Senior Credit Analyst - Emerging Markets, EM Spreads

Leandro Gubler

Senior Credit Analyst - Emerging Markets

EM Spreads

Credit

<ul>
<li>U.S. Tariff Escalation: Credit Implications for Brazilian Companies in Our Coverage / MercadoLibre Achieves Full Investment Grade Status with S&amp;P Upgrade / Pemex Eyes US$8bn from Mixed Contracts</li>
<li>Initiating Coverage on Gerdau: IG Credit with US Exposure, Limited Spread Upside / Fitch Affirms Gerdau at BBB with Stable Outlook on Strong Fundamentals</li>
<li>Vista 2Q25: Results Reinforce Overweight, But Cash Burn and Liquidity Weaken Buffer / US Reinforces Argentina’s Appeal in YPF Expropriation Case</li>
</ul>


U.S. Tariff Escalation: Credit Implications for Brazilian Companies in Our Coverage / MercadoLibre Achieves Full Investment Grade Status with S&amp;P Upgrade / Pemex Eyes US$8bn from Mixed Contracts
Initiating Coverage on Gerdau: IG Credit with US Exposure, Limited Spread Upside / Fitch Affirms Gerdau at BBB with Stable Outlook on Strong Fundamentals
Vista 2Q25: Results Reinforce Overweight, But Cash Burn and Liquidity Weaken Buffer / US Reinforces Argentina’s Appeal in YPF Expropriation Case


<ul>
<li>Suzano to Acquire 51% of Kimberly-Clark’s International Tissue Business for $1.73bn </li>
<li>Vista Priced US$500mn 2033 Unsecured Notes at Par to Yield 8.5% (IPT: mid-8%) / Cemex Launches US$1bn Perpetual NC5 Notes to Yield 7.2% (IPT: 7.625%)</li>
<li>Telecom 1Q25: Margin Gains Support Credit, But Telefónica Deal Still Central / Telecom Prices US$800 Million Unsecured Bond Due 2033 at 9.5% Yield</li>
</ul>


Suzano to Acquire 51% of Kimberly-Clark’s International Tissue Business for $1.73bn 
Vista Priced US$500mn 2033 Unsecured Notes at Par to Yield 8.5% (IPT: mid-8%) / Cemex Launches US$1bn Perpetual NC5 Notes to Yield 7.2% (IPT: 7.625%)
Telecom 1Q25: Margin Gains Support Credit, But Telefónica Deal Still Central / Telecom Prices US$800 Million Unsecured Bond Due 2033 at 9.5% Yield


<ul>
<li>Argentina’s Economy Grows Above Expectations in February / Vista 1Q25: Strategic Petronas Acquisition Strengthens Credit and Growth Outlook</li>
<li>Fitch Affirms Cemex at 'BBB-'; Stable Outlook Reflects Resilient Credit Profile</li>
<li>Pemex Rig Suspensions Highlight Ongoing Operational and Financial Risks / MercadoLibre CEO Sees U.S.-China Trade War as Major Opportunity</li>
</ul>


Argentina’s Economy Grows Above Expectations in February / Vista 1Q25: Strategic Petronas Acquisition Strengthens Credit and Growth Outlook
Fitch Affirms Cemex at 'BBB-'; Stable Outlook Reflects Resilient Credit Profile
Pemex Rig Suspensions Highlight Ongoing Operational and Financial Risks / MercadoLibre CEO Sees U.S.-China Trade War as Major Opportunity


<ul>
<li>Vista Energy - Mercado Libre - Telecom Argentina - Suzano - Cemex</li>
<li>The LatAm Aggregate Index expanded by 14 bps to 331 bps in the week ending Friday, February 28, 2025. </li>
<li>U.S. Treasuries saw significant declines. The 10-year yield fell 22 bps to 4.21%, while the 5-year yield declined 25 bps to 4.02%.</li>
</ul>


Vista Energy - Mercado Libre - Telecom Argentina - Suzano - Cemex
The LatAm Aggregate Index expanded by 14 bps to 331 bps in the week ending Friday, February 28, 2025. 
U.S. Treasuries saw significant declines. The 10-year yield fell 22 bps to 4.21%, while the 5-year yield declined 25 bps to 4.02%.


