Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shoppers-stop-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12804:1" rel="noopener">Shoppers Stop (SHOP IN)</a> is a leading retailer in India specializing in fashion and beauty brands with 12 department stores, 7 premium home stores, and 87 specialty beauty outlets,</li>
<li>SHOP has also launched its value retail format INTUNE in June 2023 generating excitement and interest around the same. </li>
<li>It seems SHOP is trying to play all cards of the retail game, i.e., premium, beauty, and value fast fashion, but so far has shown no signs of success.</li>
</ul>



Shoppers Stop (SHOP IN) is a leading retailer in India specializing in fashion and beauty brands with 12 department stores, 7 premium home stores, and 87 specialty beauty outlets,
SHOP has also launched its value retail format INTUNE in June 2023 generating excitement and interest around the same. 
It seems SHOP is trying to play all cards of the retail game, i.e., premium, beauty, and value fast fashion, but so far has shown no signs of success.


Narrative and Numbers | Shoppers Stop (SHOP IN) | FY24

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trent-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8410:1" rel="noopener">Trent Ltd (TRENT IN)</a> is a leading retail company in India known for its diverse range of fashion and lifestyle brands like Westside and Zudio. </li>
<li>With its own labels, operating efficiencies, and leverage at work, Trent has been able to expand its margins substantially. </li>
<li>We anticipate the strong operational performance to continue. We believe it will take a couple of years for peers to catch up to Trent's execution prowess.</li>
</ul>



Trent Ltd (TRENT IN) is a leading retail company in India known for its diverse range of fashion and lifestyle brands like Westside and Zudio. 
With its own labels, operating efficiencies, and leverage at work, Trent has been able to expand its margins substantially. 
We anticipate the strong operational performance to continue. We believe it will take a couple of years for peers to catch up to Trent's execution prowess.


Narrative and Numbers | Trent Ltd (TRENT IN) | FY24

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~11% YoY in Q1FY25</li><li>However, a few exceptional names drive up the average</li><li>In retail, ex-F&amp;G and value fashion, growth pencilled in is an anaemic 6% as footfalls/demand gets impacted due to (1) the heatwave and (2) fewer wedding days</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~11% YoY in Q1FY25However, a few exceptional names drive up the averageIn retail, ex-F&amp;G and value fashion, growth pencilled in is an anaemic 6% as footfalls/demand gets impacted due to (1) the heatwave and (2) fewer wedding daysContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Discretionary: Muted Demand, Value Plays Remain Outliers

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>The Finance Minister of India will present the full-year Union Budget for FY24-25 on 23rd July’24.</li><li>The impact of the Union Budget on the equity market has reduced notably over the past few years with the government undertaking most of the reforms outside the purview of the Budget.</li><li>As it is the first full-year budget after the formation of the NDA 3.0 government, market participants continue to view it as a critical catalyst stimulating the Indian economy’s growth and thereby the Indian market.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The Finance Minister of India will present the full-year Union Budget for FY24-25 on 23rd July’24.The impact of the Union Budget on the equity market has reduced notably over the past few years with the government undertaking most of the reforms outside the purview of the Budget.As it is the first full-year budget after the formation of the NDA 3.0 government, market participants continue to view it as a critical catalyst stimulating the Indian economy’s growth and thereby the Indian market.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Pre Union Budget Expectations 2024-25: Budget Likely to Strengthen the Narrative of “Viksit Bharat”

<ul><li>Shree Cement: We maintain our ADD rating on Shree Cement, with an unchanged SOTP target price of INR 28,700/share</li><li>Cement volume growth slowed to 8% YoY as it lost four days of sales due to software migration to SAP</li><li>Reported unit EBITDA (cement) remained flattish QoQ at INR 1346/MT as lower input costs and lower advertising expenses offset the impact of a 6% QoQ NSR decline (ex-power)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Shree Cement: We maintain our ADD rating on Shree Cement, with an unchanged SOTP target price of INR 28,700/shareCement volume growth slowed to 8% YoY as it lost four days of sales due to software migration to SAPReported unit EBITDA (cement) remained flattish QoQ at INR 1346/MT as lower input costs and lower advertising expenses offset the impact of a 6% QoQ NSR decline (ex-power)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Shree Cement, Oberoi Realty, Apollo Tyres, Radico Khaitan, NCC

India

V-Mart Retail Limited owns, operates, and franchises a chain of family lifestyle stores in India. The Company operates medium sized hypermarket format retail stores that sell clothes, accessories, and footwear for men, women, and kids; cosmetics, luggage, toys, and games; and food, non-food, and staple items.

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V-Mart Retail (VMART IN)

Narrative and Numbers | Shoppers Stop (SHOP IN) | FY24

Shoppers Stop in India expands with new value retail format INTUNE, but faces challenges in capturing success across premium, beauty, and fast...

Pranav Bhavsar

Narrative and Numbers | Trent Ltd (TRENT IN) | FY24

Trent Ltd in India stands out in retail with diverse brands like Westside and Zudio, showing strong margins and operational performance that peers...

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Discretionary: Muted Demand, Value Plays Remain Outliers

Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~11% YoY in Q1FY25. However, a few exceptional names drive up the average

HDFC Securities

Pre Union Budget Expectations 2024-25: Budget Likely to Strengthen the Narrative of “Viksit Bharat”

The impact of the Union Budget on the equity market has reduced notably over the past few years with the government undertaking most of the reforms...

Axis Direct

HSIE Results Daily: Shree Cement, Oberoi Realty, Apollo Tyres, Radico Khaitan, NCC

Reported unit EBITDA (cement) remained flattish QoQ at INR 1346/MT as lower input costs and lower advertising expenses offset the impact of a 6%...

HDFC Securities

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Narrative and Numbers | Shoppers Stop (SHOP IN) | FY24

​Shoppers Stop in India expands with new value retail format INTUNE, but faces challenges in capturing success across premium, beauty, and fast...

Pranav Bhavsar

Narrative and Numbers | Trent Ltd (TRENT IN) | FY24

​Trent Ltd in India stands out in retail with diverse brands like Westside and Zudio, showing strong margins and operational performance that peers...

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Discretionary: Muted Demand, Value Plays Remain Outliers

Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~11% YoY in Q1FY25. However, a few exceptional names drive up the average

HDFC Securities

Pre Union Budget Expectations 2024-25: Budget Likely to Strengthen the Narrative of “Viksit Bharat”

The impact of the Union Budget on the equity market has reduced notably over the past few years with the government undertaking most of the reforms...

Axis Direct

HSIE Results Daily: Shree Cement, Oberoi Realty, Apollo Tyres, Radico Khaitan, NCC

Reported unit EBITDA (cement) remained flattish QoQ at INR 1346/MT as lower input costs and lower advertising expenses offset the impact of a 6%...

HDFC Securities

Shoppers Stop in India expands with new value retail format INTUNE, but faces challenges in capturing success across premium, beauty, and fast...

Trent Ltd in India stands out in retail with diverse brands like Westside and Zudio, showing strong margins and operational performance that peers...