Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of A-share stocks as of Jul 10th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD397,076m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES, ZTE, DAWNING INFORMATION INDUSTRY, SMIC, CAMBRICON.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of A-share stocks as of Jul 10th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD397,076m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES, ZTE, DAWNING INFORMATION INDUSTRY, SMIC, CAMBRICON.


A-Share Margin Trading Weekly (Jul 10th): GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES, ZTE, SMIC, CAMBRICON

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of A-share stocks as of May 8th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD378,563m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in PING AN INSURANCE, Wuliangye, Kingsoft Office Software, AECC AVIATION POWER, MONTAGE.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of A-share stocks as of May 8th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD378,563m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in PING AN INSURANCE, Wuliangye, Kingsoft Office Software, AECC AVIATION POWER, MONTAGE.


A-Share Margin Trading Weekly (May 8th): PING AN INSURANCE, Wuliangye, Kingsoft Office Software

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Cambricon Technologies  Lt / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 3 constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a>, 10 changes for the STAR100 Index and 2 changes for the STAR Chip Index at the March rebalance.</li>
<li>We estimate one-way turnover of 9% for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50 INDEX</a> resulting in a round-trip trade of CNY 27.6bn (US$4bn). One-way turnover for the STAR100 Index is 9.2%.</li>
<li>With the National Team redeeming ETFs, the adds have outperformed the deletes for all the indices and that could continue ahead of implementation of the changes.</li>
</ul>


There are 3 constituent changes for the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX), 10 changes for the STAR100 Index and 2 changes for the STAR Chip Index at the March rebalance.
We estimate one-way turnover of 9% for the STAR50 INDEX resulting in a round-trip trade of CNY 27.6bn (US$4bn). One-way turnover for the STAR100 Index is 9.2%.
With the National Team redeeming ETFs, the adds have outperformed the deletes for all the indices and that could continue ahead of implementation of the changes.


STAR50/STAR100/STAR Chip Index Rebalance: Adds Outperform Deletes as Trade Nears US$6bn

<ul>
<li>There could be 2 constituent changes for the STAR Chip Index at the March rebalance. There will also be a few capping changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 5% resulting in a round-trip trade of CNY 6.5bn (US$934m). Passives need to trade between 0.3-1x ADV in the forecast changes.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last month, while both sets of changes have underperformed the STAR Chip Index.</li>
</ul>


There could be 2 constituent changes for the STAR Chip Index at the March rebalance. There will also be a few capping changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 5% resulting in a round-trip trade of CNY 6.5bn (US$934m). Passives need to trade between 0.3-1x ADV in the forecast changes.
The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last month, while both sets of changes have underperformed the STAR Chip Index.


STAR Chip Index Rebalance Preview: Two Changes for March

Nationz Technologies Inc A / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the December rebalance of the CSI All Share Semiconductor Index ended 31 October. The changes should be announced on 28 November and implemented on 12 December.</li>
<li>We forecast 3 adds and 6 deletes for the index with a one-way turnover of 1.4% and a round-trip trade of CNY 609m (US$85m).</li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last few weeks and stocks that have same-way flows from other index trackers could exhibit higher volatility near-term.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the December rebalance of the CSI All Share Semiconductor Index ended 31 October. The changes should be announced on 28 November and implemented on 12 December.
We forecast 3 adds and 6 deletes for the index with a one-way turnover of 1.4% and a round-trip trade of CNY 609m (US$85m).
The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last few weeks and stocks that have same-way flows from other index trackers could exhibit higher volatility near-term.


CSI All Share Semiconductor Index Rebalance Preview: Adds Starting to Outperform

China

Wafer Works (Shanghai) Co.,Ltd. manufactures semiconductor devices. The Company produces and sells semiconductor epitaxial wafers, polishing sheets, and more. Wafer Works (Shanghai) markets its products worldwide.

Price Gauge
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Wafer Works Shanghai (688584 CH)

STAR50/STAR100/STAR Chip Index Rebalance: Adds Outperform Deletes as Trade Nears US$6bn

There are 3 changes for the STAR50, 10 changes for the STAR100, 2 changes for the STAR Chip in March. The adds have outperformed the deletes across...

Brian Freitas

STAR Chip Index Rebalance Preview: Two Changes for March

There could be 2 changes for the index in March. Estimated one-way turnover is 5% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$934m. Passives need to...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

A-Share Margin Trading Weekly (Jul 10th): GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES, ZTE, SMIC, CAMBRICON

We analyzed A-share margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES, ZTE, DAWNING INFORMATION INDUSTRY,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-Share Margin Trading Weekly (May 8th): PING AN INSURANCE, Wuliangye, Kingsoft Office Software

We analyzed A-share margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted PING AN INSURANCE, Wuliangye, Kingsoft Office Software, AECC...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

STAR50/STAR100/STAR Chip Index Rebalance: Adds Outperform Deletes as Trade Nears US$6bn

There are 3 changes for the STAR50, 10 changes for the STAR100, 2 changes for the STAR Chip in March. The adds have outperformed the deletes across...

Brian Freitas

STAR Chip Index Rebalance Preview: Two Changes for March

There could be 2 changes for the index in March. Estimated one-way turnover is 5% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$934m. Passives need to...

Brian Freitas

CSI All Share Semiconductor Index Rebalance Preview: Adds Starting to Outperform

We forecast 3 adds and 6 deletes for the index in Dec. The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes in the last few weeks. There are...

Brian Freitas