<ul>
<li>Despite a temporary increase in operating costs, Vista Energy’s solid credit metrics, expanding production, and new pipeline capacity reinforce growth potential</li>
<li>We maintain our Outperform recommendation on Vista Energy. We view Vista as an attractive option for investors seeking exposure to Argentina's energy sector.</li>
<li>From a credit perspective. The results reflected a higher debt balance, primarily driven by the $600 million issuance in December.</li>
</ul>


Despite a temporary increase in operating costs, Vista Energy’s solid credit metrics, expanding production, and new pipeline capacity reinforce growth potential
We maintain our Outperform recommendation on Vista Energy. We view Vista as an attractive option for investors seeking exposure to Argentina's energy sector.
From a credit perspective. The results reflected a higher debt balance, primarily driven by the $600 million issuance in December.


Vista Energy 4Q24: Solid Expectations Despite Short-Term Cost Headwinds

Mexico

Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. operates as an oil and gas company. The Company invests in oil and gas exploration and production activities. Vista Energy serves customers in Latin America.

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Vista Energy SAB de CV (VIST US)

EM Spreads - Weekly News & Views

US tariffs impact Brazilian companies, MercadoLibre achieves investment grade, Pemex eyes $8bn, Gerdau coverage initiated, Vista 2Q25 results, US...

Leandro Gubler

EM Spreads - Weekly News & Views

Suzano acquires majority stake in Kimberly-Clark's international tissue business for $1.73bn, while Telecom sees margin gains in 1Q25 but still...

Leandro Gubler

EM Spreads - Weekly News & Views

Argentina's economy grows above expectations in February, Fitch affirms Cemex's credit rating, Pemex rig suspensions highlight risks, MercadoLibre...

Leandro Gubler

Weekly News & Views - Feb 28, 2025

The LatAm Aggregate Index expanded by 14 bps to 331 bps in the week ending Friday, February 28, 2025. Meanwhile, the broader Emerging Market Index...

Leandro Gubler

Vista Energy 4Q24: Solid Expectations Despite Short-Term Cost Headwinds

Vista Energy shows growth potential despite temporary increase in operating costs, making it an attractive option for investors seeking exposure...

Leandro Gubler

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

EM Spreads - Weekly News & Views

​US tariffs impact Brazilian companies, MercadoLibre achieves investment grade, Pemex eyes $8bn, Gerdau coverage initiated, Vista 2Q25 results, US...

Leandro Gubler

EM Spreads - Weekly News & Views

​Suzano acquires majority stake in Kimberly-Clark's international tissue business for $1.73bn, while Telecom sees margin gains in 1Q25 but still...

Leandro Gubler

EM Spreads - Weekly News & Views

​Argentina's economy grows above expectations in February, Fitch affirms Cemex's credit rating, Pemex rig suspensions highlight risks, MercadoLibre...

Leandro Gubler

Weekly News & Views - Feb 28, 2025

The LatAm Aggregate Index expanded by 14 bps to 331 bps in the week ending Friday, February 28, 2025. Meanwhile, the broader Emerging Market Index...

Leandro Gubler

Vista Energy 4Q24: Solid Expectations Despite Short-Term Cost Headwinds

​Vista Energy shows growth potential despite temporary increase in operating costs, making it an attractive option for investors seeking exposure...

Leandro Gubler

US tariffs impact Brazilian companies, MercadoLibre achieves investment grade, Pemex eyes $8bn, Gerdau coverage initiated, Vista 2Q25 results, US...

Suzano acquires majority stake in Kimberly-Clark's international tissue business for $1.73bn, while Telecom sees margin gains in 1Q25 but still...

Argentina's economy grows above expectations in February, Fitch affirms Cemex's credit rating, Pemex rig suspensions highlight risks, MercadoLibre...

Vista Energy shows growth potential despite temporary increase in operating costs, making it an attractive option for investors seeking exposure...