IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beach-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:795:1" rel="noopener">Beach Energy (BPT AU)</a>’s revised offer of A$0.25 per share was quickly gazumped by Hancock's revised off-market proposal of A$0.28 for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/warrego-energy-ltd-082ab214-f4bb-4224-b321-8977486cd661" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7808:1" rel="noopener">Warrego Energy (WGO AU)</a>. All other terms remain unchanged.</li>
<li>Speculation that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/strike-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12473:1" rel="noopener">Strike Energy (STX AU)</a> would also be a takeover target has resulted in its all-scrip offer rising to A$0.248 per share (at last close).</li>
<li>Expect another round of the takeover battle as the bidders are well capitalised and the strategic importance of Perth Basin as Australia’s premier onshore basin.</li>
</ul>



Beach Energy (BPT AU)’s revised offer of A$0.25 per share was quickly gazumped by Hancock's revised off-market proposal of A$0.28 for Warrego Energy (WGO AU). All other terms remain unchanged.
Speculation that Strike Energy (STX AU) would also be a takeover target has resulted in its all-scrip offer rising to A$0.248 per share (at last close).
Expect another round of the takeover battle as the bidders are well capitalised and the strategic importance of Perth Basin as Australia’s premier onshore basin.


Warrego (WGO AU)’s Rinehart V Stokes Takeover Tussle in Full Swing

<ul>
<li>Hancock’s offer of A$0.23 is at a 15% premium to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beach-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:795:1" rel="noopener">Beach Energy (BPT AU)</a>’s A$0.20 offer and a 21.1% premium to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/strike-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12473:1" rel="noopener">Strike Energy (STX AU)</a>’s scrip value on 29 November. </li>
<li>The Hancock off-market offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/warrego-energy-ltd-082ab214-f4bb-4224-b321-8977486cd661" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7808:1" rel="noopener">Warrego Energy (WGO AU)</a> has no minimum acceptance condition or a material adverse change clause. The offer closes on 31 January 2023.</li>
<li>STX could be Hancock’s next logical target to facilitate Perth Basin consolidation. Between STX and BPT, BPT is more likely to return with an improved offer.  </li>
</ul>


Hancock’s offer of A$0.23 is at a 15% premium to Beach Energy (BPT AU)’s A$0.20 offer and a 21.1% premium to Strike Energy (STX AU)’s scrip value on 29 November. 
The Hancock off-market offer for Warrego Energy (WGO AU) has no minimum acceptance condition or a material adverse change clause. The offer closes on 31 January 2023.
STX could be Hancock’s next logical target to facilitate Perth Basin consolidation. Between STX and BPT, BPT is more likely to return with an improved offer.  


Warrego (WGO AU) In a Three-Way Tussle with Hancock’s A$0.23 Offer

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Gina Rinehart's Hancock Prospecting has joined the bidding war for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/warrego-energy-ltd-082ab214-f4bb-4224-b321-8977486cd661" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7808:1" rel="noopener">Warrego Energy (WGO AU)</a> with a A$0.23/share, all cash, off-market Offer versus <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beach-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:795:1" rel="noopener">Beach Energy (BPT AU)</a>'s management-backed A$0.20/share Scheme Offer.</li>
<li>Hancock has already lodged the Bidder's Statement. There is no minimum acceptance condition attached to  this offer.</li>
<li>Warrego currently recommends Beach's Offer, subject to no superior proposal emerging. Beach has matching rights under the SID entered into on the 14 November. </li>
</ul>


Gina Rinehart's Hancock Prospecting has joined the bidding war for Warrego Energy (WGO AU) with a A$0.23/share, all cash, off-market Offer versus Beach Energy (BPT AU)'s management-backed A$0.20/share Scheme Offer.
Hancock has already lodged the Bidder's Statement. There is no minimum acceptance condition attached to  this offer.
Warrego currently recommends Beach's Offer, subject to no superior proposal emerging. Beach has matching rights under the SID entered into on the 14 November. 


