Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<p>After a downturn in the price of the battery commodities and a reduction in tonnes exported, mining consolidations are back in vogue as miners take big bets on electric vehicles, as demand and prices increase for battery minerals.</p>
<ul style="list-style-type: circle;">
<li>February last year, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wesfarmers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1104:1" rel="noopener">Wesfarmers Ltd (WES AU)</a> <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02342610-6A1020764?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">said</a> it would proceed with the development of a new lithium mine and processing hub in WA. The Mt Holland lithium project is a JV with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/soc-quimica-y-minera-chile-b" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24555:1" rel="noopener">Soc Quimica Y Minera Chile-B (SQM/B CI)</a>. Wesfarmers expects to lay out ~$950mn developing the mine, concentrator, and refinery (in Kwinana). A final investment decision was <a href="https://www.wesfarmers.com.au/util/news-media/article/2021/04/15/green-light-for-lithium-project" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> in February <em>this</em> year. </li>
<li>In <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02320079-6A1011583?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">December</a> last year, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/igo-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:462:1" rel="noopener">IGO Ltd (IGO AU)</a> formed a JV with China’s <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-tianqi-lithium-industries-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5698:1" rel="noopener">Tianqi Lithium Corporation  (002466 CH)</a>, paying $US1.4bn to acquire a 24.99% stake in the Greenbushes lithium mine in Western Australia. The mine produces ~2% of the world's spodumene concentrate from a hard rock lithium mine. The JV also includes a 49% stake in the downstream lithium hydroxide plant in Kwinana near Perth. The JV was formed after Tianqi faced an increasing debt obligation after the decline in lithium prices. Tianqi maintained a 26% stake in Greenbushes and a 51% stake in the hydroxide plant.
<ul style="list-style-type: circle;">
<li>This was a large bet, transforming IGO into a battery mineral and renewable energy play, away from its copper and gold heritage.  The deal was funded by debt and an A$766mn equity raise including a $446mn fully underwritten placement at $4.60, and a $320mn 1-for-8.5 pro-rata entitlement offer. The offer price represented a 9.7% discount to IGO’s last traded price.</li>
<li>The transaction was completed on the <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02390039-6A1038822?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">30 June</a>. Around two months earlier, IGO <a href="https://www.australianmining.com.au/news/igo-sells-tropicana-stake-for-903m/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">sold</a> its 30% stake in the Tropicana gold mine joint venture for A$903mn.</li>
<li>Separately, IGO withdrew its takeover offer to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/panoramic-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15960:1" rel="noopener">Panoramic Resources (PAN AU)</a> in <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02190245-6A961368?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">January</a> last year, citing a breach of conditions.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pilbara-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7460:1" rel="noopener">Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU)</a> acquired <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/altura-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13385:1" rel="noopener">Altura Mining (AJM AU)</a> late last year after the latter entered receivership in November.</li>
<li>
<div>
<p>After circling each other for a couple of years, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/galaxy-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13914:1" rel="noopener">Galaxy Resources (GXY AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orocobre-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3572:1" rel="noopener">Orocobre Ltd (ORE AU)</a> entered into a <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02364542-2A1293132?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">binding agreement</a> on the 19 April 2021, under which the two companies will merge via a Galaxy Scheme, following which, Orocobre will hold 100% in Galaxy. The A$4bn combined entity will be the fifth-largest lithium producer - and third-largest outside of China - boasting a diversified product base via four producing assets. This deal was discussed in <em><a href="https://skr.ma/W2guR" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Orocobre/Galaxy Resources: On A Charge</a>.</em></p>
</div>
</li>
</ul>
<p>Nickel miner <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/western-areas-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15497:1" rel="noopener">Western Areas (WSA AU)</a> has now <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02408950-6A1046238?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">confirmed</a> media reports it is in preliminary discussions with IGO in relation to a change of control proposal. </p>
<p>No price is mentioned, and due diligence has yet to be afforded.</p>
<p>More below the fold. </p>

After a downturn in the price of the battery commodities and a reduction in tonnes exported, mining consolidations are back in vogue as miners take big bets on electric vehicles, as demand and prices increase for battery minerals.

