Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>China has officially announced the cancellation of export tax rebates (typically 9%) for a broad range of pesticides, including Glufosinate and Acephate, effective April 1, 2026.</li>
<li>This policy shift effectively raises the floor price for Chinese exports by 9%, easing the "dumping" pressure that has suppressed Indian agrochemical margins for nearly three years.</li>
<li>One should monitor Q1 2026 volume surges as global buyers front-load orders before the rebate exit, providing a tactical window for Indian incumbents to regain pricing power.</li>
</ul>


China has officially announced the cancellation of export tax rebates (typically 9%) for a broad range of pesticides, including Glufosinate and Acephate, effective April 1, 2026.
This policy shift effectively raises the floor price for Chinese exports by 9%, easing the "dumping" pressure that has suppressed Indian agrochemical margins for nearly three years.
One should monitor Q1 2026 volume surges as global buyers front-load orders before the rebate exit, providing a tactical window for Indian incumbents to regain pricing power.


Analysis Of "China Cancels Export Tax Rebates on Pesticides"

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI). We've been bullish since early-November 2023, save for a two month period from late-July to late-September 2024 when we were neutral.</li>
<li>We also believe the U.S. dollar (DXY) and Treasury yields have put in major tops, which is a crucial risk-on signal for global equities.</li>
<li>With more and more countries breaking out, we remain bullish as long as ACWI-US is above $116, S&amp;P 500 is above 5770-5850, and EURO STOXX 50 is above 5030.</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI). We've been bullish since early-November 2023, save for a two month period from late-July to late-September 2024 when we were neutral.
We also believe the U.S. dollar (DXY) and Treasury yields have put in major tops, which is a crucial risk-on signal for global equities.
With more and more countries breaking out, we remain bullish as long as ACWI-US is above $116, S&amp;P 500 is above 5770-5850, and EURO STOXX 50 is above 5030.


Major Top for the U.S. Dollar (DXY) = Risk-On; Bullish Outlook Despite Near-Term Downside Risk

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Nirmal Bang

Nirmal Bang

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

A Relationship Beyond Broking

Nirmal Bang, one of the leading stock broking companies in India, caters to retail and institutional clients by offering them a range of financial products and services, including equities, derivatives, commodities, currency derivatives, mutual funds, IPOs, insurance, depository services and PMS.

Nirmal Bang is drawn from a diversity of professional backgrounds, and blend of experience, skill and dedication is shared with its clients. Nirmal Bang emphasizes adequate, thorough research local and world-wide developments, balancing these with the astute discovery of intrinsic values, synergies and growth. The aim is simply to help the investors to maximize their returns.

<ul>
<li>Potential deflation in input costs is margin accretive for Indian CPC stocks.</li>
<li>FY23 fertilizer subsidy may touch Rs1.75-Rs2trn.</li>
<li>IMD forecast for South West Monsoon an added catalyst.</li>
</ul>
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


Potential deflation in input costs is margin accretive for Indian CPC stocks.
FY23 fertilizer subsidy may touch Rs1.75-Rs2trn.
IMD forecast for South West Monsoon an added catalyst.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Chemical Sector- Indian Met Forecast Positive for Kharif Prospects Facing with High Input Costs

<ul>
<li>We see the likely hit on demand as well as margins from the supply disruption across energy, fertilizers and chemicals sectors, aggravated by the Russia-Ukraine conflict, cast a shadow on 4QFY22E for NBIE Chemical stocks.</li>
<li>The buoyancy in freight rates (up more than 100% YoY) is an added worry.</li>
<li>On the brighter side, we see pricing power supporting margins, barring in the case of Coromandel International (CRIN).</li>
</ul>
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


We see the likely hit on demand as well as margins from the supply disruption across energy, fertilizers and chemicals sectors, aggravated by the Russia-Ukraine conflict, cast a shadow on 4QFY22E for NBIE Chemical stocks.
The buoyancy in freight rates (up more than 100% YoY) is an added worry.
On the brighter side, we see pricing power supporting margins, barring in the case of Coromandel International (CRIN).

