Financial News, Analysis and Data, FNArena

FNArena

Financial News, Analysis and Data

Online financial media company focused on Australian equities, with a global perspective

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Update on changes to and revisions of analysts' Best Ideas and Conviction Calls, as well as Model Portfolio compositions</li></ul>

Update on changes to and revisions of analysts' Best Ideas and Conviction Calls, as well as Model Portfolio compositions

NEXTDC Ltd - Rudi's View: Aussie Broadband, oOh!media, Paladin Energy, Seek, Xero & More

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the September 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect one change for ASX 50, three changes for ASX 100, and four changes for ASX 200. Separately we see 9 ADDs and 7 DELs for ASX 300.</li>
<li>The official index changes will be announced after the close on Friday 5th September 2025.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the September 2025 index rebal event.
We expect one change for ASX 50, three changes for ASX 100, and four changes for ASX 200. Separately we see 9 ADDs and 7 DELs for ASX 300.
The official index changes will be announced after the close on Friday 5th September 2025.


Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Sep25: Spartan-Ramelius Deal Consequences + Many High-Impact Index Changes

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>With the review period nearly complete, there could be one change for the S&amp;P/ASX 50 Index and one change for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> in December.</li>
<li>Both deletes are also deletions from a global index next week and there could be short-term buying/covering opportunities on a drop in the stock price.</li>
<li>There has been a buildup of cumulative excess volume in all stocks over the last few months. There has been no increase in positioning in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/car-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:701:1" rel="noopener">CAR Group (CAR AU)</a> recently.</li>
</ul>


With the review period nearly complete, there could be one change for the S&amp;P/ASX 50 Index and one change for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) in December.
Both deletes are also deletions from a global index next week and there could be short-term buying/covering opportunities on a drop in the stock price.
There has been a buildup of cumulative excess volume in all stocks over the last few months. There has been no increase in positioning in CAR Group (CAR AU) recently.


S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Dec 2024): Dexus and Spark NZ with Double Deletions

<ul>
<li>With three quarters of the review period complete, there could be one change for the S&amp;P/ASX 50 Index and two changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> in December. </li>
<li>There are two stocks that could be deleted from global indexes in November and that could keep those names under pressure for the next few weeks.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to buy between 4-5x ADV in the forecast adds and sell between 2-8x ADV in the forecast deletes. Shorts have been building up in some names.</li>
</ul>


With three quarters of the review period complete, there could be one change for the S&amp;P/ASX 50 Index and two changes for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) in December. 
There are two stocks that could be deleted from global indexes in November and that could keep those names under pressure for the next few weeks.
Passive trackers will need to buy between 4-5x ADV in the forecast adds and sell between 2-8x ADV in the forecast deletes. Shorts have been building up in some names.


S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Dec 2024): Big Impact as Shorts Ramp Up

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Following its acquisition by Nationwide, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/virgin-money-uk-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22918:1" rel="noopener">Virgin Money UK Plc (VUK AU)</a> is scheduled to stop trading on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asx-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:552:1" rel="noopener">ASX Ltd (ASX AU)</a> after market close on 25 September.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/virgin-money-uk-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22918:1" rel="noopener">Virgin Money UK Plc (VUK AU)</a> is a member of the S&amp;P/ASX100 Index and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> and there will be adhoc inclusions at the close on 25 September.</li>
<li>There are a couple of stocks vying for inclusion in each index and the next couple of days will determine which ones make it.</li>
</ul>


Following its acquisition by Nationwide, Virgin Money UK Plc (VUK AU) is scheduled to stop trading on the ASX Ltd (ASX AU) after market close on 25 September.

Virgin Money UK Plc (VUK AU) is a member of the S&amp;P/ASX100 Index and S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) and there will be adhoc inclusions at the close on 25 September.
There are a couple of stocks vying for inclusion in each index and the next couple of days will determine which ones make it.


ASX100/ASX200 Index: Replacement Candidates for Virgin Money (VUK AU)

Australia

Ventia Services Group Pty Limited provides infrastructure services. The Company offers asset management, capital works, operations and maintenance, network design, architecture, facility management, and environmental services. Ventia Services Group serves customers in Australia and New Zealand.

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Ventia (VNT AU)

NEXTDC Ltd - Rudi's View: Aussie Broadband, oOh!media, Paladin Energy, Seek, Xero & More

Update on changes to and revisions of analysts' Best Ideas and Conviction Calls, as well as Model Portfolio compositions

FNArena

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Sep25: Spartan-Ramelius Deal Consequences + Many High-Impact Index Changes

The expected ADDs have strong positive momentum against the expected DELs. Since most names have decent flow impact, the outperformance could...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Dec 2024): Dexus and Spark NZ with Double Deletions

CAR Group could replace Dexus in the ASX50, and Clarity Pharma could replace Spark NZ in the ASX200. Dexus and Spark NZ are also deletes from a...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Dec 2024): Big Impact as Shorts Ramp Up

There could be 1 change for the ASX50 and 2 changes for the ASX200 in Dec. Couple of ASX deletes could also be deleted from a global index in...

Brian Freitas

ASX100/ASX200 Index: Replacement Candidates for Virgin Money (VUK AU)

Codan will be added to the ASX200 at the close tomorrow and the stock has continued to move higher. Light & Wonder (LNW) is down 15% today after...

Brian Freitas

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