Reinhart Edges Stokes In Tussle For Warrego Energy

<ul>
<li>The Stokes' family-backed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beach-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:795:1" rel="noopener">Beach Energy (BPT AU)</a> is offering <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/warrego-energy-ltd-082ab214-f4bb-4224-b321-8977486cd661" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7808:1" rel="noopener">Warrego Energy (WGO AU)</a>'s shareholders $0.20/share, in cash, by way of a Scheme. That's a 36% premium to the one-month VWAP.</li>
<li>A contingent value payment may be payable to Warrego shareholders from the sale of Warrego’s Spanish assets within 12 months</li>
<li>Warrego's board unanimously recommend the Beach deal. The transaction is expected to complete in early March.  The wild card is whether <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/strike-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12473:1" rel="noopener">Strike Energy (STX AU)</a> pitches a revised Offer.</li>
</ul>


The Stokes' family-backed Beach Energy (BPT AU) is offering Warrego Energy (WGO AU)'s shareholders $0.20/share, in cash, by way of a Scheme. That's a 36% premium to the one-month VWAP.
A contingent value payment may be payable to Warrego shareholders from the sale of Warrego’s Spanish assets within 12 months
Warrego's board unanimously recommend the Beach deal. The transaction is expected to complete in early March.  The wild card is whether Strike Energy (STX AU) pitches a revised Offer.


Golden Energy and Resources / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pendal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15795:1" rel="noopener">Pendal Group (PDL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alliance-aviation-services-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20401:1" rel="noopener">Alliance Aviation Services (AQZ AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genex-power-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29079:1" rel="noopener">Genex Power Ltd (GNX AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/21-vianet-group-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8489:1" rel="noopener">21Vianet Group (VNET US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/111-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27412:1" rel="noopener">111 Inc (YI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-fiber-system-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20826:1" rel="noopener">Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP)</a>.</li>
<li>Lowest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tyro-payments-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28393:1" rel="noopener">Tyro Payments (TYR AU)</a>,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/perpetual-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:599:1" rel="noopener">Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oz-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1138:1" rel="noopener">OZ Minerals Ltd (OZL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nitro-software-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30943:1" rel="noopener">Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-vast-industrial-urban-development-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3212:1" rel="noopener">China Vast Industrial Urban Development (6166 HK)</a>, Moya Holdings.</li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads  Pendal Group (PDL AU), Alliance Aviation Services (AQZ AU), Genex Power Ltd (GNX AU), 21Vianet Group (VNET US), 111 Inc (YI US), Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP).
Lowest spreads - Tyro Payments (TYR AU),Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU), OZ Minerals Ltd (OZL AU), Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU), China Vast Industrial Urban Development (6166 HK), Moya Holdings.


Merger Arb Mondays (14 Nov) - Golden Energy, Perpetual/Pendal, Origin Energy, Warrego, Uzabase

Australia

Warrego Energy Limited operates as an oil and gas exploration company. The Company provides onshore oil and gas services. Warrego Energy serves customers in Western Australia, Spain, and Uruguay.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Warrego Energy (WGO AU)

Warrego (WGO AU)’s Rinehart V Stokes Takeover Tussle in Full Swing

Shares closed slightly above Hancock's offer. Expect another round of bids as the bidders are well capitalised and the strategic importance of...

Arun George

Warrego (WGO AU) In a Three-Way Tussle with Hancock’s A$0.23 Offer

Due to the expectation that BPT or STX returns with an improved offer, the WGO shares closed 11% above Hancock’s offer. Expect BPT to come back...

Arun George

Reinhart Edges Stokes In Tussle For Warrego Energy

Expect Warrego to back Hancock's proposal. Expect Beach to return to the well. Strike is an outside chance, but both Hancock and Beach have the...

David Blennerhassett

Warrego Enters Into A Scheme With Beach

Strike's scrip proposal is marginally higher. However, Warrego shareholders are provided the assured benefit of an all-cash Offer from Beach. If...

David Blennerhassett

Merger Arb Mondays (14 Nov) - Golden Energy, Perpetual/Pendal, Origin Energy, Warrego, Uzabase

This week, the highest gross spreads are Pendal (57.5%), Alliance Aviation (54.2%), Genex (47.1%), VNET (46.2%), 111 (28.0%), Golden Energy...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)