HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The H-share IPO of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/muyuan-foods-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3705:1" rel="noopener">Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK)</a> should draw good interest given its position as the world's largest hog farming company by capacity. </li>
<li>Its IPO price of HK$39 equals 8.8x FY26F PER, which is 10% below <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wh-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13200:1" rel="noopener">WH Group (288 HK)</a>. It is relatively cheap vs. the global peers' average of 11.3x.</li>
<li>Based on 10% discount to its A-share, the IPO's fair value is assessed at HK$46.90, 20.2% upside; and the floor is HK$41.70, being 20% discount.</li>
</ul>


The H-share IPO of Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK) should draw good interest given its position as the world's largest hog farming company by capacity. 
Its IPO price of HK$39 equals 8.8x FY26F PER, which is 10% below WH Group (288 HK). It is relatively cheap vs. the global peers' average of 11.3x.
Based on 10% discount to its A-share, the IPO's fair value is assessed at HK$46.90, 20.2% upside; and the floor is HK$41.70, being 20% discount.


Muyuan Foods (2714 HK) IPO: Inexpensively Priced

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>Muyuan Foods (2714 HK) launched its Hongkong IPO aiming to raise up to HK$ 10.7B. The company plans to sell 273.9M shares at HK$39 per share.</li>
<li>Muyuan Foods is a technology-driven leading pork company. Their major products include hogs, namely finished hogs, piglets and breeding hogs, as well as fresh and frozen meat products.</li>
<li>We would recommend the investors to subscribe to the issue backed by strong integrated business model, cost competitiveness and innovation capabilities across the value chain.</li>
</ul>


Muyuan Foods (2714 HK) launched its Hongkong IPO aiming to raise up to HK$ 10.7B. The company plans to sell 273.9M shares at HK$39 per share.
Muyuan Foods is a technology-driven leading pork company. Their major products include hogs, namely finished hogs, piglets and breeding hogs, as well as fresh and frozen meat products.
We would recommend the investors to subscribe to the issue backed by strong integrated business model, cost competitiveness and innovation capabilities across the value chain.


Muyuan Foods A/H Listing: Meaty Enough for Investors

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/muyuan-foods-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3705:1" rel="noopener">Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK)</a>, the world’s largest pork company, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$1.4 billion.</li>
<li>I discussed the H Share listing in <strong><em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/muyuan-foods-h-share-listing-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:218326" rel="noopener">Muyuan Foods H Share Listing: The Investment Case</a></em></strong>. </li>
<li>The proposed AH discount of 23.1% (based on the 28 January A Share price) is attractive. Overall, I would participate in the listing.</li>
</ul>



Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK), the world’s largest pork company, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$1.4 billion.
I discussed the H Share listing in Muyuan Foods H Share Listing: The Investment Case. 
The proposed AH discount of 23.1% (based on the 28 January A Share price) is attractive. Overall, I would participate in the listing.


Muyuan Foods H Share Listing (2714 HK): Valuation Insights

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/muyuan-foodstuff-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3705:1" rel="noopener">Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd A (002714 CH)</a>, the world’s largest pork company, is pre-marketing an H-Share listing to raise around US$1.5 billion.    </li>
<li>The IPO proceeds will mainly be used to reduce exposure to China’s volatile hog market by expanding abroad and to strengthen its downstream businesses.</li>
<li>While the short-term outlook is challenging due to weak hog prices, Muyuan is well positioned for a recovery, thanks to its scale, industry-leading margins, and low leverage. </li>
</ul>



Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd A (002714 CH), the world’s largest pork company, is pre-marketing an H-Share listing to raise around US$1.5 billion.    
The IPO proceeds will mainly be used to reduce exposure to China’s volatile hog market by expanding abroad and to strengthen its downstream businesses.
While the short-term outlook is challenging due to weak hog prices, Muyuan is well positioned for a recovery, thanks to its scale, industry-leading margins, and low leverage. 


