Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The trade remains Long Nifty with a watch on earnings. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/infosys-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:267:1" rel="noopener">Infosys Ltd (INFO IN)</a> reported a beat on revenues and a miss on EPS, heading into seasonally weak quarters is the pain now consensus? </li>
<li>Other names discussed include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4627:1" rel="noopener">Delta Corp Ltd (DELTA IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-asset-management-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27027:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Asset Management Co Ltd (HDFCAMC IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dmart" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23656:1" rel="noopener">Avenue Supermarts Ltd (DMART IN)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The trade remains Long Nifty with a watch on earnings. 

Infosys Ltd (INFO IN) reported a beat on revenues and a miss on EPS, heading into seasonally weak quarters is the pain now consensus? 
Other names discussed include Delta Corp Ltd (DELTA IN), HDFC Asset Management Co Ltd (HDFCAMC IN) and Avenue Supermarts Ltd (DMART IN). 


[Week 7] Namaste India 🙏 | Infosys Ltd (INFO IN) | Seasonal Sluggishness Now Consensus

<ul>
<li>The index seems to be finding support at 19,500 for the second consecutive week. Bullish momentum could resume when we close above 19,800 on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> .</li>
<li>Names discussed include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/titan-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12630:1" rel="noopener">Titan Co Ltd (TTAN IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maruti-suzuki-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:733:1" rel="noopener">Maruti Suzuki India (MSIL IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/metro-brands" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35289:1" rel="noopener">Metro Brands (METROBRA IN)</a>.  </li>
<li>We also introduce the Earnings Diary which will be part of the publication, tracking estimates and narratives around over coverage. </li>
</ul>


The index seems to be finding support at 19,500 for the second consecutive week. Bullish momentum could resume when we close above 19,800 on the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) .
Names discussed include Titan Co Ltd (TTAN IN), Maruti Suzuki India (MSIL IN) and Metro Brands (METROBRA IN).  
We also introduce the Earnings Diary which will be part of the publication, tracking estimates and narratives around over coverage. 


[Week 6] Namaste India 🙏 | TTAN's Glittery Update and Earnings Workbook

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Berger Paints: BRGR grew 9.8% growth YoY to INR30.3bn (broadly in-line HSIE: INR30bn)</li><li>Decorative business grew 11.4% (~14% volume growth)</li><li>Industrial businesses performed well, aided by improved realization</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Berger Paints: BRGR grew 9.8% growth YoY to INR30.3bn (broadly in-line HSIE: INR30bn)Decorative business grew 11.4% (~14% volume growth)Industrial businesses performed well, aided by improved realizationContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Berger Paints, Infoedge, Astral, Fsn E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa)

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Company revenue grew 15% YoY, while SSSG decreased 3% YoY.</li><li>Gross margins were 35.8% (down 152bps YoY), reflecting price cuts to attract value customers and a negative mix. EBITDA margins were 7.7% (down 736bps YoY), reflecting higher operating costs related to Lime Road and higher marketing spend in the online business.</li><li>Adj EBITDA margins were 13%. However, management remains cautiously optimistic about demand, seeing early signs of recovery in certain markets, although it expects full recovery only in the H2FY24</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Company revenue grew 15% YoY, while SSSG decreased 3% YoY.Gross margins were 35.8% (down 152bps YoY), reflecting price cuts to attract value customers and a negative mix. EBITDA margins were 7.7% (down 736bps YoY), reflecting higher operating costs related to Lime Road and higher marketing spend in the online business.Adj EBITDA margins were 13%. However, management remains cautiously optimistic about demand, seeing early signs of recovery in certain markets, although it expects full recovery only in the H2FY24Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

V-Mart Ltd -Demand To Recover Gradually; Maintain BUY

<ul><li>Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~15% YoY in Q1FY24</li><li>However, beneath the averages lies the rub</li><li>Excluding 3 companies the average drops to sub 10%</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~15% YoY in Q1FY24However, beneath the averages lies the rubExcluding 3 companies the average drops to sub 10%Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Discretionary: Beneath the averages lies the rub

India

V-Mart Retail Limited owns, operates, and franchises a chain of family lifestyle stores in India. The Company operates medium sized hypermarket format retail stores that sell clothes, accessories, and footwear for men, women, and kids; cosmetics, luggage, toys, and games; and food, non-food, and staple items.

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V-Mart Retail (VMART IN)

[Week 7] Namaste India 🙏 | Infosys Ltd (INFO IN) | Seasonal Sluggishness Now Consensus

The trade remains long Nifty. Names discussed include INFO, DMART, DELTACORP and HDFCAMC. The next two weeks are going to be busy as the full...

Pranav Bhavsar

[Week 6] Namaste India 🙏 | TTAN's Glittery Update and Earnings Workbook

Bullish momentum may resume if NIFTY Index closes above 19,800. Names discussed Titan Co Ltd, Maruti Suzuki India, and Metro Brands. Earnings...

Pranav Bhavsar

HSIE Results Daily: Berger Paints, Infoedge, Astral, Fsn E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa)

Berger Paints: BRGR grew 9.8% growth YoY to INR30.3bn (broadly in-line HSIE: INR30bn). Decorative business grew 11.4% (~14% volume growth)

HDFC Securities

V-Mart Ltd -Demand To Recover Gradually; Maintain BUY

Adj EBITDA margins were 13%. However, management remains cautiously optimistic about demand, seeing early signs of recovery in certain markets,...

Axis Direct

Consumer Discretionary: Beneath the averages lies the rub

Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~15% YoY in Q1FY24. However, beneath the averages lies the rub. Excluding 3 companies the average...

HDFC Securities

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Week 7] Namaste India 🙏 | Infosys Ltd (INFO IN) | Seasonal Sluggishness Now Consensus

The trade remains long Nifty. Names discussed include INFO, DMART, DELTACORP and HDFCAMC. The next two weeks are going to be busy as the full...

Pranav Bhavsar

[Week 6] Namaste India 🙏 | TTAN's Glittery Update and Earnings Workbook

​Bullish momentum may resume if NIFTY Index closes above 19,800. Names discussed Titan Co Ltd, Maruti Suzuki India, and Metro Brands. Earnings...

Pranav Bhavsar

HSIE Results Daily: Berger Paints, Infoedge, Astral, Fsn E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa)

Berger Paints: BRGR grew 9.8% growth YoY to INR30.3bn (broadly in-line HSIE: INR30bn). Decorative business grew 11.4% (~14% volume growth)

HDFC Securities

V-Mart Ltd -Demand To Recover Gradually; Maintain BUY

Adj EBITDA margins were 13%. However, management remains cautiously optimistic about demand, seeing early signs of recovery in certain markets,...

Axis Direct

Consumer Discretionary: Beneath the averages lies the rub

Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~15% YoY in Q1FY24. However, beneath the averages lies the rub. Excluding 3 companies the average...

HDFC Securities

Bullish momentum may resume if NIFTY Index closes above 19,800. Names discussed Titan Co Ltd, Maruti Suzuki India, and Metro Brands. Earnings...