Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The ADDs/DELs for the ASX index family for the March 2026 index rebal event were announced after market close on Friday 6th March 2026.</li>
<li>There are 25 ADDs and 18 DELs collectively for ASX 20, ASX 50, ASX 100, ASX 200 and ASX 300. Most of them were in line with our expectations.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at our final flow expectations for each of these confirmed index changes.</li>
</ul>


The ADDs/DELs for the ASX index family for the March 2026 index rebal event were announced after market close on Friday 6th March 2026.
There are 25 ADDs and 18 DELs collectively for ASX 20, ASX 50, ASX 100, ASX 200 and ASX 300. Most of them were in line with our expectations.
In this insight, we take a look at our final flow expectations for each of these confirmed index changes.


Quiddity ASX Mar26 Results: 43 Changes; Some Surprises; US$1.34bn Total One-Way Flows

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There could be 1 change for the ASX20, 2 for the ASX50, 3 for the ASX100, 4 for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200</a> and 17 adds/10 deletes for the ASX300 in March.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to trade a lot of stock in the forecast changes, with the impact being especially large for the changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>While the forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last few months, there was a drawdown for most indices in January. Most of that underperformance has now reversed.</li>
</ul>


There could be 1 change for the ASX20, 2 for the ASX50, 3 for the ASX100, 4 for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 and 17 adds/10 deletes for the ASX300 in March.
Passive trackers will need to trade a lot of stock in the forecast changes, with the impact being especially large for the changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX). 
While the forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last few months, there was a drawdown for most indices in January. Most of that underperformance has now reversed.


S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Mar 26): Plenty of Change with Big Flow & Impact

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we have presented our latest expectations for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the March 2026 index rebal event.</li>
<li>Our expectations for ASX 20, 50, and 100 have changed as we anticipated might (in our last insight) might happen. The reference period is about to end soon.</li>
<li>We now expect one change for ASX 20, two changes for ASX 50, two changes for ASX 100, three changes for ASX 200, and 15 ADDs/8 DELs for ASX 300.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we have presented our latest expectations for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the March 2026 index rebal event.
Our expectations for ASX 20, 50, and 100 have changed as we anticipated might (in our last insight) might happen. The reference period is about to end soon.
We now expect one change for ASX 20, two changes for ASX 50, two changes for ASX 100, three changes for ASX 200, and 15 ADDs/8 DELs for ASX 300.


Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Mar26: Multiple Changes to Key Ranks as Anticipated; Many High-Impact Names

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/magnetic-resources-nl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17051:1" rel="noopener">Magnetic Resources Nl (MAU AU)</a> has entered into a SID with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genesis-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4650:1" rel="noopener">Genesis Minerals (GMD AU)</a> at A$1.40 cash + 0.0873 GMD shares per MAU share, 25.0% premium to the last close.</li>
<li>While the offer represents an all-time high, it is light compared to peer EV/Resource and EV/Reserve multiples. The ability to choose between all-cash and all-scrip partly addresses this. </li>
<li>The key conditions are the Magnetic shareholder and ACCC approval. Due to the significant irrevocables, the scheme vote is low risk.</li>
</ul>



Magnetic Resources Nl (MAU AU) has entered into a SID with Genesis Minerals (GMD AU) at A$1.40 cash + 0.0873 GMD shares per MAU share, 25.0% premium to the last close.
While the offer represents an all-time high, it is light compared to peer EV/Resource and EV/Reserve multiples. The ability to choose between all-cash and all-scrip partly addresses this. 
The key conditions are the Magnetic shareholder and ACCC approval. Due to the significant irrevocables, the scheme vote is low risk.


Magnetic Resources (MAU AU): Genesis (GMD US)’s Binding Proposal

Vulcan Energy Resources / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the March 2026 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect one change for ASX 50, one change for ASX 100, and three changes for ASX 200. Separately we see 14 ADDs and 8 DELs for ASX 300.</li>
<li>The official index changes will be announced after the close on Friday 5th March 2026.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the March 2026 index rebal event.
We expect one change for ASX 50, one change for ASX 100, and three changes for ASX 200. Separately we see 14 ADDs and 8 DELs for ASX 300.
The official index changes will be announced after the close on Friday 5th March 2026.


Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Mar26: Many Names With Multiple Days to Trade

Australia

Westgold Resources Limited provides gold mining services. The Company owns and operates gold mining projects. Westgold Resources conducts its business in Australia.

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Westgold Resources (WGX AU)

Quiddity ASX Mar26 Results: 43 Changes; Some Surprises; US$1.34bn Total One-Way Flows

We expected 39 changes in total and 35 of them were correct. That translates to an accuracy of ~90% for our predictions. However, there were 43...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Mar 26): Plenty of Change with Big Flow & Impact

There could be 46 changes across the ASX family of indices in March. Passive trackers need to trade a lot of stock in many names. Some names are...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Mar26: Multiple Changes to Key Ranks as Anticipated; Many High-Impact Names

The expected changes for ASX 200 and ASX 300 have fairly high impacts expected in the upcoming rebalance. The ASX 20, 50, and 100 have large...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Magnetic Resources (MAU AU): Genesis (GMD US)’s Binding Proposal

While the offer represents an all-time high, it is light compared to peer EV/Resource and EV/Reserve multiples. Due to the significant...

Arun George

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Mar26: Many Names With Multiple Days to Trade

With roughly five weeks left in the reference period, our expectations for the ASX March 2026 index review can still change since there are...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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Quiddity ASX Mar26 Results: 43 Changes; Some Surprises; US$1.34bn Total One-Way Flows

We expected 39 changes in total and 35 of them were correct. That translates to an accuracy of ~90% for our predictions. However, there were 43...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Mar 26): Plenty of Change with Big Flow & Impact

There could be 46 changes across the ASX family of indices in March. Passive trackers need to trade a lot of stock in many names. Some names are...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Mar26: Multiple Changes to Key Ranks as Anticipated; Many High-Impact Names

The expected changes for ASX 200 and ASX 300 have fairly high impacts expected in the upcoming rebalance. The ASX 20, 50, and 100 have large...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Magnetic Resources (MAU AU): Genesis (GMD US)’s Binding Proposal

While the offer represents an all-time high, it is light compared to peer EV/Resource and EV/Reserve multiples. Due to the significant...

Arun George

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Mar26: Many Names With Multiple Days to Trade

With roughly five weeks left in the reference period, our expectations for the ASX March 2026 index review can still change since there are...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Mar 26): Plenty of Change with Big Flow & Impact