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Chemical Sector: Sector Margins to Hold up Despite Cost Push

Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index / Technical Analysis

Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX EQUITY)

Global equities (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, and EAFE) remain bullish with their uptrends intact, and the MSCI Emerging Markets index continues to hold above major support at $52 on the EEM-US. Additionally, Europe’s STOXX 50 and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng are on the cusp of short-term breakouts, while the major indexes in China (Shanghai Composite &amp; CSI 300) are currently breaking above short-term resistance... see chart below. Considering the absence of breakdowns and the fact that market dynamics remain largely positive, our overall constructive outlook remains appropriate.

Global equities (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, and EAFE) remain bullish with their uptrends intact, and the MSCI Emerging Markets index continues to hold above major support at $52 on the EEM-US. Additionally, Europe’s STOXX 50 and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng are on the cusp of short-term breakouts, while the major indexes in China (Shanghai Composite &amp; CSI 300) are currently breaking above short-term resistance... see chart below. Considering the absence of breakdowns and the fact that market dynamics remain largely positive, our overall constructive outlook remains appropriate.

Chinese Indexes Headed Higher; Actionable Themes: Transportation, Materials, and Services

India

UPL Limited is an Indian multinational agrochemical and specialty chemicals company that manufactures and markets a comprehensive range of sustainable agriculture products and solutions. These include conventional crop protection products like pesticides, fungicides, herbicides, and insecticides, as well as seeds, bio-solutions, and post-harvest solutions. The company is headquartered in Mumbai, India, and was founded on May 29, 1969.

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UPL (UPLL IN)

Analysis Of "China Cancels Export Tax Rebates on Pesticides"

China cancels export tax rebates on pesticides, raising prices by 9% and potentially benefiting Indian agrochemical companies.

Nimish Maheshwari

Major Top for the U.S. Dollar (DXY) = Risk-On; Bullish Outlook Despite Near-Term Downside Risk

Major Top for the U.S. Dollar $DXY = Risk-On; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI despite near-term downside risk. We remain bullish if $ACWI > $116,...

Vermilion Research

Chemical Sector- Indian Met Forecast Positive for Kharif Prospects Facing with High Input Costs

The Indian Agrochemicals sector looks better off compared to the prospects for exports in FY23. This is based on potential divergence in volume...

Nirmal Bang

Chemical Sector: Sector Margins to Hold up Despite Cost Push

We see the likely hit on demand as well as margins from the supply disruption across energy, fertilizers and chemicals sectors, aggravated by the...

Nirmal Bang

Chinese Indexes Headed Higher; Actionable Themes: Transportation, Materials, and Services

The evidence continues to suggest that value remains leadership and we recommend adding exposure to cyclical value on this minor pullback in the...

Vermilion Research

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Analysis Of "China Cancels Export Tax Rebates on Pesticides"

​China cancels export tax rebates on pesticides, raising prices by 9% and potentially benefiting Indian agrochemical companies.

Nimish Maheshwari

Major Top for the U.S. Dollar (DXY) = Risk-On; Bullish Outlook Despite Near-Term Downside Risk

Major Top for the U.S. Dollar $DXY = Risk-On; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI despite near-term downside risk. We remain bullish if $ACWI > $116,...

Vermilion Research

Chemical Sector- Indian Met Forecast Positive for Kharif Prospects Facing with High Input Costs

The Indian Agrochemicals sector looks better off compared to the prospects for exports in FY23. This is based on potential divergence in volume...

Nirmal Bang

Chemical Sector: Sector Margins to Hold up Despite Cost Push

We see the likely hit on demand as well as margins from the supply disruption across energy, fertilizers and chemicals sectors, aggravated by the...

Nirmal Bang

Chinese Indexes Headed Higher; Actionable Themes: Transportation, Materials, and Services

The evidence continues to suggest that value remains leadership and we recommend adding exposure to cyclical value on this minor pullback in the...

Vermilion Research

China cancels export tax rebates on pesticides, raising prices by 9% and potentially benefiting Indian agrochemical companies.