February last year, Wesfarmers Ltd (WES AU) said it would proceed with the development of a new lithium mine and processing hub in WA. The Mt Holland lithium project is a JV with Soc Quimica Y Minera Chile-B (SQM/B CI). Wesfarmers expects to lay out ~$950mn developing the mine, concentrator, and refinery (in Kwinana). A final investment decision was announced in February this year. 
In December last year, IGO Ltd (IGO AU) formed a JV with China’s Tianqi Lithium Corporation  (002466 CH), paying $US1.4bn to acquire a 24.99% stake in the Greenbushes lithium mine in Western Australia. The mine produces ~2% of the world's spodumene concentrate from a hard rock lithium mine. The JV also includes a 49% stake in the downstream lithium hydroxide plant in Kwinana near Perth. The JV was formed after Tianqi faced an increasing debt obligation after the decline in lithium prices. Tianqi maintained a 26% stake in Greenbushes and a 51% stake in the hydroxide plant.

This was a large bet, transforming IGO into a battery mineral and renewable energy play, away from its copper and gold heritage.  The deal was funded by debt and an A$766mn equity raise including a $446mn fully underwritten placement at $4.60, and a $320mn 1-for-8.5 pro-rata entitlement offer. The offer price represented a 9.7% discount to IGO’s last traded price.
The transaction was completed on the 30 June. Around two months earlier, IGO sold its 30% stake in the Tropicana gold mine joint venture for A$903mn.
Separately, IGO withdrew its takeover offer to Panoramic Resources (PAN AU) in January last year, citing a breach of conditions.



Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU) acquired Altura Mining (AJM AU) late last year after the latter entered receivership in November.


After circling each other for a couple of years, Galaxy Resources (GXY AU) and Orocobre Ltd (ORE AU) entered into a binding agreement on the 19 April 2021, under which the two companies will merge via a Galaxy Scheme, following which, Orocobre will hold 100% in Galaxy. The A$4bn combined entity will be the fifth-largest lithium producer - and third-largest outside of China - boasting a diversified product base via four producing assets. This deal was discussed in Orocobre/Galaxy Resources: On A Charge.



Nickel miner Western Areas (WSA AU) has now confirmed media reports it is in preliminary discussions with IGO in relation to a change of control proposal. 
No price is mentioned, and due diligence has yet to be afforded.
More below the fold. 

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

<div><p>S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices will announce changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> as part of the September index review on 3 September and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 17 September.</p></div><div>We are almost three quarters of the way through the review period. There are 3 potential inclusions at the review - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/centuria-capital-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15546:1" rel="noopener">Centuria Capital (CNI AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pinnacle-investment-manageme" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20624:1" rel="noopener">Wilson (PNI AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sealink-travel-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6400:1" rel="noopener">Sealink Travel (SLK AU)</a> while the potential deletions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nuix-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31040:1" rel="noopener">Nuix Limited (NXL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nrw-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9271:1" rel="noopener">NRW Holdings (NWH AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/g8-education-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:581:1" rel="noopener">G8 Education (GEM AU)</a>.</div><div></div><div>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/galaxy-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13914:1" rel="noopener">Galaxy Resources (GXY AU)</a> is placed in the inclusion zone but is unlikely to be added to the index given its pending merger with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orocobre-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3572:1" rel="noopener">Orocobre Ltd (ORE AU)</a>.</div><div></div><div>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/de-grey-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6192:1" rel="noopener">De Grey Mining (DEG AU)</a> is a close add and the corresponding deletion is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/westgold-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24269:1" rel="noopener">Westgold Resources (WGX AU)</a>.</div><div></div><div>There is a large impact expected on the inclusions while the impact on the deletions is lower.</div><div></div><div>For <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/g8-education-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:581:1" rel="noopener">G8 Education (GEM AU)</a>, the short interest is close to the estimated passive selling. For the other two deletes, short interest is a lot smaller than the estimated passive selling and there will be more shorts created from now to rebalance implementation day.</div>

S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices will announce changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) as part of the September index review on 3 September and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 17 September.We are almost three quarters of the way through the review period. There are 3 potential inclusions at the review - Centuria Capital (CNI AU), Wilson (PNI AU) and Sealink Travel (SLK AU) while the potential deletions are Nuix Limited (NXL AU), NRW Holdings (NWH AU) and G8 Education (GEM AU).
Galaxy Resources (GXY AU) is placed in the inclusion zone but is unlikely to be added to the index given its pending merger with Orocobre Ltd (ORE AU).
De Grey Mining (DEG AU) is a close add and the corresponding deletion is Westgold Resources (WGX AU).There is a large impact expected on the inclusions while the impact on the deletions is lower.For G8 Education (GEM AU), the short interest is close to the estimated passive selling. For the other two deletes, short interest is a lot smaller than the estimated passive selling and there will be more shorts created from now to rebalance implementation day.

