External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>China Construction Machinery Association (CCMA) released a full set of construction machinery sales data for Feb.</li><li>Unlike the stronger-than-expected earth-moving machinery (excavator and wheel loader) data that released last week (CMBI report: link), the picture for other machinery was unclear.</li><li>Forklifts and truck cranes saw growth in both domestic and overseas markets, while tower cranes (highly related to property) / aerial work platforms (AWPs) saw 33%/24% decline in China market despite a low base. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Construction Machinery Association (CCMA) released a full set of construction machinery sales data for Feb.Unlike the stronger-than-expected earth-moving machinery (excavator and wheel loader) data that released last week (CMBI report: link), the picture for other machinery was unclear.Forklifts and truck cranes saw growth in both domestic and overseas markets, while tower cranes (highly related to property) / aerial work platforms (AWPs) saw 33%/24% decline in China market despite a low base. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Capital Goods - Non-earth-moving machinery sales data mixed in Feb

<ul><li>China Construction Machinery Association (CCMA) released a full set of construction machinery sales data for Dec 2024.</li><li>Export volume growth remained strong across all types of machines, in particular truck cranes and tower cranes that surged 67% YoY and 95% YoY respectively.</li><li>In China, overall demand saw little improvement, with excavator being the only product that saw growth in Dec. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Construction Machinery Association (CCMA) released a full set of construction machinery sales data for Dec 2024.Export volume growth remained strong across all types of machines, in particular truck cranes and tower cranes that surged 67% YoY and 95% YoY respectively.In China, overall demand saw little improvement, with excavator being the only product that saw growth in Dec. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Capital Goods - Export Volume Growth Across All Machines in Dec

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 196 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 83.5% as of Sep 11th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.7ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, information technology, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Minsheng Bank, Innocare Pharma, Yofc, Citic Sec.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 196 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 83.5% as of Sep 11th.
The average A-H premium changed by 1.7ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, information technology, materials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Minsheng Bank, Innocare Pharma, Yofc, Citic Sec.


A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 11th): Minsheng Bank, Innocare Pharma, Yofc, Citic Sec

<ul><li>Three companies reported their 3Q24 results last night (30 Oct).</li><li>SANY Heavy reported better-than-expected earnings driven by strong revenue growth (+19% YoY), while Zoomlion’s profit is below our expectation as strong overseas sales were more than offset by weak China performance.</li><li>Weichai Power reported profit decrease (-4% YoY), but is largely in-line with expectation given the weak HDT and engine demand. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Three companies reported their 3Q24 results last night (30 Oct).SANY Heavy reported better-than-expected earnings driven by strong revenue growth (+19% YoY), while Zoomlion’s profit is below our expectation as strong overseas sales were more than offset by weak China performance.Weichai Power reported profit decrease (-4% YoY), but is largely in-line with expectation given the weak HDT and engine demand. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Capital Goods - 3Q24 Earnings Review: SANY Heavy Beat; Zoomlion Missed; Weichai In-Line

<ul><li>We revise down our 2024E/25E heavy-duty truck (HDT) sales forecast by 10%/5% to 856k/ 954k units, following our cut in forecast in Aug, due to further deterioration of HDT demand over the last two months.</li><li>We now expect 5% YoY decline in HDT sales (China sales + exports) in 2024E, followed by 10%/9% recovery in 2025E/26E.</li><li>We are cautious on export market as Russia, the major market for Chinese trucks, will likely see further decline due to high base and impact of high tax recycling tax (starting in Oct).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We revise down our 2024E/25E heavy-duty truck (HDT) sales forecast by 10%/5% to 856k/ 954k units, following our cut in forecast in Aug, due to further deterioration of HDT demand over the last two months.We now expect 5% YoY decline in HDT sales (China sales + exports) in 2024E, followed by 10%/9% recovery in 2025E/26E.We are cautious on export market as Russia, the major market for Chinese trucks, will likely see further decline due to high base and impact of high tax recycling tax (starting in Oct).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Capital Goods - Headwinds in 4Q24 in Both China & Export; Eyes on Policy-Driven Recovery in 2025

China

Weichai Power is a Chinese industrial technology company specializing in the research, development, and manufacturing of powertrains, vehicles, and key components such as engines, transmissions, and axles. The company also offers intelligent logistics solutions, including forklifts and warehousing services, and is actively developing new energy technologies like hydrogen fuel cells. Weichai Power was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Weifang, Shandong, China.

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Weichai Power (2338 HK)

Capital Goods - Non-earth-moving machinery sales data mixed in Feb

We continue to favour earth-moving machinery which is the first to recover in both the project-level cycle and replacement cycle.

CMB International

Capital Goods - Export Volume Growth Across All Machines in Dec

Export volume growth remained strong across all types of machines, in particular truck cranes and tower cranes that surged 67% YoY and 95% YoY...

CMB International

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 11th): Minsheng Bank, Innocare Pharma, Yofc, Citic Sec

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Minsheng Bank, Innocare Pharma, Yofc, Citic Sec.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Capital Goods - 3Q24 Earnings Review: SANY Heavy Beat; Zoomlion Missed; Weichai In-Line

SANY Heavy reported better-than-expected earnings driven by strong revenue growth (+19% YoY), while Zoomlion’s profit is below our expectation

CMB International

Capital Goods - Headwinds in 4Q24 in Both China & Export; Eyes on Policy-Driven Recovery in 2025

We revise down our 2024E/25E heavy-duty truck (HDT) sales forecast by 10%/5% to 856k/ 954k units, following our cut in forecast in Aug, due to...

CMB International

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