External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Varun Beverages Limited (VBL) Q3CY22 result was robust and ahead of our and consensuses estimates.</li><li>The strong performance was led by a healthy revenue growth of ~32% YoY (~22% on a 3-Year CAGR), volume growth of 24% to 190 Mn cases, and realization growth of ~7% to Rs 167/case.</li><li>The management alluded to strong volume growth of 22% (India business) and 31% (international), coupled with strong growth in Sting led the overall topline growth.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Varun Beverages Limited (VBL) Q3CY22 result was robust and ahead of our and consensuses estimates.The strong performance was led by a healthy revenue growth of ~32% YoY (~22% on a 3-Year CAGR), volume growth of 24% to 190 Mn cases, and realization growth of ~7% to Rs 167/case.The management alluded to strong volume growth of 22% (India business) and 31% (international), coupled with strong growth in Sting led the overall topline growth.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Varun Beverages Ltd - Robust Performance; Beat in Expectations on All Fronts

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Axis Top Picks basket delivered an encouraging return of 3% in Oct’22, outperforming the benchmark Index NIFTY 50 over the last three and six-month periods.</li><li>Furthermore, the basket has delivered an impressive return of 150% since its inception (May'20), which stands significantly higher than the 94% returns delivered by NIFTY 50 over the same period.</li><li>In view of this robust performance, we continue to believe in our thematic approach in our Top Picks selections.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Axis Top Picks basket delivered an encouraging return of 3% in Oct’22, outperforming the benchmark Index NIFTY 50 over the last three and six-month periods.Furthermore, the basket has delivered an impressive return of 150% since its inception (May'20), which stands significantly higher than the 94% returns delivered by NIFTY 50 over the same period.In view of this robust performance, we continue to believe in our thematic approach in our Top Picks selections.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Top Picks -Earnings Commentary & The Direction of Dollar Index to Drive Market

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There was a lot of confusion around how NSE Indices would handle the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/housing-development-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:252:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Limited (HDFC IN)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN)</a> merger in its indices.</li>
<li>The market consultation seeks to change the index methodology to bring it in line with other index providers. That will result in much lower turnover than the existing index methodology.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pidilite-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20573:1" rel="noopener">Pidilite Industries (PIDI IN)</a> is a high probability add to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> possibly in the first quarter of 2023. There will also be changes to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index</a>.</li>
</ul>


There was a lot of confusion around how NSE Indices would handle the HDFC Limited (HDFC IN) / HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) merger in its indices.
The market consultation seeks to change the index methodology to bring it in line with other index providers. That will result in much lower turnover than the existing index methodology.

Pidilite Industries (PIDI IN) is a high probability add to the NIFTY Index possibly in the first quarter of 2023. There will also be changes to Nifty Next 50 Index.


NIFTY Indices: HDFC/HDFCB Merger Driven Market Consultation

<ul>
<li>The National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT) has ordered a meeting of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/housing-development-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:252:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Limited</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank</a> shareholders on 25 November to consider and approve the proposed Scheme of Amalgamation.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pidilite-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20573:1" rel="noopener">Pidilite Industries (PIDI IN)</a> is a high probability ad hoc inclusion to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-power-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15618:1" rel="noopener">Tata Power (TPWR IN)</a> a lower probability inclusion candidate.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:216:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-enterprises-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:245:1" rel="noopener">Adani Enterprises (ADE IN)</a> could be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">SENSEX INDEX</a> in December replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/housing-development-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:252:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Limited (HDFC IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dr-reddy-s-laboratories-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16406:1" rel="noopener">Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN)</a>.</li>
</ul>


The National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT) has ordered a meeting of HDFC Limited and HDFC Bank shareholders on 25 November to consider and approve the proposed Scheme of Amalgamation.

Pidilite Industries (PIDI IN) is a high probability ad hoc inclusion to the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) with Tata Power (TPWR IN) a lower probability inclusion candidate.

Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN) and Adani Enterprises (ADE IN) could be added to the SENSEX INDEX in December replacing HDFC Limited (HDFC IN) and Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN).


HDFC/HDFCB Merger in the Home Stretch: Potential Changes to NIFTY50, NIFTY100 & SENSEX Indices

<ul><li>Covid-19 Update: Moderation seen in the caseload across the world – The rise in Covid-19 cases across the world moderated in Sep’22 vis-à-vis previous months, providing much-needed relief from the anticipated COVID 4.0.</li><li>The large-scale vaccination drive undertaken by the Government of India picked up further pace in Sep’22 and crossed a remarkable milestone of 218 Cr (as of 28th Sep’22).</li><li>Average daily doses have moderated to 18.3 Lc/day in Sep’22 from 57 Lc/day in Nov’21 as COVID 3.0 retreated and the majority of the population is already vaccinated.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Covid-19 Update: Moderation seen in the caseload across the world – The rise in Covid-19 cases across the world moderated in Sep’22 vis-à-vis previous months, providing much-needed relief from the anticipated COVID 4.0.The large-scale vaccination drive undertaken by the Government of India picked up further pace in Sep’22 and crossed a remarkable milestone of 218 Cr (as of 28th Sep’22).Average daily doses have moderated to 18.3 Lc/day in Sep’22 from 57 Lc/day in Nov’21 as COVID 3.0 retreated and the majority of the population is already vaccinated.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Axis Multi-Asset Strategy - Stay Focused on Asset Allocation

India

Varun Beverages Limited produces and distributes beverages. The Company offers carbonated soft drinks and non-alcoholic beverages, as well as provides packaged drinking water. Varun Beverages serves customers worldwide.

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Varun Beverages (VBL IN)

Varun Beverages Ltd - Robust Performance; Beat in Expectations on All Fronts

The strong performance was led by a healthy revenue growth of ~32% YoY (~22% on a 3-Year CAGR), volume growth of 24% to 190 Mn cases, and...

Axis Direct

Top Picks -Earnings Commentary & The Direction of Dollar Index to Drive Market

Axis Top Picks - Nov 22Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed...

Axis Direct

NIFTY Indices: HDFC/HDFCB Merger Driven Market Consultation

NSE Indices' market consultation on merger/demerger treatment will significantly reduce index turnover. We expect the HDFC/HDFCB merger to complete...

Brian Freitas

HDFC/HDFCB Merger in the Home Stretch: Potential Changes to NIFTY50, NIFTY100 & SENSEX Indices

Approval of the scheme of amalgamation by HDFC & HDFCB shareholders on 25 Nov will trigger changes to the NIFTY and NIFTYJR in December. Sensex...

Brian Freitas

Axis Multi-Asset Strategy - Stay Focused on Asset Allocation

The rise in Covid-19 cases across the world moderated in Sep’22 vis-à-vis previous months, providing much-needed relief from the anticipated COVID...

Axis Direct

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