Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

Asia and the BRIC segment continue to outperform the broad EM universe. Based on technical breakouts in each of their relative strength trends (vs. MSCI EM), we see these trends continuing well into 2018.  Elsewhere, Russia is on the cusp of a breakout. The Philippines is breaking out. And Korea, a market that broke out earlier this year from a 6-year base, is a buy on weakness.  Today’s report includes a complete summary of our EM views as well as a wide variety of bottom-up recommendations, spanning most sectors and all market capitalizations.

Asia and the BRIC segment continue to outperform the broad EM universe. Based on technical breakouts in each of their relative strength trends (vs. MSCI EM), we see these trends continuing well into 2018.  Elsewhere, Russia is on the cusp of a breakout. The Philippines is breaking out. And Korea, a market that broke out earlier this year from a 6-year base, is a buy on weakness.  Today’s report includes a complete summary of our EM views as well as a wide variety of bottom-up recommendations, spanning most sectors and all market capitalizations.

EM Outlook: Bullish, Led by BRIC and Asia

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX / Technical Analysis

Economic data finally confirms what the charts have been saying all year: global growth in the major regions is now in sync.  We see the bullish advance in equities continuing well into 2018, a continuation of a long-term trend. However, the Sectors that propel this trend may be different.In our December International Strategy, we explore these and the following themes in further detail: <ul><li>Overweight Japan. </li><li>Cyclicals continue to lead, defensive continues to lag. </li><li>Actionable Sector/Group themes:<ol><li>Global banks are breaking out/bullishly inflecting. </li><li>Energy is bottoming – still a non-consensus view. </li><li>Pullback opportunity in metals &amp; mining.</li></ol></li></ul>

Economic data finally confirms what the charts have been saying all year: global growth in the major regions is now in sync.  We see the bullish advance in equities continuing well into 2018, a continuation of a long-term trend. However, the Sectors that propel this trend may be different.In our December International Strategy, we explore these and the following themes in further detail: Overweight Japan. Cyclicals continue to lead, defensive continues to lag. Actionable Sector/Group themes:Global banks are breaking out/bullishly inflecting. Energy is bottoming – still a non-consensus view. Pullback opportunity in metals &amp; mining.

International Equity Strategy: Bullish Big Picture

Today’s report provides a top-down synopsis of the technical condition of emerging markets across the globe, and includes a wide variety of bottom-up recommendations, spanning most sectors and all market capitalizations.

Today’s report provides a top-down synopsis of the technical condition of emerging markets across the globe, and includes a wide variety of bottom-up recommendations, spanning most sectors and all market capitalizations.

Emerging Markets: Technical Strategy & Reccommendations

Global Head of Research, Smartkarma

Mark Artherton

Global Head of Research

LR Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<div class="content-highlight">1.  Catalonia's parliament voted for full independence - with the Spanish government about to apply Constitutional rule 155 and take over Catalonia's government and police force this declaration is no real surprise.  Catalonia cannot force through independence, therefore we just see uncertainty growing for the Spanish economy.  We are growing more and more concerned about certain governments in Europe and the EU's support.  There is a clear difference in the way the UK has dealt with the issue…</div>

1.  Catalonia's parliament voted for full independence - with the Spanish government about to apply Constitutional rule 155 and take over Catalonia's government and police force this declaration is no real surprise.  Catalonia cannot force through independence, therefore we just see uncertainty growing for the Spanish economy.  We are growing more and more concerned about certain governments in Europe and the EU's support.  There is a clear difference in the way the UK has dealt with the issue…

Global technicals remain on a bullish footing. There’s a lot to like across global markets, chart-wise, particularly the catering-sized amount of base patterns. These patterns, which act as foundations for rallies, are visible throughout developed and emerging markets, pointing to another leg higher and endorsing our positive outlook.In our October Strategy (See attached), we highlight actionable themes in EM, Energy, and materials.  The attached document also contains links to an in-depth analysis of each of our 12 sectors.

Global technicals remain on a bullish footing. There’s a lot to like across global markets, chart-wise, particularly the catering-sized amount of base patterns. These patterns, which act as foundations for rallies, are visible throughout developed and emerging markets, pointing to another leg higher and endorsing our positive outlook.In our October Strategy (See attached), we highlight actionable themes in EM, Energy, and materials.  The attached document also contains links to an in-depth analysis of each of our 12 sectors.

Global Equity Strategy: Overweight EM, Japan Breaking Out, Europe in Recovery

Brazil

Vale S.A. is a Brazilian multinational corporation primarily engaged in metals and mining, and one of the largest logistics operators in Brazil. It is a leading global producer of iron ore and nickel, also producing copper, manganese, ferroalloys, and other base metals. The company operates integrated logistics systems including railways, maritime terminals, and ports. Headquartered in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, the company was founded in 1942.

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Vale (VALE3 BR)

EM Outlook: Bullish, Led by BRIC and Asia

Asia and the BRIC segment continue to outperform the broad EM universe. Based on technical breakouts in each of their relative strength trends (vs....

Vermilion Research

International Equity Strategy: Bullish Big Picture

Economic data finally confirms what the charts have been saying all year: global growth in the major regions is now in sync. We see the bullish...

Vermilion Research

Emerging Markets: Technical Strategy & Reccommendations

Today’s report provides a top-down synopsis of the technical condition of emerging markets across the globe, and includes a wide variety of...

Vermilion Research

21 Things Worth Knowing Today (Issue 2)

1. Catalonia's parliament voted for full independence - with the Spanish government about to apply Constitutional rule 155 and take over...

Mark Artherton

Global Equity Strategy: Overweight EM, Japan Breaking Out, Europe in Recovery

Global technicals remain on a bullish footing. There’s a lot to like across global markets, chart-wise, particularly the catering-sized amount of...

Vermilion Research

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