Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hindustan-zinc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8688:1" rel="noopener">Hindustan Zinc (HZ IN)</a> is set to see significant earnings upgrades driven surge in silver prices (40% EBITDA share), local currency weakness and benign costs.</li>
<li>Planning for major US$2-2.5b growth expenditure to double output over next 3=5 years.</li>
<li>Valuations: Entering a strong earnings upgrades cycle. Stock can re-rate despite trading at slight premium to historic averages. Stake sales by key holders is a risk.</li>
</ul>



Hindustan Zinc (HZ IN) is set to see significant earnings upgrades driven surge in silver prices (40% EBITDA share), local currency weakness and benign costs.
Planning for major US$2-2.5b growth expenditure to double output over next 3=5 years.
Valuations: Entering a strong earnings upgrades cycle. Stock can re-rate despite trading at slight premium to historic averages. Stake sales by key holders is a risk.


Hindustan Zinc (HZ IN) Silver Rally Is a Sweetener

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-of-baroda" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:545:1" rel="noopener">Bank Of Baroda (BOB IN)</a> is looking to raise about INR 85bn (US$980m) in its upcoming qualified institutional placement (QIP).</li>
<li>In an announcement released on Feb 13, 2025, BOB mentioned its board’s approval to raise upto INR85bn via various modes including a QIP. Since then, the shares have corrected 1.2%.</li>
<li>The deal would be a relatively large one to digest at 39 days of three month ADV. The company’s last fundraise did not do well.</li>
</ul>



Bank Of Baroda (BOB IN) is looking to raise about INR 85bn (US$980m) in its upcoming qualified institutional placement (QIP).
In an announcement released on Feb 13, 2025, BOB mentioned its board’s approval to raise upto INR85bn via various modes including a QIP. Since then, the shares have corrected 1.2%.
The deal would be a relatively large one to digest at 39 days of three month ADV. The company’s last fundraise did not do well.


Bank of Baroda QIP Early Look - Well Flagged but Last Deal Did Not Do Well

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd (VEDL IN)</a> plans a multi-segment demerger to unlock value by separating its aluminum, zinc, oil and gas, steel, and other core operations into standalone entities.</li>
<li>This restructuring aims to eliminate conglomerate discount, foster specialized leadership, and attract fresh capital, potentially enhancing overall valuations and fueling long-term growth across diversified segments.</li>
<li>Despite governance concerns and cyclical commodity risks, pure-play listings could catalyze re-ratings, offering heightened returns but requiring vigilance on execution and corporate transparency.</li>
</ul>



Vedanta Ltd (VEDL IN) plans a multi-segment demerger to unlock value by separating its aluminum, zinc, oil and gas, steel, and other core operations into standalone entities.
This restructuring aims to eliminate conglomerate discount, foster specialized leadership, and attract fresh capital, potentially enhancing overall valuations and fueling long-term growth across diversified segments.
Despite governance concerns and cyclical commodity risks, pure-play listings could catalyze re-ratings, offering heightened returns but requiring vigilance on execution and corporate transparency.


Event Driven: Vedanta Ltd: A Story of Wealth Creation Through Demerger

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Following the introduction of 45 stocks in the F&amp;O segment from 29 November, there will be big capping changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a> in December.</li>
<li>We estimate one-way turnover of 21.9% leading to a one-way trade of INR 75bn (US$881m). There are 25 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>There could be changes to the index methodology announced in the next few months and that could result in the deletion of a couple of constituents in March.</li>
</ul>


Following the introduction of 45 stocks in the F&amp;O segment from 29 November, there will be big capping changes for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) in December.
We estimate one-way turnover of 21.9% leading to a one-way trade of INR 75bn (US$881m). There are 25 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.
There could be changes to the index methodology announced in the next few months and that could result in the deletion of a couple of constituents in March.


Nifty Next50 Index Rebalance Preview: Big Capping Flows in December; Methodology Change Coming?

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPOs front, Indian deals flow seemed to be the only one continuing unbated despite the US elections overhang from the past week. </li>
<li>On the placements front, there weren't many large deals but we did look at upcoming lockup expiries.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPOs front, Indian deals flow seemed to be the only one continuing unbated despite the US elections overhang from the past week. 
On the placements front, there weren't many large deals but we did look at upcoming lockup expiries.


ECM Weekly (11th Nov 2024)-SF Holdings, Swiggy, ACME, NivaBupa, Sagility, Eternal Beauty, Shuangdeng

India

Vedanta Limited mines, produces, and exports base metals. The Company mines and distributes metals such as zinc, iron ore, copper, silver, and aluminium, as well as operates power plants. Vedanta markets its products worldwide.

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Vedanta Ltd (VEDL IN)

Hindustan Zinc (HZ IN) Silver Rally Is a Sweetener

Hindustan Zinc poised for earnings upgrades with silver price surge, growth plans, and potential stock re-rating despite valuation concerns. Stake...

Rahul Jain

Bank of Baroda QIP Early Look - Well Flagged but Last Deal Did Not Do Well

Bank of Baroda (BOB IN) is looking to raise upto INR85bn (US$980m) in its upcoming QIP. In Feb 2025's filing, it mentioned its board’s approval to...

Akshat Shah

Event Driven: Vedanta Ltd: A Story of Wealth Creation Through Demerger

Vedanta Ltd plans multi-segment demerger to unlock value by separating core operations into standalone entities, aiming to eliminate conglomerate...

Nimish Maheshwari

Nifty Next50 Index Rebalance Preview: Big Capping Flows in December; Methodology Change Coming?

The introduction of new F&O contracts will result in an estimated 21.9% turnover and a one-way trade of INR 75bn (US$881m) for the Nifty Next50...

Brian Freitas

ECM Weekly (11th Nov 2024)-SF Holdings, Swiggy, ACME, NivaBupa, Sagility, Eternal Beauty, Shuangdeng

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Hindustan Zinc (HZ IN) Silver Rally Is a Sweetener

​Hindustan Zinc poised for earnings upgrades with silver price surge, growth plans, and potential stock re-rating despite valuation concerns. Stake...

Rahul Jain

Bank of Baroda QIP Early Look - Well Flagged but Last Deal Did Not Do Well

Bank of Baroda (BOB IN) is looking to raise upto INR85bn (US$980m) in its upcoming QIP. In Feb 2025's filing, it mentioned its board’s approval to...

Akshat Shah

Event Driven: Vedanta Ltd: A Story of Wealth Creation Through Demerger

​Vedanta Ltd plans multi-segment demerger to unlock value by separating core operations into standalone entities, aiming to eliminate conglomerate...

Nimish Maheshwari

Nifty Next50 Index Rebalance Preview: Big Capping Flows in December; Methodology Change Coming?

The introduction of new F&O contracts will result in an estimated 21.9% turnover and a one-way trade of INR 75bn (US$881m) for the Nifty Next50...

Brian Freitas

ECM Weekly (11th Nov 2024)-SF Holdings, Swiggy, ACME, NivaBupa, Sagility, Eternal Beauty, Shuangdeng

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Hindustan Zinc poised for earnings upgrades with silver price surge, growth plans, and potential stock re-rating despite valuation concerns. Stake...

Vedanta Ltd plans multi-segment demerger to unlock value by separating core operations into standalone entities, aiming to eliminate conglomerate...