Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul><li>Under Armour’s brand strength helped the company deliver an all-around beat while navigating the present environment.</li><li>The company’s financial performance has been decent as its wholesale revenue increased while the eCommerce revenue and direct-to-consumer revenue decreased.</li><li>The company is planning to launch a new footwear platform, Kevin, that can change the landscape of athletic footwear.</li></ul>

Under Armour’s brand strength helped the company deliver an all-around beat while navigating the present environment.The company’s financial performance has been decent as its wholesale revenue increased while the eCommerce revenue and direct-to-consumer revenue decreased.The company is planning to launch a new footwear platform, Kevin, that can change the landscape of athletic footwear.

Under Armour Inc: Digital Strategy & Other Drivers

<ul><li>Under Armour has been one of the worst hit stocks in the past year and has been undergoing a multi-year transformation.</li><li>The management has invested in strengthening their brand and has been working hard to re-center their strategy operations and financial discipline over the past few years.</li><li>Furthermore, Under Armour continues to improve its brand house and factory house store concepts, enhancing its ability to provide a seamless and well-balanced multichannel experience.</li></ul>

Under Armour has been one of the worst hit stocks in the past year and has been undergoing a multi-year transformation.The management has invested in strengthening their brand and has been working hard to re-center their strategy operations and financial discipline over the past few years.Furthermore, Under Armour continues to improve its brand house and factory house store concepts, enhancing its ability to provide a seamless and well-balanced multichannel experience.

Under Armour Inc.: Expansion In Emerging Markets

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Algosun Global

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>During the #1 product and growth conference Amplify 2022 in Las Vegas, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amplitude-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34148:1" rel="noopener">Amplitude (AMPL US)</a>  introduced the Customer Data Platform (CDP) with integrated product analytics.  </li>
<li>The company expanded partner integration with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/snowflake-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29254:1" rel="noopener">Snowflake Inc (SNOW US)</a>  to improve data connectivity while Amplitude Experiment sees strong traction with customers. </li>
<li>With shares down ~65% YTD, Amplitude has underperformed the Nasdaq Composite (-23%). Our PT is $28.00, implying ~14x EV/2022E revenue and ~10x EV/2023E revenue. </li>
</ul>


During the #1 product and growth conference Amplify 2022 in Las Vegas, Amplitude (AMPL US)  introduced the Customer Data Platform (CDP) with integrated product analytics.  
The company expanded partner integration with Snowflake Inc (SNOW US)  to improve data connectivity while Amplitude Experiment sees strong traction with customers. 
With shares down ~65% YTD, Amplitude has underperformed the Nasdaq Composite (-23%). Our PT is $28.00, implying ~14x EV/2022E revenue and ~10x EV/2023E revenue. 


Amplitude: Valuations Look Attractive and Growth Catalysts May Materialize in CY22

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are quite a few changes for stocks across the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 (SPX INDEX)</a>, MidCap 400 Index and SmallCap 600 Index that will result in a one-way trade of US$30bn.</li>
<li>There are adds/deletes that have over 5 days of ADV to trade from passive funds, plus many stocks that have over +/-1 day of ADV from other changes.</li>
<li>The largest impact of passive buying will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keurig-dr-pepper-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15411:1" rel="noopener">Keurig Dr Pepper Inc (KDP US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/on-semiconductor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2729:1" rel="noopener">On Semiconductor (ON US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vici-properties-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28786:1" rel="noopener">VICI Properties Inc (VICI US)</a>. </li>
</ul>


There are quite a few changes for stocks across the S&amp;P 500 (SPX INDEX), MidCap 400 Index and SmallCap 600 Index that will result in a one-way trade of US$30bn.
There are adds/deletes that have over 5 days of ADV to trade from passive funds, plus many stocks that have over +/-1 day of ADV from other changes.
The largest impact of passive buying will be on Keurig Dr Pepper Inc (KDP US), On Semiconductor (ON US) and VICI Properties Inc (VICI US). 


S&P500 Index Rebalance: One-Way Trade of US$30bn

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>On 3 June 2022, the S&amp;P DJI Global Index team announced changes to the S&amp;P500, S&amp;P Midcap 400, and S&amp;P SmallCap 600 indices (and a number of other smaller indices).</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vici-properties-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28786:1" rel="noopener"></a>VICI Properties (VICI) will replace Cerner (CERN) in S&amp;P500 at close of 7 June. Keurig DrPepper and ON Semiconductor will replace UnderArmour and IPG Photonics at close 17 June.</li>
<li>This set of rebalances is particularly interesting in terms of non-offsetting flows, unlike many rebals which are just a game of musical shares between the three top indices.</li>
</ul>


On 3 June 2022, the S&amp;P DJI Global Index team announced changes to the S&amp;P500, S&amp;P Midcap 400, and S&amp;P SmallCap 600 indices (and a number of other smaller indices).

VICI Properties (VICI) will replace Cerner (CERN) in S&amp;P500 at close of 7 June. Keurig DrPepper and ON Semiconductor will replace UnderArmour and IPG Photonics at close 17 June.
This set of rebalances is particularly interesting in terms of non-offsetting flows, unlike many rebals which are just a game of musical shares between the three top indices.


S&P500, S&PMid400, and S&PSmall600 Index Changes for June 2022 - More Interesting Than Usual

United States

Under Armour, Inc. develops, markets, and distributes branded performance products for men, women, and youth. The Company designs and sells a broad offering of apparel and accessories made of synthetic microfibers.

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Under Armour (UAA US)

Under Armour Inc: Digital Strategy & Other Drivers

Under Armour’s brand strength helped the company deliver an all-around beat while navigating the present environment. The company’s financial...

Baptista Research

Under Armour Inc.: Expansion In Emerging Markets

Under Armour has been one of the worst hit stocks in the past year and has been undergoing a multi-year transformation. The management has...

Baptista Research

Amplitude: Valuations Look Attractive and Growth Catalysts May Materialize in CY22

Amplitude remains well-positioned as one of the leaders in product analytics with an opportunity to convert more GA enterprise customers to...

Andrei Zakharov

S&P500 Index Rebalance: One-Way Trade of US$30bn

There are 3 changes for the S&P500, plus more changes for the MidCap and SmallCap indices. We estimate a one-way trade of US$30bn across the...

Brian Freitas

S&P500, S&PMid400, and S&PSmall600 Index Changes for June 2022 - More Interesting Than Usual

The June 2022 S&P500, S&P Midcap 400 and S&P SmallCap 600 Rebalance was announced on 3 June 2022. VICI will replace CERN at the close of 7 June,...

Travis Lundy

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