Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The September 2026 HSCI review adds 53 names to southbound Connect, 49 new and 4 returning, and removes 15, all effective 7 Sep 2026.</li>
<li>The announced list ran wider than our forecast. 33 of our 36 ADD calls and 14 of 25 DELETE calls were announced.</li>
<li>Current ADDs rose into the announcement and DELETEs fell. Historically, ADD-NEWs outperformed ADD-REJOINs over the bridge, while DELETEs fell further after announcement.</li>
</ul>


The September 2026 HSCI review adds 53 names to southbound Connect, 49 new and 4 returning, and removes 15, all effective 7 Sep 2026.
The announced list ran wider than our forecast. 33 of our 36 ADD calls and 14 of 25 DELETE calls were announced.
Current ADDs rose into the announcement and DELETEs fell. Historically, ADD-NEWs outperformed ADD-REJOINs over the bridge, while DELETEs fell further after announcement.


HSCI / HK Connect Sep 2026 Rebalance: Post-Announcement Positioning

<ul>
<li>We screen our HSCI September 2026 review candidates for southbound Connect action, with 36 Connect ADDs and 25 DELETEs.</li>
<li>ADD candidates split into 31 ADD-NEW and 5 ADD-REJOIN, with one WVR name deferred and seven A+H names already in Connect.</li>
<li>DELETE candidates are 23 MV cases and 2 velocity cases, after one A+H name is exempt from Connect deletion.</li>
</ul>


We screen our HSCI September 2026 review candidates for southbound Connect action, with 36 Connect ADDs and 25 DELETEs.
ADD candidates split into 31 ADD-NEW and 5 ADD-REJOIN, with one WVR name deferred and seven A+H names already in Connect.
DELETE candidates are 23 MV cases and 2 velocity cases, after one A+H name is exempt from Connect deletion.


HSCI / HK Connect Sep 2026 Inclusion Forecast and Positioning

<ul>
<li>We screen HK stocks ahead of the HSCI September 2026 half-yearly review, with 44 ADD candidates and 26 DELETE candidates.</li>
<li>ADD candidates are mostly new listings and prior constituents, including seven A+H names already in Connect.</li>
<li>DELETE candidates include 21 MV DELETEs, three retention-line borderline names, and two velocity cases.</li>
</ul>


We screen HK stocks ahead of the HSCI September 2026 half-yearly review, with 44 ADD candidates and 26 DELETE candidates.
ADD candidates are mostly new listings and prior constituents, including seven A+H names already in Connect.
DELETE candidates include 21 MV DELETEs, three retention-line borderline names, and two velocity cases.


HSCI / HK Connect Sep 2026 Rebalance Forecast

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) / Index Rebalance

Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) (2476 HK)

<ul>
<li>There could be 55 potential inclusions and 14 potential deletions for the Hang Seng Composite Index in September. There are more stocks that are close on market cap/liquidity.</li>
<li>A lot of the potential adds are very recently listed stocks that have a limited trading history. The low free float could lead to price spikes in the stocks.</li>
<li>There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.</li>
</ul>


There could be 55 potential inclusions and 14 potential deletions for the Hang Seng Composite Index in September. There are more stocks that are close on market cap/liquidity.
A lot of the potential adds are very recently listed stocks that have a limited trading history. The low free float could lead to price spikes in the stocks.
There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect (Sep 2026): Adds Outnumber Deletes as IPOs Dominate

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Capital Markets

Crealights Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crealights-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:49401:1" rel="noopener">Crealights Technology (1191 HK)</a>, an optoelectronic interconnection product provider, targets to raise HK$1.4bn from IPO. Its growth is solid, as revenue surged 6x in FY23-25.  </li>
<li>For the next three years, it will ride on AI spending, with revenue growing by a CAGR of 44.3%. However, heavy investments will sustain its losses.</li>
<li>At 4.5x FY26 P/S, the IPO is inexpensive relative to peers. It justifies a 20% discount to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cig-shanghai-co-ltd-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46336:1" rel="noopener">CIG Shanghai (6166 HK)</a>, or 5.1x P/S, implying at least 15% upside. </li>
</ul>



Crealights Technology (1191 HK), an optoelectronic interconnection product provider, targets to raise HK$1.4bn from IPO. Its growth is solid, as revenue surged 6x in FY23-25.  
For the next three years, it will ride on AI spending, with revenue growing by a CAGR of 44.3%. However, heavy investments will sustain its losses.
At 4.5x FY26 P/S, the IPO is inexpensive relative to peers. It justifies a 20% discount to CIG Shanghai (6166 HK), or 5.1x P/S, implying at least 15% upside. 


Crealights Technology (1191 HK) IPO: Lighting Up

China

VIEWTRIX Technology Co., Ltd conducts as a display technology service provider. The Company develops, manufactures, and distributes display driver chips, display circuit board cards, and more. VIEWTRIX Technology manages businesses in China.

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Viewtrix Technology (3310 HK)

HSCI / HK Connect Sep 2026 Rebalance: Post-Announcement Positioning

HSIL announced the September review result on 21 Aug 2026 after market close. We forecast 53 southbound Connect ADDs and 15 DELETEs. We review the...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCI / HK Connect Sep 2026 Inclusion Forecast and Positioning

We expect 36 southbound Connect ADDs, 31 new and 5 returning, and 25 DELETEs from the current Connect list at the HSCI September review, effective...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCI / HK Connect Sep 2026 Rebalance Forecast

We forecast 44 ADD candidates and 26 DELETE candidates for the HSCI September review, with the announcement expected on 21 Aug 2026.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect (Sep 2026): Adds Outnumber Deletes as IPOs Dominate

There could be 80 changes for the HSCI in March. That could result in 70 changes to the Southbound Stock Connect list and also have implications...

Brian Freitas

Crealights Technology (1191 HK) IPO: Lighting Up

Crealights aims to raise HK$1.4bn from IPO, showing strong growth potential. Despite losses forecast for the next 3 years, it is priced at 4.5x...

Osbert Tang, CFA

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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HSCI / HK Connect Sep 2026 Rebalance: Post-Announcement Positioning

HSIL announced the September review result on 21 Aug 2026 after market close. We forecast 53 southbound Connect ADDs and 15 DELETEs. We review the...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCI / HK Connect Sep 2026 Inclusion Forecast and Positioning

We expect 36 southbound Connect ADDs, 31 new and 5 returning, and 25 DELETEs from the current Connect list at the HSCI September review, effective...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCI / HK Connect Sep 2026 Rebalance Forecast

We forecast 44 ADD candidates and 26 DELETE candidates for the HSCI September review, with the announcement expected on 21 Aug 2026.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect (Sep 2026): Adds Outnumber Deletes as IPOs Dominate

There could be 80 changes for the HSCI in March. That could result in 70 changes to the Southbound Stock Connect list and also have implications...

Brian Freitas

Crealights Technology (1191 HK) IPO: Lighting Up

​Crealights aims to raise HK$1.4bn from IPO, showing strong growth potential. Despite losses forecast for the next 3 years, it is priced at 4.5x...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Crealights aims to raise HK$1.4bn from IPO, showing strong growth potential. Despite losses forecast for the next 3 years, it is priced at 4.5x...