Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets, At Any Rate

At Any Rate

Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets

Analysts from J.P. Morgan’s Research team take a closer look at the stories behind some of the biggest trends, themes and developments in markets today.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Global government issuance trends are bearish, with widening deficits and increasing net issuance in major economies</li>
<li>Euro area, UK, and US are all facing significant supply pressures, leading to concerns about term premium and yield curve steepening</li>
<li>Japan is expected to see a slowdown in net issuance, but QT policies will still impact the JGB curve, potentially leading to a flattening bias in 2025.</li>
</ul>
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Global government issuance trends are bearish, with widening deficits and increasing net issuance in major economies
Euro area, UK, and US are all facing significant supply pressures, leading to concerns about term premium and yield curve steepening
Japan is expected to see a slowdown in net issuance, but QT policies will still impact the JGB curve, potentially leading to a flattening bias in 2025.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Global Rates - 2025 Global government issuance outlook

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>Happy Sunday, and welcome to my weekly editorial on everything macro and markets.</li>
<li>It’s been an incredibly eventful weekend in Trump-land, and those who expected him to save all the fireworks for the inauguration speech have already been left behind.</li>
<li>To recap, Trump has either officially or via leaks/sources hinted at the following:The launch of the official meme-Trump-coin, which has gone absolutely through the roof, taking SOL to new highs alongside it.</li>
</ul>


Happy Sunday, and welcome to my weekly editorial on everything macro and markets.
It’s been an incredibly eventful weekend in Trump-land, and those who expected him to save all the fireworks for the inauguration speech have already been left behind.
To recap, Trump has either officially or via leaks/sources hinted at the following:The launch of the official meme-Trump-coin, which has gone absolutely through the roof, taking SOL to new highs alongside it.


Steno Signals #181: Welcome to the golden age for risk taking (and scams)

Junior Finance Analyst, Steno Research

Ulrik Simmelholt

Junior Finance Analyst

Commodities

<ul>
<li>Before we begin, let’s discuss the Trump tariffs, as he increasingly sounds serious about them.</li>
<li>His recent message on Truth Social suggests he is ready to roll out a series of initiatives next week, including those on trade, cryptocurrency, and a range of other topics.</li>
<li>Every counterpart we speak to expects Trump to take action over the course of his presidency but also anticipates him backing down if the market pushes back against tariffs with a stronger USD, higher bond yields, and weaker risk sentiment.</li>
</ul>


Before we begin, let’s discuss the Trump tariffs, as he increasingly sounds serious about them.
His recent message on Truth Social suggests he is ready to roll out a series of initiatives next week, including those on trade, cryptocurrency, and a range of other topics.
Every counterpart we speak to expects Trump to take action over the course of his presidency but also anticipates him backing down if the market pushes back against tariffs with a stronger USD, higher bond yields, and weaker risk sentiment.


The Drill: What if Trump is not bluffing ahead of next week?

<ul><li>Happy Sunday, and welcome to my weekly editorial on all things Macro after a tumultuous week! I must admit, I’ve been surprised by the resilience of inflation and the growth momentum in the U.S. economy.</li><li>Both indicators continue to deliver results above median/trend values, suggesting that the U.S. economy is growing in both nominal and real terms at levels typically exceeding historical norms.</li><li>This is precisely why we’ve developed incredibly robust nowcasting models.</li></ul>

Happy Sunday, and welcome to my weekly editorial on all things Macro after a tumultuous week! I must admit, I’ve been surprised by the resilience of inflation and the growth momentum in the U.S. economy.Both indicators continue to deliver results above median/trend values, suggesting that the U.S. economy is growing in both nominal and real terms at levels typically exceeding historical norms.This is precisely why we’ve developed incredibly robust nowcasting models.

Steno Signals #180 – Some men just want to see the world burn (but not Trump)

HarmoniQ Insights

William Mann

Independent Insight Provider

At HarmoniQ Insights, we empower investors to enhance their investment strategies by integrating cutting-edge quantitative research processes and technologies. Our solutions provide access to leading quantitative data providers and services, tailored to align with each client’s unique goals. By bridging the gap between traditional investment approaches and advanced data-driven methods, we help clients gain a competitive edge through innovation in both process and technology.

<ul>
<li>Rates and Equities: Fed may pause and further cut rates, impacting equities down the line</li>
<li>Bitcoin's Impact: MicroStrategy adding Bitcoin to its capital structure driving positive skew impact on equity</li>
<li>Portfolio Diversification: Bitcoin and gold showing more upside potential volatility compared to traditional assets like equities and bonds</li>
</ul>
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Rates and Equities: Fed may pause and further cut rates, impacting equities down the line
Bitcoin's Impact: MicroStrategy adding Bitcoin to its capital structure driving positive skew impact on equity
Portfolio Diversification: Bitcoin and gold showing more upside potential volatility compared to traditional assets like equities and bonds

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Bill Mann & Mark Connors: Rate Volatility: Key to Market Trends | The New Barbarians Podcast - #003

United States

The US dollar is the official currency of the United States of America.

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Global Rates - 2025 Global government issuance outlook

Global Macro Research is predicting government trends and fiscal focus, with euro area and UK budget deficits widening and US Treasury Department...

At Any Rate

Steno Signals #181: Welcome to the golden age for risk taking (and scams)

Happy Sunday, and welcome to my weekly editorial on everything macro and markets. It’s been an incredibly eventful weekend in Trump-land, and...

Steno Research

The Drill: What if Trump is not bluffing ahead of next week?

Before we begin, let’s discuss the Trump tariffs, as he increasingly sounds serious about them. His recent message on Truth Social suggests he is...

Steno Research

Steno Signals #180 – Some men just want to see the world burn (but not Trump)

Happy Sunday, and welcome to my weekly editorial on all things Macro after a tumultuous week!I must admit, I’ve been surprised by the resilience...

Steno Research

Bill Mann & Mark Connors: Rate Volatility: Key to Market Trends | The New Barbarians Podcast - #003

Insights and outlooks for 2025 in economics, markets, and digital assets, including Bitcoin, with projections on market volatility, industry...

William Mann

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52-week Range

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