HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Capital Markets

Luxshare Precision Industry / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>We consider <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/luxshare-precision-industry-co-ltd-3f59eaa1-da7f-4d9b-add0-c8efccfee0d5" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:50296:1" rel="noopener">Luxshare Precision Industry (2475 HK)</a>'s H-share IPO not expensive, especially given its gigantic market capitalisation which will attract interests. </li>
<li>Its 3-year EPS CAGR is forecast at 19.2%, and its position as a local and global leader in precision intelligent manufacturing solutions justify a premium to peers. </li>
<li>The IPO price is set at 17.6% discount to the A-share. It can at least trade on 10% discount, translating into a price of HK$69.12, or 9.2% upside.</li>
</ul>


We consider Luxshare Precision Industry (2475 HK)'s H-share IPO not expensive, especially given its gigantic market capitalisation which will attract interests. 
Its 3-year EPS CAGR is forecast at 19.2%, and its position as a local and global leader in precision intelligent manufacturing solutions justify a premium to peers. 
The IPO price is set at 17.6% discount to the A-share. It can at least trade on 10% discount, translating into a price of HK$69.12, or 9.2% upside.


Luxshare Precision (2475 HK) IPO: We See Some Potential Upside

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Luxshare Precision Industry / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/luxshare-precision-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12310:1" rel="noopener">Luxshare Precision Industry (002475 CH)</a> could raise up to HK$27.9bn (US$3.6bn) in its H-share offering if the Overallotment Option is exercised.</li>
<li>The cornerstone investor allocation will be around 42% of the maximum offering size and those shares will be locked up for 6 months. Fast entry index inclusion probability is small.</li>
<li>The H-shares are priced at a 17.2% discount to the A-shares last close and that is tighter than other large issues. Stock Connect from the open on 6 August.</li>
</ul>



Luxshare Precision Industry (002475 CH) could raise up to HK$27.9bn (US$3.6bn) in its H-share offering if the Overallotment Option is exercised.
The cornerstone investor allocation will be around 42% of the maximum offering size and those shares will be locked up for 6 months. Fast entry index inclusion probability is small.
The H-shares are priced at a 17.2% discount to the A-shares last close and that is tighter than other large issues. Stock Connect from the open on 6 August.


Luxshare Precision (2475 HK): Index Inclusion Timeline for US$3.6bn Offering; Tighter H/A Discount

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Chaozhou Three-Circle / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Three-Circle, an advanced electronic ceramics manufacturer, launched its IPO to raise USD 920m through an A+H listing. China Galaxy International is the sole sponsor.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the deal terms and provide our thoughts on valuation for the company.</li>
<li>We analyze reference A+H transactions, cornerstone and sponsor performance and assess the risk-reward of the deal.</li>
</ul>


Three-Circle, an advanced electronic ceramics manufacturer, launched its IPO to raise USD 920m through an A+H listing. China Galaxy International is the sole sponsor.
In this note, we look at the deal terms and provide our thoughts on valuation for the company.
We analyze reference A+H transactions, cornerstone and sponsor performance and assess the risk-reward of the deal.


Three-Circle (三环集团) A+H IPO: Analysis of Deal Terms

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Guangdong Dtech Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guangdong-dtech-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:50210:1" rel="noopener">Guangdong Dtech Technology</a> (Dtech) aims to raise around US$612m in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>Dtech is an integrated provider of precision manufacturing solutions for key process segments of the global printed circuit board (PCB) fabrication value chain.</li>
<li>We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the IPO pricing.</li>
</ul>



Guangdong Dtech Technology (Dtech) aims to raise around US$612m in its H-share listing.
Dtech is an integrated provider of precision manufacturing solutions for key process segments of the global printed circuit board (PCB) fabrication value chain.
We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the IPO pricing.


