Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 21st. The aggregated holding was USD2,218.0bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD800mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Unimicron Technology, Nanya Technology, Powerchip Semiconductor Manufacturing, Evergreen Marine, Hon Hai Precision.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 21st. The aggregated holding was USD2,218.0bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD800mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Unimicron Technology, Nanya Technology, Powerchip Semiconductor Manufacturing, Evergreen Marine, Hon Hai Precision.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 21st): Unimicron Technology, Nanya Technology, Evergreen Marine

Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Takeaways post model updated: 1. most foundries miss 4Q23 but y/y decline to decelerate; 2. y/y sales passed the trough but utilization later; 3. wafer shipment down 18-20% in 2023;</li>
<li>More takeaways: 4. different mix with different price; 5. some are defensive this year, some might have larger upside for 2024; 6. gross margin still falling and capex cut needed.</li>
<li>
Automotive/Industrial lags only not beginning of the fall: Smartphone, pc, consumer/IOT foundry orders might recover earlier than automotive/industrial for 2-3 quarters, resulting fablesses in these area to outperform.</li>
</ul>


Takeaways post model updated: 1. most foundries miss 4Q23 but y/y decline to decelerate; 2. y/y sales passed the trough but utilization later; 3. wafer shipment down 18-20% in 2023;
More takeaways: 4. different mix with different price; 5. some are defensive this year, some might have larger upside for 2024; 6. gross margin still falling and capex cut needed.

Automotive/Industrial lags only not beginning of the fall: Smartphone, pc, consumer/IOT foundry orders might recover earlier than automotive/industrial for 2-3 quarters, resulting fablesses in these area to outperform.


Takeaways Post Our Global Foundry Model Updated and Initial View on 2024

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Intel’s 3Q23 results beat prior guidance and market expectations, and it guided an upbeat 4Q23 with a return to sales growth backed by improving PC market and a more competitive product pipeline.</li><li>3Q revenue declined 8% YoY to US$14.2bn (above high-end of guidance) and EPS increased 11% YoY to US$0.41 (vs. US$0.2 for guidance), mainly driven by CCG/DCAI strength, better operating leverage and expense discipline.</li><li>Looking into 4Q23E, mgmt. expected PC momentum to continue and sequential growth of datacentre and AI businesses in 4Q23E. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Intel’s 3Q23 results beat prior guidance and market expectations, and it guided an upbeat 4Q23 with a return to sales growth backed by improving PC market and a more competitive product pipeline.3Q revenue declined 8% YoY to US$14.2bn (above high-end of guidance) and EPS increased 11% YoY to US$0.41 (vs. US$0.2 for guidance), mainly driven by CCG/DCAI strength, better operating leverage and expense discipline.Looking into 4Q23E, mgmt. expected PC momentum to continue and sequential growth of datacentre and AI businesses in 4Q23E. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology – Implications of Intel 3Q23

<ul><li>TSMC recorded in-line 3Q23 results and 4Q revenue guidance implies betterthan-expected FY23E outlook, driven by stabilised demand of smartphone &amp; PC and inventory restocking.</li><li>Auto segment may slow down in 2H23E, but it is set to rebound in 2024 driven by the NEV market.</li><li>Looking ahead, we expect market will react positively to 3Q23 results, demand stabilisation and inventory restocking. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

TSMC recorded in-line 3Q23 results and 4Q revenue guidance implies betterthan-expected FY23E outlook, driven by stabilised demand of smartphone &amp; PC and inventory restocking.Auto segment may slow down in 2H23E, but it is set to rebound in 2024 driven by the NEV market.Looking ahead, we expect market will react positively to 3Q23 results, demand stabilisation and inventory restocking. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology – Implications of TSMC 3Q23: Cycle Nearing the Bottom

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

<ul>
<li>There are signs of a recovery in the chip sector</li>
<li>Memory spot prices are up, and revenues have risen for six consecutive months</li>
<li>Growth is higher than average, indicating the start of another super-cycle</li>
</ul>


There are signs of a recovery in the chip sector
Memory spot prices are up, and revenues have risen for six consecutive months
Growth is higher than average, indicating the start of another super-cycle


Taiwan

United Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs) and related electronic products.  The Company's main products are consumer electronic ICs, memory ICs, personal computer peripheral ICs, and communication ICs.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

United Microelectron Sp Adr (UMC US)

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 21st): Unimicron Technology, Nanya Technology, Evergreen Marine

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Unimicron Technology (3037 TT), Nanya Technology...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Takeaways Post Our Global Foundry Model Updated and Initial View on 2024

Seven takeaways Post Our Global Foundry Model Updated and Initial View on 2024 foundry shipment, blended wafer price, sales, and capex growth/decline

Andrew Lu

China Technology – Implications of Intel 3Q23

Intel’s 3Q23 results beat prior guidance and market expectations, and it guided an upbeat 4Q23 with a return to sales growth backed by improving PC...

CMB International

China Technology – Implications of TSMC 3Q23: Cycle Nearing the Bottom

TSMC recorded in-line 3Q23 results and 4Q revenue guidance implies betterthan-expected FY23E outlook, driven by stabilised demand of smartphone &...

CMB International

Are Semiconductors Finally Recovering?

The chip sector is beginning to recover with rising memory prices and six consecutive months of above-average revenue growth, suggesting the onset...

Jim Handy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 21st): Unimicron Technology, Nanya Technology, Evergreen Marine

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Unimicron Technology (3037 TT), Nanya Technology...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Takeaways Post Our Global Foundry Model Updated and Initial View on 2024

Seven takeaways Post Our Global Foundry Model Updated and Initial View on 2024 foundry shipment, blended wafer price, sales, and capex growth/decline

Andrew Lu

China Technology – Implications of Intel 3Q23

Intel’s 3Q23 results beat prior guidance and market expectations, and it guided an upbeat 4Q23 with a return to sales growth backed by improving PC...

CMB International

China Technology – Implications of TSMC 3Q23: Cycle Nearing the Bottom

TSMC recorded in-line 3Q23 results and 4Q revenue guidance implies betterthan-expected FY23E outlook, driven by stabilised demand of smartphone &...

CMB International

Are Semiconductors Finally Recovering?

​The chip sector is beginning to recover with rising memory prices and six consecutive months of above-average revenue growth, suggesting the onset...

Jim Handy

The chip sector is beginning to recover with rising memory prices and six consecutive months of above-average revenue growth, suggesting the onset...