Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Declines in carrier revenues and pricing continued to moderate in April</li>
<li>Inbound to N. America container volume declines also eased in April</li>
<li>Lower fuel prices a tailwind in '23, shares cheap, we retain our +ive sector view </li>
</ul>


Declines in carrier revenues and pricing continued to moderate in April
Inbound to N. America container volume declines also eased in April
Lower fuel prices a tailwind in '23, shares cheap, we retain our +ive sector view 


Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Price, Volume Declines Moderate | Fuel=Tailwind (May 2023)

AP Moeller - Maersk A/S / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Maersk's Q1 earnings were solid, despite plummeting container rates and volumes. Annualizing Q1 Net Income would give RoE of about 17%, which is a healthy level, in our view. </li>
<li>Q1 EBITDA of US$4 bn is equivalent to 36% to 50% of full-year guidance, which remains unchanged. Maersk indicated Q1 will likely be its most profitable quarter in 2023.</li>
<li>Maersk's result reinforces our view that container rates are bottoming. A related takeaway is that a slowing goods inflation rate could lose a tailwind it's enjoyed since last October.</li>
</ul>


Maersk's Q1 earnings were solid, despite plummeting container rates and volumes. Annualizing Q1 Net Income would give RoE of about 17%, which is a healthy level, in our view. 
Q1 EBITDA of US$4 bn is equivalent to 36% to 50% of full-year guidance, which remains unchanged. Maersk indicated Q1 will likely be its most profitable quarter in 2023.
Maersk's result reinforces our view that container rates are bottoming. A related takeaway is that a slowing goods inflation rate could lose a tailwind it's enjoyed since last October.


Maersk Q1: Earnings Fine | Guidance Intact | Takeaways for Container Shipping (And Inflation)

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of May 5th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD13.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, Mediatek, Wistron, Yang Ming Marine, Unimicron Tech, Largan Precision, Powerchip Semico, Taiwan Mobile.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of May 5th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD13.0bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, Mediatek, Wistron, Yang Ming Marine, Unimicron Tech, Largan Precision, Powerchip Semico, Taiwan Mobile.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (May 5th): Evergreen Marine, Mediatek, Wistron, Yang Ming Marine

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Mar 10th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD11.8bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Alchip Tech, Delta Elec, Global Unichip, Unimicron Tech, Kinsus.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Mar 10th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD11.8bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Alchip Tech, Delta Elec, Global Unichip, Unimicron Tech, Kinsus.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 10th): Alchip Tech, Delta Elec, Global Unichip, Unimicron Tech

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 23rd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD13.2bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Wan Hai, Hon Hai, Realtek, Kinsus, Taiwan Cement, Yang Ming Marine, Wiwynn, Chna Steel.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 23rd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD13.2bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Wan Hai, Hon Hai, Realtek, Kinsus, Taiwan Cement, Yang Ming Marine, Wiwynn, Chna Steel.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Dec 23rd): Taiwan Cement, Yang Ming Marine, Wiwynn, Chna Steel

Taiwan

Wan Hai Lines Ltd. provides marine transportation and shipping agent services. The Company also purchases, sells, and leases vessels and containers as well as operates container freight stations.

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Wan Hai Lines (2615 TT)

Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Price, Volume Declines Moderate | Fuel=Tailwind (May 2023)

April numbers show Y/Y declines in revenue and throughput are moderating. In addition, lower fuel prices could provide a tailwind in the remainder...

Tracking Traffic

Maersk Q1: Earnings Fine | Guidance Intact | Takeaways for Container Shipping (And Inflation)

Maersk's Q1 result showed a steep Y/Y decline in earnings due to lower rates. But RoE is fine, and the company maintained guidance, which supports...

Tracking Traffic

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (May 5th): Evergreen Marine, Mediatek, Wistron, Yang Ming Marine

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, Mediatek, Wistron, Yang Ming...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 10th): Alchip Tech, Delta Elec, Global Unichip, Unimicron Tech

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Alchip Tech, Delta Elec, Global Unichip, Unimicron...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Dec 23rd): Taiwan Cement, Yang Ming Marine, Wiwynn, Chna Steel

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Wan Hai Lines, Hon Hai, Realtek, Kinsus, Taiwan...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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