Aequitas: Guangdong Dtech Technology A/H Listing - Expensive but Similar Listings Have Done Well

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/luxshare-precision-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12310:1" rel="noopener">Luxshare Precision Industry (002475 CH)</a> (LP), a precision intelligent manufacturer, aims to raise around US$3.1bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>LP provides cross-sector, vertically integrated development and intelligent manufacturing solutions—from components and modules to systems—for global clients across consumer electronics, automotive electronics, communication and data centers, and other end markets.</li>
<li>We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the IPO pricing.</li>
</ul>



Luxshare Precision Industry (002475 CH) (LP), a precision intelligent manufacturer, aims to raise around US$3.1bn in its H-share listing.
LP provides cross-sector, vertically integrated development and intelligent manufacturing solutions—from components and modules to systems—for global clients across consumer electronics, automotive electronics, communication and data centers, and other end markets.
We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the IPO pricing.


Aequitas: Luxshare Precision A/H Listing - Strong Cornerstone, Tight Pricing

China

Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co., Ltd. specializes in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of high-precision printed circuit boards (PCBs), including multilayer, HDI, FPC, and rigid-flex PCBs. Its products are widely used in artificial intelligence, high-performance computing, smart devices, automotive electronics, network telecommunication, and medical equipment. The company is headquartered in Huizhou, Guangdong, China, and was founded in 2006.

Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) (2476 HK)

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Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) (2476 HK)

Luxshare Precision (2475 HK) IPO: We See Some Potential Upside

Luxshare Precision Industry's H-share IPO is attractively priced with strong growth potential and a discount to A-share, offering upside potential.

Osbert Tang, CFA

Luxshare Precision (2475 HK): Index Inclusion Timeline for US$3.6bn Offering; Tighter H/A Discount

Luxshare's H-share offering is a 22.2% discount to the A-shares last close and the company could raise US$3.6bn if the overallotment option is...

Brian Freitas

Three-Circle (三环集团) A+H IPO: Analysis of Deal Terms

We analyze Three-Circle's USD 920m Hong Kong IPO. We look at deal terms, track records of cornerstone investors and sponsors, as well as its...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Aequitas: Guangdong Dtech Technology A/H Listing - Expensive but Similar Listings Have Done Well

Guangdong Dtech Technology (Dtech) aims to raise around US$612m in its H-share listing. In this note, we talk about the H-share pricing.

Sumeet Singh

Aequitas: Luxshare Precision A/H Listing - Strong Cornerstone, Tight Pricing

Luxshare Precision Industry (002475 CH) (LP), a precision intelligent manufacturer, aims to raise around US$3.1bn in its H-share listing. In this...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Luxshare Precision (2475 HK) IPO: We See Some Potential Upside

​Luxshare Precision Industry's H-share IPO is attractively priced with strong growth potential and a discount to A-share, offering upside potential.

Osbert Tang, CFA

Luxshare Precision (2475 HK): Index Inclusion Timeline for US$3.6bn Offering; Tighter H/A Discount

Luxshare's H-share offering is a 22.2% discount to the A-shares last close and the company could raise US$3.6bn if the overallotment option is...

Brian Freitas

Three-Circle (三环集团) A+H IPO: Analysis of Deal Terms

We analyze Three-Circle's USD 920m Hong Kong IPO. We look at deal terms, track records of cornerstone investors and sponsors, as well as its...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Aequitas: Guangdong Dtech Technology A/H Listing - Expensive but Similar Listings Have Done Well

Guangdong Dtech Technology (Dtech) aims to raise around US$612m in its H-share listing. In this note, we talk about the H-share pricing.

Sumeet Singh

Aequitas: Luxshare Precision A/H Listing - Strong Cornerstone, Tight Pricing

Luxshare Precision Industry (002475 CH) (LP), a precision intelligent manufacturer, aims to raise around US$3.1bn in its H-share listing. In this...

Sumeet Singh

Luxshare Precision Industry's H-share IPO is attractively priced with strong growth potential and a discount to A-share, offering upside potential.