Muyuan Foods H Share Listing: The Investment Case

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

<ul>
<li>25Q3 performance was disappointing. Compared with 2024 and 25H1, MUYUAN's growth momentum was slowing down, which was mainly due to the decrease in the market selling prices of finished hogs.</li>
<li>Strong cost control is the key factor to achieve higher profitability/margins than peers, which will partially mitigate the impact of price fluctuations, but cannot offset sharp decline in hog prices.</li>
<li>We think valuation of MUYUAN could be higher than <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wens-foodstuff-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22859:1" rel="noopener">Wens Foodstuff</a>. P/E of 12-15x is a comfortable range. Based on 2025 net profit forecast, market value is RMB216-270 billion.</li>
</ul>


25Q3 performance was disappointing. Compared with 2024 and 25H1, MUYUAN's growth momentum was slowing down, which was mainly due to the decrease in the market selling prices of finished hogs.
Strong cost control is the key factor to achieve higher profitability/margins than peers, which will partially mitigate the impact of price fluctuations, but cannot offset sharp decline in hog prices.
We think valuation of MUYUAN could be higher than Wens Foodstuff. P/E of 12-15x is a comfortable range. Based on 2025 net profit forecast, market value is RMB216-270 billion.


Pre-IPO Muyuan Foods (A/H Listing) PHIP Updates - Some Points Worth the Attention

China

Wens Foodstuff Group Co., Ltd. produces meat products. The Company produces, processes, and sells chicken, duck, pork, and other related products. Guangdong Wens Foodstuffs Group also manufactures and markets cooked meat and frozen meat.

Wens Foodstuff Group Co., Ltd. (300498 CH)

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Wens Foodstuff Group Co., Ltd. (300498 CH)

Muyuan Foods (2714 HK) IPO: Inexpensively Priced

Muyuan's IPO offers good value due to its position as the world's largest hog farming company by capacity. It is valued at HK$46.90, with a floor...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Muyuan Foods A/H Listing: Meaty Enough for Investors

Muyuan Foods launches HK IPO to raise up to HK$10.7B, offering shares at HK$39 each. Investors encouraged to subscribe due to strong business...

Tina Banerjee

Pre-IPO Muyuan Foods (A/H Listing) PHIP Updates - Some Points Worth the Attention

MUYUAN's weak 25Q3 performance attributed to slowing growth due to lower hog prices. Strong cost control is the key for profitability.There's...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Muyuan Foods (2714 HK) IPO: Inexpensively Priced

​Muyuan's IPO offers good value due to its position as the world's largest hog farming company by capacity. It is valued at HK$46.90, with a floor...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Muyuan Foods A/H Listing: Meaty Enough for Investors

​Muyuan Foods launches HK IPO to raise up to HK$10.7B, offering shares at HK$39 each. Investors encouraged to subscribe due to strong business...

Tina Banerjee

Muyuan Foods H Share Listing (2714 HK): Valuation Insights

Muyuan Foods, the world’s largest pork company, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$1.4 billion. The proposed AH discount of 23.1% is...

Arun George

Muyuan Foods H Share Listing: The Investment Case

Muyuan Foods, the world’s largest pork company, is pre-marketing an H-Share listing to raise around US$1.5 billion. In this note, I discuss the...

Arun George

Pre-IPO Muyuan Foods (A/H Listing) PHIP Updates - Some Points Worth the Attention

​MUYUAN's weak 25Q3 performance attributed to slowing growth due to lower hog prices. Strong cost control is the key for profitability.There's...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Muyuan's IPO offers good value due to its position as the world's largest hog farming company by capacity. It is valued at HK$46.90, with a floor...

Muyuan Foods launches HK IPO to raise up to HK$10.7B, offering shares at HK$39 each. Investors encouraged to subscribe due to strong business...

MUYUAN's weak 25Q3 performance attributed to slowing growth due to lower hog prices. Strong cost control is the key for profitability.There's...