Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation of Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK) is implied market cap of HK$368 billion post IPO which is 24% higher than HK$297 billion at HK$39 per share. </li>
<li>Our base case valuation of Muyuan Foods is based on P/E of 12.9x our estimated net profit of RMB25.3 billion in 2027. </li>
<li>Our target P/E multiple of 12.9x is 20% higher than the comps' average P/E multiple in 2027.</li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation of Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK) is implied market cap of HK$368 billion post IPO which is 24% higher than HK$297 billion at HK$39 per share. 
Our base case valuation of Muyuan Foods is based on P/E of 12.9x our estimated net profit of RMB25.3 billion in 2027. 
Our target P/E multiple of 12.9x is 20% higher than the comps' average P/E multiple in 2027.


Muyuan Foods Hong Kong IPO Valuation Analysis

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>The H-share IPO of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/muyuan-foods-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3705:1" rel="noopener">Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK)</a> should draw good interest given its position as the world's largest hog farming company by capacity. </li>
<li>Its IPO price of HK$39 equals 8.8x FY26F PER, which is 10% below <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wh-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13200:1" rel="noopener">WH Group (288 HK)</a>. It is relatively cheap vs. the global peers' average of 11.3x.</li>
<li>Based on 10% discount to its A-share, the IPO's fair value is assessed at HK$46.90, 20.2% upside; and the floor is HK$41.70, being 20% discount.</li>
</ul>


The H-share IPO of Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK) should draw good interest given its position as the world's largest hog farming company by capacity. 
Its IPO price of HK$39 equals 8.8x FY26F PER, which is 10% below WH Group (288 HK). It is relatively cheap vs. the global peers' average of 11.3x.
Based on 10% discount to its A-share, the IPO's fair value is assessed at HK$46.90, 20.2% upside; and the floor is HK$41.70, being 20% discount.


Muyuan Foods (2714 HK) IPO: Inexpensively Priced

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/muyuan-foods-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3705:1" rel="noopener">Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK)</a>, the world’s largest pork company, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$1.4 billion.</li>
<li>I discussed the H Share listing in <strong><em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/muyuan-foods-h-share-listing-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:218326" rel="noopener">Muyuan Foods H Share Listing: The Investment Case</a></em></strong>. </li>
<li>The proposed AH discount of 23.1% (based on the 28 January A Share price) is attractive. Overall, I would participate in the listing.</li>
</ul>



Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK), the world’s largest pork company, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$1.4 billion.
I discussed the H Share listing in Muyuan Foods H Share Listing: The Investment Case. 
The proposed AH discount of 23.1% (based on the 28 January A Share price) is attractive. Overall, I would participate in the listing.


Muyuan Foods H Share Listing (2714 HK): Valuation Insights

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/muyuan-foodstuff-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3705:1" rel="noopener">Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd A (002714 CH)</a>, the world’s largest pork company, is pre-marketing an H-Share listing to raise around US$1.5 billion.    </li>
<li>The IPO proceeds will mainly be used to reduce exposure to China’s volatile hog market by expanding abroad and to strengthen its downstream businesses.</li>
<li>While the short-term outlook is challenging due to weak hog prices, Muyuan is well positioned for a recovery, thanks to its scale, industry-leading margins, and low leverage. </li>
</ul>



Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd A (002714 CH), the world’s largest pork company, is pre-marketing an H-Share listing to raise around US$1.5 billion.    
The IPO proceeds will mainly be used to reduce exposure to China’s volatile hog market by expanding abroad and to strengthen its downstream businesses.
While the short-term outlook is challenging due to weak hog prices, Muyuan is well positioned for a recovery, thanks to its scale, industry-leading margins, and low leverage. 


Muyuan Foods H Share Listing: The Investment Case

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 19th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Xiaomi, Meituan, Alibaba, Ping An Insurance, Ke, China Mobile, Hua Hong Semiconductor, Petrochina, SMIC, HKEx.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 19th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Xiaomi, Meituan, Alibaba, Ping An Insurance, Ke, China Mobile, Hua Hong Semiconductor, Petrochina, SMIC, HKEx.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Dec 19th): Xiaomi, Meituan, Alibaba, Ping An Insurance, Ke, China Mobile

Hong Kong

WH Group is the world's largest pork company, operating across China, the US, and Europe. It integrates hog production, slaughtering, and the processing and distribution of packaged meats and fresh pork. The company's core business includes a wide range of packaged meat products and fresh pork. Headquartered in Hong Kong, the company traces its origins back to 1958.

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WH Group (288 HK)

Muyuan Foods Hong Kong IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK) is implied market cap of HK$368 billion post IPO which is 24% higher than HK$297 billion at...

Douglas Kim

Muyuan Foods (2714 HK) IPO: Inexpensively Priced

Muyuan's IPO offers good value due to its position as the world's largest hog farming company by capacity. It is valued at HK$46.90, with a floor...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Dec 19th): Xiaomi, Meituan, Alibaba, Ping An Insurance, Ke, China Mobile

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Xiaomi, Meituan, Alibaba, Ping An Insurance, Ke, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Muyuan Foods Hong Kong IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK) is implied market cap of HK$368 billion post IPO which is 24% higher than HK$297 billion at...

Douglas Kim

Muyuan Foods (2714 HK) IPO: Inexpensively Priced

​Muyuan's IPO offers good value due to its position as the world's largest hog farming company by capacity. It is valued at HK$46.90, with a floor...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Muyuan Foods H Share Listing (2714 HK): Valuation Insights

Muyuan Foods, the world’s largest pork company, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$1.4 billion. The proposed AH discount of 23.1% is...

Arun George

Muyuan Foods H Share Listing: The Investment Case

Muyuan Foods, the world’s largest pork company, is pre-marketing an H-Share listing to raise around US$1.5 billion. In this note, I discuss the...

Arun George

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Dec 19th): Xiaomi, Meituan, Alibaba, Ping An Insurance, Ke, China Mobile

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Xiaomi, Meituan, Alibaba, Ping An Insurance, Ke, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Muyuan's IPO offers good value due to its position as the world's largest hog farming company by capacity. It is valued at HK$46.90, with a floor...