ASX200 Sep21 Index Rebalance Preview: Large Impact Names

<div><p>S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices will announce changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> as part of the March index review on 12 March and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 19 March.</p></div><div>
<p>The data cutoff for the March review was 26 February.</p>
<p>We see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nuix-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31040:1" rel="noopener">Nuix Limited (NXL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/codan-ltd-australia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6189:1" rel="noopener">Codan Ltd (CDA AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pilbara-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7460:1" rel="noopener">Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU)</a> as potential inclusions to the index, while we see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/service-stream-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18493:1" rel="noopener">Service Stream (SSM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tassal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16234:1" rel="noopener">Tassal (TGR AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bravura-solutions-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23648:1" rel="noopener">Bravura Solutions (BVS AU)</a> as potential exclusions from the index.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/champion-iron-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19734:1" rel="noopener">Champion Iron (CIA AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/de-grey-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6192:1" rel="noopener">De Grey Mining (DEG AU)</a> are close adds while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gwa-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:663:1" rel="noopener">Gwa Group Ltd (GWA AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/smartgroup-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19954:1" rel="noopener">Smartgroup Corp (SIQ AU)</a> are close deletes.</p>
<p>Short interest on the potential inclusions has been decreasing and is currently near the lows while short interest on the potential deletions has been steadily increasing and is at the highs.</p>
<p>Since the last index review in December, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pointsbet-holdings-pty-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29102:1" rel="noopener">PointsBet Holdings Pty Ltd (PBH AU)</a> was included in the index replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/saracen-mineral-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2415:1" rel="noopener">Saracen Mineral Holdings (SAR AU)</a> following its merger of equals with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/northern-star-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4243:1" rel="noopener">Northern Star Resources (NST AU)</a>.</p>
</div>

S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices will announce changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) as part of the March index review on 12 March and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 19 March.
The data cutoff for the March review was 26 February.
We see Nuix Limited (NXL AU), Codan Ltd (CDA AU) and Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU) as potential inclusions to the index, while we see Service Stream (SSM AU), Tassal (TGR AU) and Bravura Solutions (BVS AU) as potential exclusions from the index.
Champion Iron (CIA AU) and De Grey Mining (DEG AU) are close adds while Gwa Group Ltd (GWA AU) and Smartgroup Corp (SIQ AU) are close deletes.
Short interest on the potential inclusions has been decreasing and is currently near the lows while short interest on the potential deletions has been steadily increasing and is at the highs.
Since the last index review in December, PointsBet Holdings Pty Ltd (PBH AU) was included in the index replacing Saracen Mineral Holdings (SAR AU) following its merger of equals with Northern Star Resources (NST AU).


ASX200 Index Rebalance Preview: Three Potential Changes & Some Close Names

<p>S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices has announced the list of changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> as part of the December index review that will be effective after the close of trading on 18 December.</p><p>There are 2 inclusion and 3 exclusions in the review. It seems like the index committee has not followed the index methodology that specifies that stocks with a rank of 179 or better will be added to the index, and stocks with a rank of 221 or lower will be deleted from the index.</p><p>The inclusions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kogan-com-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23575:1" rel="noopener">Kogan.com (KGN AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/reece-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3186:1" rel="noopener">Reece Ltd (REH AU)</a> while the exclusions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avita-medical-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14257:1" rel="noopener">Avita Medical (AVH AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cooper-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14286:1" rel="noopener">Cooper Energy (COE AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/western-areas-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15497:1" rel="noopener">Western Areas (WSA AU)</a>.</p><p>There are more deletes than adds since the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> has 201 constituents at the moment following <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/deterra-royalties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30851:1" rel="noopener">Deterra Royalties Ltd (DRR AU)</a>'s spin-off from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/iluka-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10105:1" rel="noopener">Iluka Resources (ILU AU)</a>.</p>

S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices has announced the list of changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) as part of the December index review that will be effective after the close of trading on 18 December.There are 2 inclusion and 3 exclusions in the review. It seems like the index committee has not followed the index methodology that specifies that stocks with a rank of 179 or better will be added to the index, and stocks with a rank of 221 or lower will be deleted from the index.The inclusions are Kogan.com (KGN AU) and Reece Ltd (REH AU) while the exclusions are Avita Medical (AVH AU), Cooper Energy (COE AU) and Western Areas (WSA AU).There are more deletes than adds since the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) has 201 constituents at the moment following Deterra Royalties Ltd (DRR AU)'s spin-off from Iluka Resources (ILU AU).

