External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The global foundry sales reached US$117bn in 2023, according to Counterpoint.</li><li>The sector showed signs of stabilization in 2H23, helped by surging demand for AI chips and inventory restocking.</li><li>The market growth turned positive to 6.5% and 9.8% QoQ in 3Q/4Q23, per Counterpoint. We hold a positive outlook for semi foundry sector. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

The global foundry sales reached US$117bn in 2023, according to Counterpoint.The sector showed signs of stabilization in 2H23, helped by surging demand for AI chips and inventory restocking.The market growth turned positive to 6.5% and 9.8% QoQ in 3Q/4Q23, per Counterpoint. We hold a positive outlook for semi foundry sector. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Semi - Global Foundry Sector Stabilizing in 2024, Modest Recovery Expected in 2025

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (TSM US)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +9.9% Premium; Below -1 SD Band; Long the ADR Spread</li>
<li>UMC: -2.9% Discount; Below -1 SD Band; Long the ADR Spread</li>
<li>ASE: +2.4% Premium; Within Recent Historical Range; No Active Trade Signal</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +9.9% Premium; Below -1 SD Band; Long the ADR Spread
UMC: -2.9% Discount; Below -1 SD Band; Long the ADR Spread
ASE: +2.4% Premium; Within Recent Historical Range; No Active Trade Signal


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread Now Near Multi-Year Lows

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 28th. The aggregated holding was USD2,277.2bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD3,814mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, E.SUN Financial, Nanya Technology, Unimicron Technology, MediaTek.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 28th. The aggregated holding was USD2,277.2bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD3,814mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, E.SUN Financial, Nanya Technology, Unimicron Technology, MediaTek.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 28th): TSMC, E.SUN Financial, Nanya Technology, MediaTek

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

<ul>
<li>Management believes Data Center revenue could exceed 20% of total company revenue in 2027.</li>
<li>The discussion around Smart Power Stage (SPS) products was one of the most encouraging aspects of the call.</li>
<li>Automotive Business Entering a New Growth Phase: Growth is being supported by a combination of new customers, new product categories, and geographic expansion.</li>
</ul>


Management believes Data Center revenue could exceed 20% of total company revenue in 2027.
The discussion around Smart Power Stage (SPS) products was one of the most encouraging aspects of the call.
Automotive Business Entering a New Growth Phase: Growth is being supported by a combination of new customers, new product categories, and geographic expansion.


Silergy (6415.TT): 3Q26 Outlook: Management Remains Bullish

Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

<ul>
<li>The oversupply of 8"/12" mature technology and price war especially within China for the next 5 years is inevitable, especially negative for SMIC and Hua Hong Semi.</li>
<li>Production moving out of China semi demand might increase to 65-70% in next five years to benefit Globalfoundries, UMC, Vanguard, Powerchip mitigating impacts from rising domestic replacement in China.  </li>
<li>By building up in-house fabs, Huawei and HiSilicon supply chain vendors will be benefited the most like semiconductor equipment, material, fab construction, CoWoS interposer, and CoWoS packaging vendors.</li>
</ul>


The oversupply of 8"/12" mature technology and price war especially within China for the next 5 years is inevitable, especially negative for SMIC and Hua Hong Semi.
Production moving out of China semi demand might increase to 65-70% in next five years to benefit Globalfoundries, UMC, Vanguard, Powerchip mitigating impacts from rising domestic replacement in China.  
By building up in-house fabs, Huawei and HiSilicon supply chain vendors will be benefited the most like semiconductor equipment, material, fab construction, CoWoS interposer, and CoWoS packaging vendors.


No Sign of Selling Advanced Scanners by ASML to China Customers, Implications

Taiwan

United Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs) and related electronic products.  The Company's main products are consumer electronic ICs, memory ICs, personal computer peripheral ICs, and communication ICs.

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United Microelectron Sp Adr (UMC US)

Semi - Global Foundry Sector Stabilizing in 2024, Modest Recovery Expected in 2025

The market growth turned positive to 6.5% and 9.8% QoQ in 3Q/4Q23, per Counterpoint. We hold a positive outlook for semi foundry sector.

CMB International

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread Now Near Multi-Year Lows

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 28th): TSMC, E.SUN Financial, Nanya Technology, MediaTek

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, E.SUN Financial, Nanya Technology,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Silergy (6415.TT): 3Q26 Outlook: Management Remains Bullish

Management believes Data Center revenue could exceed 20% of total company revenue in 2027. Smart Power Stage (SPS) products was one of the most...

Patrick Liao

No Sign of Selling Advanced Scanners by ASML to China Customers, Implications

No Sign of Selling Advanced Scanners by ASML to China Customers, Implications; Huawei and HiSilicon supply chain vendors will be benefited the most

Andrew Lu

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52-week Range

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