HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

China National Building Material / Equity Bottom-Up

China National Building Material (3323 HK)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-national-building-ma-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:184:1" rel="noopener">China National Building Material (3323 HK)</a>'s proposed H-share buyback has been approved. We continue to support existing shareholders to tender their holdings to accept the offer. </li>
<li>The buyback will enhance FY25 and FY26 EPS by 4.8% and 8.2%, respectively. Its book value will increase by 11% compared to without a buyback.</li>
<li>The post-buyback FY25 PER of 9.6x is at a premium to the sector median of 7.6x. The proposal has led to significant outperformance, and we anticipate downside risks on completion. </li>
</ul>



China National Building Material (3323 HK)'s proposed H-share buyback has been approved. We continue to support existing shareholders to tender their holdings to accept the offer. 
The buyback will enhance FY25 and FY26 EPS by 4.8% and 8.2%, respectively. Its book value will increase by 11% compared to without a buyback.
The post-buyback FY25 PER of 9.6x is at a premium to the sector median of 7.6x. The proposal has led to significant outperformance, and we anticipate downside risks on completion. 


China National Building Material (3323 HK): Buyback Approved and Implications

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

China National Building Material / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The IFA opines that the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-national-building-ma-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:184:1" rel="noopener">China National Building Material (3323 HK)</a> share buyback, which will acquire a maximum of 841.7 million H Shares at HK$4.03, is fair and reasonable.</li>
<li>The share buyback seems designed to enable the CNBM parent company to bypass the creeper rule and squeeze the shorts. </li>
<li>The fortuitous material derating of peers has helped make the buyback attractive. Therefore, the votes should pass, and the minimum acceptance condition should be met. </li>
</ul>


The IFA opines that the China National Building Material (3323 HK) share buyback, which will acquire a maximum of 841.7 million H Shares at HK$4.03, is fair and reasonable.
The share buyback seems designed to enable the CNBM parent company to bypass the creeper rule and squeeze the shorts. 
The fortuitous material derating of peers has helped make the buyback attractive. Therefore, the votes should pass, and the minimum acceptance condition should be met. 


China National Building Material (3323 HK): H Share Buyback Vote on 19 February

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

<ul>
<li>In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: West China Cement, China Vanke, Sunny Optical</li>
<li>
<p>In the US, the January CPI came in higher than expected at 3.0% y-o-y (2.9% e / 2.9% p) and 0.5% m-o-m (0.3% e / 0.4% p). The core CPI (excluding food and energy) accelerated slightly to 3.3% y-o-y (3.1% e / 3.2% p) and 0.4% m-o-m (0.3% e / 0.2% p).</p>
</li>
<li>Speaking after the CPI data release, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell acknowledged that the CPI figure came in above nearly every forecast, but cautioned against overreacting to one or two readings.</li>
</ul>


In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: West China Cement, China Vanke, Sunny Optical

In the US, the January CPI came in higher than expected at 3.0% y-o-y (2.9% e / 2.9% p) and 0.5% m-o-m (0.3% e / 0.4% p). The core CPI (excluding food and energy) accelerated slightly to 3.3% y-o-y (3.1% e / 3.2% p) and 0.4% m-o-m (0.3% e / 0.2% p).

Speaking after the CPI data release, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell acknowledged that the CPI figure came in above nearly every forecast, but cautioned against overreacting to one or two readings.


<ul>
<li>In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: West China Cement, Greentown China, Softbank Group, Bharti Airtel</li>
<li>In the US, the January nonfarm payrolls came in below estimates at 143 k (175 k e / 307 k revised p). That said, payrolls for December were revised upwards to 307 k (from 256 k), with the two-month revision rising to 100 k (from negative 8 k).</li>
<li>The average hourly earnings in January increased to 0.5% m-o-m (0.3% e / 0.3% p), and stood at 4.1% y-o-y (3.8% e / 4.1% revised p). The unemployment rate declined to 4.0% in the same month (4.1% e / 4.1% p).</li>
</ul>


In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: West China Cement, Greentown China, Softbank Group, Bharti Airtel
In the US, the January nonfarm payrolls came in below estimates at 143 k (175 k e / 307 k revised p). That said, payrolls for December were revised upwards to 307 k (from 256 k), with the two-month revision rising to 100 k (from negative 8 k).
The average hourly earnings in January increased to 0.5% m-o-m (0.3% e / 0.3% p), and stood at 4.1% y-o-y (3.8% e / 4.1% revised p). The unemployment rate declined to 4.0% in the same month (4.1% e / 4.1% p).


<ul>
<li>In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: West China Cement, Adani Ports, Vedanta Resources, Softbank Group, Tata Motors, UPL Limited</li>
<li>In the US, the December personal spending came in above estimates at 0.7% m-o-m (0.5% e / 0.6% revised p), while personal income inched up to 0.4% m-o-m (0.4% e / 0.3% p).</li>
<li>Separately, the PCE price index climbed to 2.6% y-o-y (2.6% e / 2.4% p) and 0.3% m-o-m (0.3% e / 0.1% p). That said, the core PCE price index (the Fed's preferred measure of inflation) was largely stable at 2.8% y-o-y (2.8% e / 2.8% p) and 0.2% m-o-m (0.2% e / 0.1% p).</li>
</ul>


In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: West China Cement, Adani Ports, Vedanta Resources, Softbank Group, Tata Motors, UPL Limited
In the US, the December personal spending came in above estimates at 0.7% m-o-m (0.5% e / 0.6% revised p), while personal income inched up to 0.4% m-o-m (0.4% e / 0.3% p).
Separately, the PCE price index climbed to 2.6% y-o-y (2.6% e / 2.4% p) and 0.3% m-o-m (0.3% e / 0.1% p). That said, the core PCE price index (the Fed's preferred measure of inflation) was largely stable at 2.8% y-o-y (2.8% e / 2.8% p) and 0.2% m-o-m (0.2% e / 0.1% p).


China

West China Cement is a leading manufacturer and supplier of cement and cement products, including ordinary Portland, oil well, and specialized cements, as well as aggregates and commercial concrete. Its products are primarily used in infrastructure projects and housing construction across China, Africa, and Central Asia. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Xi'an, Shaanxi province, China.

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West China Cement (2233 HK)

China National Building Material (3323 HK): Buyback Approved and Implications

CNBM's H-share buyback will boost EPS by 4.8% in FY25, with an 11% increase in book value. Its above-sector PER and recent share price strengths...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: West China Cement, China Vanke, Sunny Optical

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: West China Cement, Greentown China, Softbank...

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: West China Cement, Adani Ports, Vedanta...

Lucror Analytics

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China National Building Material (3323 HK): Buyback Approved and Implications

​CNBM's H-share buyback will boost EPS by 4.8% in FY25, with an 11% increase in book value. Its above-sector PER and recent share price strengths...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China National Building Material (3323 HK): H Share Buyback Vote on 19 February

The vote comfortably passed, and the minimum tendering condition was met. Therefore, the buyback is unconditional. The current acceptances of...

Arun George

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: West China Cement, China Vanke, Sunny Optical

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: West China Cement, Greentown China, Softbank...

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: West China Cement, Adani Ports, Vedanta...

Lucror Analytics

CNBM's H-share buyback will boost EPS by 4.8% in FY25, with an 11% increase in book value. Its above-sector PER and recent share price strengths...