<p>S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices will announce changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> as part of the December index review on 11 December and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 18 December.</p>
<p>Today is the data cutoff to determine the list of inclusions and exclusions.</p>
<p>We see 5 potential inclusions in the December review: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/reece-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3186:1" rel="noopener">Reece Ltd (REH AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kogan-com-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23575:1" rel="noopener">Kogan.com (KGN AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tyro-payments-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28393:1" rel="noopener">Tyro Payments (TYR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/codan-ltd-australia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6189:1" rel="noopener">Codan Ltd (CDA AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/de-grey-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6192:1" rel="noopener">De Grey Mining (DEG AU)</a>.</p>
<p>We see 6 potential inclusions in the December review: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cooper-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14286:1" rel="noopener">Cooper Energy (COE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/western-areas-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15497:1" rel="noopener">Western Areas (WSA AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/service-stream-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18493:1" rel="noopener">Service Stream (SSM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gwa-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:663:1" rel="noopener">Gwa Group Ltd (GWA AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avita-medical-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14257:1" rel="noopener">Avita Medical (AVH AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/unibail-rodamco-westfield" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27181:1" rel="noopener">Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield (URW AU)</a>. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tassal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16234:1" rel="noopener">Tassal (TGR AU)</a> is ranked very close to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/unibail-rodamco-westfield" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27181:1" rel="noopener">Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield (URW AU)</a> and could be an alternate delete name.</p>
<p>There are more deletes than adds since the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> has 201 constituents at the moment following <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/deterra-royalties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30851:1" rel="noopener">Deterra Royalties Ltd (DRR AU)</a>'s spin-off from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/iluka-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10105:1" rel="noopener">Iluka Resources (ILU AU)</a>.</p>
<p>The expected inclusions have underperformed the expected exclusions significantly over the last few weeks on the momentum unwind and switch to value stocks. There are a few expected adds and deletes with over 2 days of ADV to trade and they could outperform from here to implementation date.</p>

S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices will announce changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) as part of the December index review on 11 December and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 18 December.
Today is the data cutoff to determine the list of inclusions and exclusions.
We see 5 potential inclusions in the December review: Reece Ltd (REH AU), Kogan.com (KGN AU), Tyro Payments (TYR AU), Codan Ltd (CDA AU) and De Grey Mining (DEG AU).
We see 6 potential inclusions in the December review: Cooper Energy (COE AU), Western Areas (WSA AU), Service Stream (SSM AU), Gwa Group Ltd (GWA AU), Avita Medical (AVH AU) and Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield (URW AU). Tassal (TGR AU) is ranked very close to Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield (URW AU) and could be an alternate delete name.
There are more deletes than adds since the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) has 201 constituents at the moment following Deterra Royalties Ltd (DRR AU)'s spin-off from Iluka Resources (ILU AU).
The expected inclusions have underperformed the expected exclusions significantly over the last few weeks on the momentum unwind and switch to value stocks. There are a few expected adds and deletes with over 2 days of ADV to trade and they could outperform from here to implementation date.

ASX200 Index Rebalance Preview: Expected Inclusions Underperforming as Momentum Unwinds

Australia

Western Areas Ltd is an Australian-based nickel sulphide producer which owns the Forrestania Nickel Project, along with development projects in Canada and Finland.  The Company has two producing nickel mines, Flying Fox and Spotted Quoll.

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Western Areas (WSA AU)

IGO/Western Areas: Battery Mineral Grab

Western Areas has generally underperformed peers over the past year. It is clearly in place. and if not from IGO, there's no reason another suitor...

David Blennerhassett

ASX200 Sep21 Index Rebalance Preview: Large Impact Names

We see 3 potential changes to the ASX200 at the Sep rebalance with CNI, PNI and SLK being included and NXL, NRW and GEM being deleted. Passive...

Brian Freitas

ASX200 Index Rebalance Preview: Three Potential Changes & Some Close Names

We see three potential changes to the ASX200 in the March review while there are another two close adds/deletes. High short interest on the...

Brian Freitas

ASX200 Index Rebalance: Strange As

There are 2 adds and 3 deletes. This is 'strange as' since there were 5 adds and 6 deletes expected from following the index methodology. Reece and...

Brian Freitas

ASX200 Index Rebalance Preview: Expected Inclusions Underperforming as Momentum Unwinds

There could be 5 additions and 6 deletions at the upcoming ASX200 rebalance. Changes will be announced on 11 Dec and implemented at the close on 18...

Brian Freitas

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