 84% of MktCap

Sutl Enterprise (SUTL SP) did not grow revenues in 2018 as it continued to operate only its flagship Sentosa marina. Change is coming as it has 9...

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

SUTL: New Membership Sales Contribution Will Start to Kick In Next Two Years, Cash Is 70% of Mkt Cap

This week I attended the SUTL analyst briefing which was hosted in the company's One 15 Marina on Sentosa, Singapore. The presentation was given by...

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

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