Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

Commonwealth Bank of Australia / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: In Australia, currently five pair trade opportunities persist across three sectors.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: In Australia, currently five pair trade opportunities persist across three sectors.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Australia: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (7July 2026)

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

As long as market dynamics remain largely positive and the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EM (EEM-US) indexes are above their respective intermediate-term support levels we believe a constructive outlook is warranted. To reiterate, support levels to watch include $90 on ACWI-US, $53 on ACWX-US, and $52 on EEM-US. Open the attached file to read our complete International Strategy document, and to find links to detailed comments and recommendations for each of our 12 Sectors.

As long as market dynamics remain largely positive and the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EM (EEM-US) indexes are above their respective intermediate-term support levels we believe a constructive outlook is warranted. To reiterate, support levels to watch include $90 on ACWI-US, $53 on ACWX-US, and $52 on EEM-US. Open the attached file to read our complete International Strategy document, and to find links to detailed comments and recommendations for each of our 12 Sectors.

Global Equity Strategy: Constructive Pullback; Overweight Value

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Currently 13 pair trade opportunities persist across six markets and eight sectors.
</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: Currently 13 pair trade opportunities persist across six markets and eight sectors.


Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (6 Jul 2026)

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jun 26th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD45.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Atlas Arteria, Aristocrat Leisure, Santos, AGL Energy, Computershare.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jun 26th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD45.1bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Atlas Arteria, Aristocrat Leisure, Santos, AGL Energy, Computershare.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jun 26th): Atlas Arteria, Aristocrat Leisure, Santos, AGL Energy

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Australia in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Pilbara Minerals, Santos, Woodside Energy, Rio Tinto, BHP, ANZ, Pro Medicus.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Australia in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Pilbara Minerals, Santos, Woodside Energy, Rio Tinto, BHP, ANZ, Pro Medicus.


MS-Australia Index Earning Revision (Jun): Pilbara Minerals, Santos, Woodside Energy, Rio Tinto, BHP

Australia

Westpac Banking Corporation offers general and savings banking services.  The Company provides investment portfolio management and advice, insurance services,  consumer finance, and money market services among other services.  Westpac Banking Corp. serves individuals, businesses, and corporations worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
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Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Westpac Banking Corp Sp Adr (WBK US)

Australia: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (7July 2026)

Discover five pair trade opportunities across three sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Global Equity Strategy: Constructive Pullback; Overweight Value

As long as the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EM (EEM-US) indexes are above their respective intermediate-term support levels we...

Vermilion Research

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (6 Jul 2026)

Discover 13 pair trade opportunities across six markets and eight sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jun 26th): Atlas Arteria, Aristocrat Leisure, Santos, AGL Energy

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Atlas Arteria, Aristocrat Leisure, Santos, AGL...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MS-Australia Index Earning Revision (Jun): Pilbara Minerals, Santos, Woodside Energy, Rio Tinto, BHP

We analyzed MS-Australia's consensus for Jun 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in Pilbara Minerals, Santos, Woodside Energy, Rio Tinto, BHP, ANZ,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Australia: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (7July 2026)

​Discover five pair trade opportunities across three sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Global Equity Strategy: Constructive Pullback; Overweight Value

As long as the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EM (EEM-US) indexes are above their respective intermediate-term support levels we...

Vermilion Research

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (6 Jul 2026)

​Discover 13 pair trade opportunities across six markets and eight sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jun 26th): Atlas Arteria, Aristocrat Leisure, Santos, AGL Energy

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Atlas Arteria, Aristocrat Leisure, Santos, AGL...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MS-Australia Index Earning Revision (Jun): Pilbara Minerals, Santos, Woodside Energy, Rio Tinto, BHP

We analyzed MS-Australia's consensus for Jun 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in Pilbara Minerals, Santos, Woodside Energy, Rio Tinto, BHP, ANZ,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Discover five pair trade opportunities across three sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Discover 13 pair trade opportunities across six markets and eight sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.