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US Treasury (10 Yr Generic) (GT10 GOVT)

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bullish•Macroeconomics
•12 Oct 2023 09:21

CPI watch: 6 charts on a soft’ish inflation report

The CPI report is like to surprise on the dovish side. Especially used cars and transportation services will surprise on the low side. The Fed is...

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bullish•Macroeconomics
•11 Oct 2023 09:45

Macro Nugget: Fluctuations and the Perception of Gravity

The central banks that accurately anticipated the post-inflation wave, or perhaps didn’t underestimate its magnitude, were those in...

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bearish•Macroeconomics
•11 Oct 2023 09:22

Recession Playbook: Here is how we think the recession will pan out

We have refrained from taking a decisive stance on the recession timing through the year and have generally had the view that recession risks (for...

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bullish•Macroeconomics
•09 Oct 2023 20:52

Macro Nugget: How do markets react to turmoil in Gaza/Israel?

We have taken a look at the data over the course of the last five stand-offs between Israel and Hamas/Palestine on the back of the atrocious...

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bullish•Macroeconomics
•09 Oct 2023 16:14

Steno Signals #68: There is NOT enough buyers for bonds amidst all this

A deal between the US/Israel and Saudi Arabia seems off the table after this weekend. Oil markets are physically tight still, but there are some...

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